There is the truth of the rugby world, and then there is the truth of South Africa. While the rest of the rugby world is dancing to the compulsive disco-beat under a glitterball of relentless attack, the world champions are waiting for the next World Cup and keeping their counsel; ready to pull the unwary back into the dark alleys outside and brawl with them in the gutter.
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The 2026 Six Nations set a new record of 111 tries scored, and Les Bleus hardly noticed that they conceded the most tries [19] and points [130] of any winning campaign in the tournament’s history. The newly-minted Nations Championship in July promptly upped the ante, with an average of one extra converted try scored across the first three rounds.
Attacking records have been tumbling all around the rugby globe quicker than new heights set by pole-vaulter ‘Mondo’ Duplantis. Last weekend, the best two teams in the English Prem, Bath and Northampton, combined for a total of 18 tries and 119 points between them, with telly pundit Austin Healey comparing the game to one of the scoring extravaganzas in the NBA. Yes, the same Austin Healey who once memorably described the essence of the modern scrum as ‘16 guys who like food. They push. Sometimes they go up, sometimes they go down. The referee has a guess. Penalty. Lineout.’
The Greatest Rivalry series between New Zealand and the reigning double world champions temporarily dragged the dance choreography of all-out attack kicking and screaming back into the gutters. It was the most gripping event in the annual calendar thus far, a clash of two rugby worlds, and depictions of both beauty and beast alike were hung together along its storied walls.

It was like the Bayeux Tapestry of modern rugby, great forward warhorses flying into defensive shield-walls, the dead brutally stripped and dismembered at scrum and breakdown; finally, a green-and-gold arrow piercing the eye of the silver fern.
It will not be repeated. The temporary suspension of the Rugby Championship has illustrated a great divide in the game, and the two divergent forks in the road are growing too far apart, too quickly. South Africa has flirted with the dance floor via ‘Tony-ball’, but when pushover comes to shove, it believes in the gutters far more. Rassie Erasmus set the scene for the RGR series thus:
“You can see on social media, [the All Blacks] are advocating this high-intensity running, multi-phase, and ‘nobody can keep up with us’. [But] there are always three truths: New Zealand’s truth, the world’s truth, and then what we believe. There’s the waarheid – the Afrikaans word for truth.
“We think there’s a certain way to win World Cups, and we think that’s a grind. We think when you’re under pressure on your attack, it’s very tough to keep cohesion. If the pressure is very big, you start fumbling a few balls, and then you are stuck.
The first Bledisloe Cup game between Australia and New Zealand at the Garden of Eden Park provided further evidence that for better or worse, planet rugby is moving away from South Africa’s sphere of influence.
“When games are really, really ‘clutch-and-crunch’, you have a system that you can fall back on, which protects the players sometimes from not always having the confidence to do things.
“Since [Kiwi attack coach] Tony [Brown] has been with us, we feel we were attacking alright. We feel we’re doing not too badly, but we always want to keep the thing that we can fall back on when the pressure is really tough.”
Before the RGR series kicked off, the rest of the rugby world had aligned with New Zealand more than South Africa and it was flocking towards the bright lights, the dance-floor and avoiding the dark alleys of the game. When those traditional forward-biased heavyweights, France and England, have worked the new direction of the game out for themselves without any help from the shaky isles, you know you are well and truly on your own.
The first Bledisloe Cup game between Australia and New Zealand at the Garden of Eden Park provided further evidence that for better or worse, planet rugby is moving away from South Africa’s sphere of influence. Take a look at the following table, illustrating the progression of the All Blacks in some key areas from Nations Championship through RGR to the first Bledisloe Cup match:

As soon as New Zealand left South African shores, it is as if the pennies have dropped from the eyes and they are able to revert to ‘Nations Championship normal’. They comfortably hit their target of 100+ rucks set per game while losing less than one per cent to turnover, ball-in-play time rose effortlessly by over three minutes, and the total number of penalties dropped. Suddenly the scrum was no longer an issue and Irish referee Andrew Brace was able to navigate the entire game untroubled at set-piece.
What will All Blacks’ head coach Dave Rennie have learned from the 50-19 victory in Auckland, having been so mercifully released from the South African pressure-cooker? The four areas of weakness highlighted by the RGR series were the two set-pieces, the contestable aerial game, and discipline:

