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Any of 4 nations could be world No.1 after this weekend

Wales v New Zealand – Autumn International – Principality Stadium

Any one of four nations can end the weekend ranked number one – with Ireland, France, New Zealand and South Africa all able to grab the top spot.

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Les Bleus will assume top spot if they beat Japan and Ireland fail to beat Australia – unless the All Blacks also defeat England by more than 15 points. Such a scenario will see the All Blacks return to number one and Ireland drop down to third.

If New Zealand win by more than 15 points, they will still climb above a victorious France as Les Bleus cannot improve their rating with victory due to the 12.61 rating points between the two sides before home weighting is factored in.

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Ireland cannot improve their rating with victory over Australia due to the 9.99 points between the sides before home weighting is factored in.

The Boks can climb to second if they beat Italy by more than 15 points, Ireland lose by the same margin and France are also beaten.

South Africa must win by more than 15 points and hope that France, New Zealand and Ireland are all beaten – the latter by more than 15 points – to return to number one.

England will climb above South Africa – who they play the following weekend – if they beat NZ and the Boks lose to Italy with one of the margins being by more than 15 points.

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However, Eddie Jones’ side can drop to seventh if they lose by more than 15 points and Australia and Argentina win by the same margin in Dublin and Edinburgh.

Italy will return to the top ten for the first time since June 2013 if they beat South Africa and Japan lose to France. The Azzurri could equal their highest ever ranking of eighth – a position they last occupied briefly in August 2007 – if they win by more than 15 points and Australia, Scotland and Wales all lose by the same margin.

Gregor Townsend’s Scotland must beat Argentina by more than 15 points to be the higher ranked of the two nations as a smaller margin will leave them 0.05 rating points behind Los Pumas.

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SK 41 minutes ago
How Ireland can upset the odds in Paris: Big match preview part two

Ireland need to keep the ball for long periods even if it goes against their current Leinster identity. This is their bread and butter against France. If they can stress test the French defence for long periods of time they will tire out. Ireland cannot afford to just build 90 rucks in a game. They need to build well in excess of 100 and they need to get 55-60% lightning quick ball at least. They need to force France to make at least 150-200 tackles and force them to defend multiple phases of attack. They need to play quickly at lineout, get the ball away from the base at scrum time and keep the French forwards under the pump. They cant play from everywhere but once it gets to their own 10 metre line they need to keep the ball and avoid the kick unless its to expose space with a kick chase or a 50-22. I dont rate the French bench, hell the Ireland bench doesnt look so great itself but if they can survive the first 60, deny France set piece and aerial dominance and move their forwards around they can win this. For France they need to establish dominance at set piece, make a mess of the Irish lineout, dominate the air waves and score off turnover ball using fast breaking backs like LBB and Ramos. They need to put Prendergast under pressure and smash the Irish front row. If they can make a mess of the Irish ruck speed they will also win but what we cant have is both teams pussyfooting around in a cagey affair putting the ball up constantly in a snooze fest with Ireland playing some Leinster garbage and France doing what they are comfortable doing. That only ends one way, a France win and Thursday night wasted for a rugby hungry audience. If we want a game on Ice we will watch the Winter Olympics thank you very much.

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