Can’t wait for the Super Rugby final? Good news, the first half is this weekend.
Missing the Lions already? Well, the other Lions are back playing this weekend. The 14-1 finalists from last year, who also wear red jerseys, are part of an interesting final round of Super Rugby – one that could see them get the home final they seemingly tossed away 12 months ago. But it’s a long shot.
Of course, everyone was banking on the final being held in Johannesburg as soon as the 2017 draw came out. The Lions have played no NZ sides so far this year, and they’ve only dropped one game to have 61 points going into the business end of the season.
And yet, in an ironic twist, it’s that one loss that could cost them so dearly. It was at the same venue and same opponent as their crucial loss last year – the Jaguares in Buenos Aires. Back in July of last year the Lions infamously sent an understrength team to BA, losing to the Jags and handing the top spot on the table ultimately to the Hurricanes. A few weeks later and the Lions found themselves playing in their first final – not in a warm, packed Ellis Park, but an horrifically cold and hostile Westpac Stadium.
Now this year it seems the Jags could be their undoing again. Despite all the talk of the competitiveness of the NZ Conference, the Crusaders have unbelievably made it through to this point without losing a game. They sit atop the competition table with 63 points, and will be gunning for a perfect season for the second time in their history.
The Lions are relying on the Crusaders losing in Wellington to the Hurricanes, another irony given that was the scene of their grand final demise last year. Meanwhile they need to get over the Sharks in Durban, however they’ll know whether that’s an exercise in futility given that the Wellington fixture happens first.
Of course, both teams actually have to make it through the playoffs in order for the potential Christchurch or Johannesburg finals to take place. History is firmly on their sides though: the team that has finished top of the regular season table has not only gone on to host, but also win Super Rugby finals five out of the last six years.
Although the main focus will be on the battle for the top spot, the Hurricanes themselves have added motivation on top of being the spoilers for the Crusaders. A win at home will mean they’ll most likely have a playoff game in Canberra against the Brumbies, while a loss will mean a long trip to Cape Town for a match with the Brumbies.
Meanwhile, the Sharks spot at eighth is unlikely to change even if they win – they need a bonus point victory and the Highlanders to lose to the Reds. The latter half of that equation isn’t going to happen, as the game is in Dunedin and the Reds are horrible. The best scenario for the Sharks is that they end up playing the Lions again next weekend in Johannesburg, their only other fate is a trip to Christchurch.
So while this weekend doesn’t quite have the potential for the insanity that we saw in the last regular season finale, it’s still all on for the main contenders. Given how much home ground advantage plays in the big dance, it’s pretty much the first half of the final right here.
Comments on RugbyPass
Not good to hear Ulster described as “financially troubled”. Did not think it was getting to that level. I would hope the Irish system of spreading players of talent away from Leinster would kick in now. Better to have a Leinster fringe player with Ulster or Connacht, then getting only a few games a season in Dublin. 10, for example, would seem to be a case for spreading the talent. I would not be at all adverse to a SA man coming in as head coach/DR. Ludeke is worth trying. Certainly got a long and impressive coaching career at this level…..149 games in SR, then Japan, 30 years experience. And Ulster’s ledger of successful SA coaches and players is on the positive side. Is talk of Ruan Pienaar interested in coming back as a coach…..could be a good combination with Ludeke. And Pienaar and family would have no settling in to do, one would judge. He loved life in Ulster when there, by all reports.
1 Go to commentsSome thoughts to consider here, Sam. Thanks
2 Go to commentsI think he is right, SBW is respected in RSA. The guy who never stood up is a worm. Sseems lots of NZ SBW hate, you do the crime do the time.
11 Go to commentsAfter missing the curfew, the player was simply too “Shagged” to stand up.
11 Go to commentsVernier is probably the best 12 in the world though she has some English competition these days . I am nervous for England because it is unpredictable France and who knows which team will turn up, but they have not yet shown anything that should worry England, Saturday could be a different day. I would be more confident against the BFs.
1 Go to commentsWhat a difference Rodda and Carter made. Rodda has been out for ages but he is really the only world class lock in Australian rugby. Him, Carter and Beale made a huge difference on the weekend. If only they had a few decent props they’d be a much more dangerous team. Hamish Stewart was excellent last week as well. His carrying has improved significantly and has to be next in line after Paisami at 12 for the Wallabies. He’ll benefit hugely with Beale at fullback, there’s just no better communicator in Australian rugby than him and his experience will make a huge difference for the Force. No one sees space like Beale and he’s still sharp. I can see Force making a late charge into the top 8 if they can get some consistency.