- Sub-par lineout. The lineout did not improve despite the continued selection of a natural lock [Tupou Vaa’i] at No.6. The set-piece is still fumbling its way forward at a sub-par average of 83% for the season.
- Sidelined scrum. With both sides intent on playing the ball, rather than looking to draw penalties from the well of perceived dominance, we do not know what the Kiwi scrum looks like under pressure.
- Improvement in discipline. The balance of penalties improved because of better ball-retention at the ruck and the marginalizing of the scrum as a penalty-winning machine.
- Big gain in the aerial game! The biggest advance made by the All Blacks was in the contestable kicking game, against the same Wallaby backfield which had been so dominant versus the Springboks.
The biggest step forward, by far, was made in the contestable kicking game. Rennie was fulsome in his praise of the gains accrued:
“I thought [scrum-half] Cam [Roigard’s] kicking was excellent and allowed us to put a lot of pressure on. We kicked a bit more off nine than we have been [doing].
“I think, as you guys know, receiving those kicks is difficult. I think receiving teams are catching one out of four. That’s the nature of the game at the moment.
“Our guys did an excellent job at either winning it in the air or picking up scraps, so that was a good shift.”
Rennie’s remarks were echoed by his back three superstar Will Jordan in the aftermath of the match:
“We’ve felt pretty good all year about contesting when we’re going forward, and I thought tonight, Cam did a great job with his kicking game – to pull it back five or so metres just to allow us to get up in the air; the likes of myself, Jordie [Barrett] and Leroy [Carter].
“It’s always going to be a point of emphasis for us. So, it’s a good win for us tonight, but it’s going to be important moving forward.”
One of the main ideas was to ‘bracket’ or double-team the Wallaby receiver under the high ball with two aerial athletes, and give a wider target for the reclaim:
https://t.co/NCflFdBi4U
— William Bishop (@RPvids1994) October 11, 2026
https://t.co/grsFCcA2Ot
— William Bishop (@RPvids1994) October 11, 2026
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— William Bishop (@RPvids1994) October 11, 2026
It could be Jordie Barrett and Jordan, both aligned to the same side of the field and giving the chase an ‘inside’ and an ‘outside’ option as it closes on the receiver, and overwhelming Joseph-Aukuso Sua’ali’i at the point of receipt. Or it might be a kick dropping further infield, with a double-team formed out of the wing to that side [Leroy Carter] and a big forward athlete [Vaa’i] to secure the regather.
Jordie Barrett was in his most ruthless and unforgiving defensive mood throughout the course of the 80 minutes, and even when a Wallaby was able to make the catch successfully, Jordie ensured he paid the appropriate price at the first tackle:
https://t.co/zBsgu31nt8
— William Bishop (@RPvids1994) October 11, 2026
In this case, the ‘inside/outside’ chase works as a tackle/jackal rather than a double competition in the air, with Barrett flattening Wallaby No.10 Ben Donaldson and Carter finishing the job by pilfering the ball on the deck.
When the boot was on the other foot and the All Blacks were receiving kicks, they benefited from the presence of three men with extensive full-back experience on the field at one time, with regular RGR full-back Damian McKenzie at 10, Beauden Barrett at 15 and Will Jordan on the right wing:
https://t.co/LVL3R5nks8
— William Bishop (@RPvids1994) October 11, 2026
Rennie’s All Blacks were probably glad to be back home, and playing in front of their own people on Saturday evening at fortress Eden Park. The test they got from the Wallabies was the same as those they experienced in the first three rounds of the Nations Championship. It was a test of movement on the dance floor, without too much attempt being made to drag them off-stage, let alone into the gutters.
Their ruck-and-pass game built more and more momentum as the game wore on and they dominated the airwaves in a way they never had in the Republic. But the sub-par lineout trod water and the South African scrum test was signally absent, so it would be unwise to draw too many positive conclusions. The high-and-mighty in the All Blacks’ hierarchy will still be wary that waarheid has enough breath left in its body to dominate one more World Cup, before the dance of progress in the professional game finally leaves it behind.
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Interesting to see the double kick-chaser tactic. I hadn't noticed but it makes such good obvious sense and I’m surprised it isn't used more (though perhaps it is and I, again, haven't noticed it)
I thought another thing to point out was the post-attacking-ruck forwards play by the ABs. They were consistently hitting tight lines and making metres. It was very well planned and executed..
Re the lack of Lineout improvement, Jeremy Williams deserves some real credit. He’s one of the best lineout around operators both ways and is good around the park too. Plays above his size and is an auto pick for the Wallabies in my book. Pairs well with LSL too.
We will all see, Nick. As was said: “there are lies, there are damned lies and then there are statistics”. My money is on the Boks for the world cup in 2027. I can hazard a guess where yours isn’t!
The Nations Championships in November will be fascinating tests based on the above. France v SA especially perhaps (potentially twice). France are eye-ing a win in the NC champs and they will need to sort SA out.
“Suddenly the scrum was no longer an issue and Irish referee Andrew Brace was able to navigate the entire game untroubled at set-piece.”
True Brace was spared the scrum night mare but felt his refereeing was good. Hardly noticed them.