2 Go to commentsRodda will be a walk up starter at lock. Frost if you analyse his dominance has little impact and he’s a long way from being physical enough, especially when you compare to Rodda and the work he does. He was quite poor at the World Cup in his lack of physicality. Between Rodda and Skelton we would have locks who can dominate the breakdown and in contact. Frost is maybe next but Schmidt might go for a more physical lock who does their core work better like Ryan or LSL. Swain is no chance unless there’s a load of injuries. Pollard hasn’t got the scrum ability yet to be considered. Nasser dominated him when they went toe to toe and really showed him up. Picking Skelton effects who can play 6 and 8. Ideally Valetini would play 6 as that’s his best position and Wilson at 8 but that’s not ideal for lineout success. Cale isn’t physical enough yet in contact and defence but is the best backrow lineout jumper followed by Wright, Hanigan and Swinton so unfortunately Valetini probably will start at 8 with Wright or Hanigan at 6. Wilson on the bench, he’s got too much quality not to be in the squad. Paisami is leading the way at 12 but Hamish Stewart is playing extremely well also and his ball carrying has improved significantly. Beale is also another option based on the weekend. Beale is class but he’s also the best communicator of any Australian backline player and that can’t be underestimated, he’ll be in the mix.
8 Go to commentsWhy do people keep on picking Ardie at 7 when he's a ball in hand 8? A modern 7 is the lead tackler and ruck clearer which isn't his strength.
14 Go to commentsSly dig there at Ireland’s propensity to back a non-Irish coach. Must really want it. I’m not sure I like ROG very much. Comes off as unpleasant. But he’d gain my respect if he took a number 7 ranked team and turned them into WC winners. Not even back-to-back. Argentina? Scotland? Or how about Wales? France would be too easy, no?
1 Go to commentsA bit of sensationalism, but surprised by the comments about SBW. I’ve always thought of him as a pretty authentic person. There is nothing worse than working with a colleague you’ve seen straight through.
11 Go to comments100% agree with your comment about Touch. I’ve been playing it competitively since Covid. It’s on a Wednesday night after work. It means the weekend is free for time with my family.
2 Go to commentsRodda back is massively important for the Wallabies. Kaitu at hooker important too coz he was very good a few years ago.
2 Go to commentsThe pink cabous might be eligible this year and the Boks don’t need him
8 Go to commentsNasser and kaitu are options for hooker. Especially Nasser. You forgot Rodda who touch wood will be fit at test time and if fit he’s number one. Great partner for the great Skelton and Oz best lineout caller. Third best lock is LSL whom I’d be inclined to sub on for Skelton around 60 minutes. Probably start valetini at 8 because I like a big body back there. Cale should play 6 at the brumbies. For Wallabies definitely cale in the squad but as an apprentice. Dunno who starts at 6 seru wright Swinton hanigan with Will Harris and Harry Wilson not far away. Seru and Swinton my front runners but Swinton is going. Still if we don’t cap seru then Fiji must coz they need his lineout skills and easily compensate for his lack of weight
8 Go to commentsYeah but who was it?
11 Go to commentsThink you might have written this just before the Brumbies got thrashed last weekend
8 Go to commentsI really do believe that Billy Proctor should be selected at least in the larger squad but also it would be my choice at 13, much more a center than Ioane who can still play at wing. Roigard if fit should play, otherwise it should be Perenara or Christie. Also, Iose could deserve a spot at blindside. Of course, being a Canes supporter I’m biased but I really believe that at least Billy P is deserving a chance and being Holland one of the Selectors, I’m having a little hope he could grab it.
14 Go to commentsI would not play Swinton I’d pick Wright or Hanigan. The rest are decent starters, but can’t agree on any subs except Tupou. My take on the subs: Gibbon, Ueslese, Tupou, LSL, Wilson, White, Will Harrison, and Petaia.
8 Go to commentsSBW the biggest moron to pull on a black jersey a park footy player at best
11 Go to commentsSBW is fast becoming a laughing stock, his misplaced comments & lack of insight Is actually pretty sad.
11 Go to comments