All Blacks' selection puzzle no closer to solution
At the beginning of the year, the general public had a reasonable idea of who the All Blacks coaches would run out in a World Cup final.
The tight five has been settled for a number of years, Liam Squire had almost by default secured the blindside flanker role, Ryan Crotty and Sonny Bill Williams were the incumbent midfielders and excepting perhaps the right wing, the rest of the backline was almost set in stone.
It’s amazing how quickly things can change.
We’re now less than a year away from the All Blacks’ opening match of the 2019 World Cup and it seems like, if anything, we’re further away from cementing a top line-up. Injuries have played a major part in some less experienced players getting some considerable game time this year – and every player has taken their chance with aplomb, giving the selectors a new problem to mull over.
It’s not that the incumbents have performed poorly in the game time they’ve had this year, it’s simply that the replacements have done a great job in their stead.
In the props, New Zealand has arguably never had more depth than they do now, due to the sudden emergence of Karl Tu’inukuafe combined with Ofa Tu’ungafasi’s growing rugby maturity.
Tu’inukuafe, in particular, was a complete unknown at the beginning of the season – called in as injury cover for the Chiefs and probably not expected to rack up any game time.
After a slew of injuries to Kane Hames, Atu Moli and Aidan Ross, Tu’inukuafe suddenly found himself in the run on side. It’s a true ‘rags to riches’ story for the 135kg mountain, who only a short time ago was warned by doctors that his ballooning weight was seriously compromising his health but is now starting in the number one jersey for number one ranked team in the world.
With Joe Moody side-lined with a broken thumb until the All Black’s end of year tour, Tu’inukuafe has had plenty of time to stake a claim as the starting loosehead and it will be interesting to see how the coaches plan to utilise the two props moving forward. Moody was a nailed in started prior to his injury, but Tu’inukuafe’s form and raw ability may put a stop to that.
Ofa Tu’ungafasi, on the tighthead side, has also shown that his scrummaging has improved remarkably since joining the national set up. Tu’ungafasi started his first test match last weekend against Argentina and put in his most impressive showing to date. Whilst he’s not going to usurp Owen Franks before the World Cup, his continued development is reassuring for the nation given how common injuries are during the showpiece tournament.
In the loose forwards, the wider picture is as blurry as ever. With Kieran Read and Sam Cane guaranteed starters, the blindside position has been the only open spot since 2015 – a spot which Liam Squire has slotted into reasonably well. As one of the more recent additions to the lineup, however, his spot has always been most at risk – but there have been no real challengers in recent times.
Cue the emergence of Shannon Frizell in June – a player that, like Tu’inukuafe, no one would have expected to see in the All Blacks squad during the first unveiling of the year. With Squire succumbing to a hand injury early in The Rugby Championship, Frizell has now had the chance to string a few games together in a row and it’s looking like he could be a genuine challenger to the six jersey that Squire has worn on his back for the last few years.
It’s in the reserves where things get even murkier. Three starts in a row against France looked to have done enough to guarantee Luke Whitelock the role of backing up Read in the future – a job he would have had against Argentina last weekend had he not been side-lined due to illness. Instead, Ardie Savea could well be favoured as a jack-of-all-trades loose forward to start if Read is absent, given his comfortable performance at eight against the Pumas.
Jackson Hemopo, Jordan Taufua and Akira Ioane have all spent time with the squad this year, and it’s likely that the selectors will opt for seven loose forwards at he World Cup at the expense of a second rower, so there should be room for at least some of the current players to push forward. The end of year tour will be telling, with a number of matches billed as chances for the selectors to experiment.
A couple of assured performances from Richie Mo’unga have brought out his vocal supporters in full force, but with so little time between now and the World Cup it’s unlikely we’ll see him replacing Beauden Barrett in the 10 jersey, even if it were just to push Barrett back to fullback. Barrett at first five may not necessarily be the optimum scenario (though he’s managed to win two Player of the Year awards from that very position), but it has served the All Blacks well.
The make-up of the midfield, on the other hand, is anyone’s guess. Between Sonny Bill Williams, Ryan Crotty, Jack Goodhue and Anton Lienert-Brown, the All Blacks have a number of extremely high-quality players at their disposal. This weekend’s match against the Springboks sees Williams and Goodhue re-establishing the partnership they first created against France in June, but whether their selection is indication that they are now Steve Hansen’s favoured combination is not a sure thing.
With barely a year to go before the World Cup, the All Blacks will want to use the end of year tour to give their backup players some invaluable game time but also to establish once and for all who they would march out in a sudden death playoff match. Though the selection picture is cloudier now than when the season began, this is merely due to some of the less established players showing that they have what it takes to make the top line-up – which can only be good for the team going forward.
In other news:
Comments on RugbyPass
Super rugby is struggling but that has little to do with sabbaticals. 1. Too many teams from Aust and NZ - should be 3 and 4 respectively, add in 2 from Japan, 1 possibly 2 from Argentina. 2. Inconsistent and poor refereeing, admittedly not restricted to Super rugby. Only one team was reffed at the breakdown in Reds v H’Landers match. Scrum penalty awarded in Canes v Drua when No 8 had the ball in the open with little defence nearby - ideal opportunity to play advantage. Coming back to Reds match - same scrum situation but ref played advantage - Landers made 10 yards and were penalised at the breakdown when the ref should have returned to scrum penalty. 3. Marketing is weak and losing ground to AFL and NRL. Playing 2 days compared with 4. 4. Scheduling is unattractive to family attendance. Have any franchises heard of Sundays 2pm?
8 Go to commentsAbsolutely..all they need is a chance in yhe playoffs and I bet all the other teams will be nervous…THEY KNOW HOW TO WIN IM THE PLAYOFFS..
2 Go to commentsI really hope he comes back and helps out with some coaching.
1 Go to commentsI think we are all just hoping that the Olympic 7s doesn’t suffer the same sad fate as the last RWC with the officials ruining the spectacle.
1 Go to commentsPersonally, I’ve lost the will to even be bothered about the RFU, the structure, the participants. It’s all a sham. I now simply enjoy getting a group of friends together to go and watch a few games a year in different locations (including Europe, the championship, etc). I feel extremely sorry for the real fans of these clubs who are constantly ignored by the RFU and other administrators. I feel especially sorry for the fans of clubs in the Championship who have had considerable central funding stripped away and are then expected to just take whatever the RFU put to them. Its all a sham, especially if the failed clubs are allowed to return.
9 Go to commentsI’m guessing Carl Hayman would have preferred to have stayed in NZ with benefit of hindsight. Up north there is the expectation to play twice as many games with far less ‘player management’ protocols that Paul is now criticising. Less playing through concussions means longer, healthier, careers. Carter used as the eg here by Paul, his sabbatical allowed him to play until age 37. OK its not an exact science but there is far more expectations on players who sign for Top 14 or Engl Prem clubs to get value for the huge salaries. NZR get alot wrong but keeping their best players in NZ rugby is not one of them. SA clubs are virtually devoid of their top players now, no thanks. They cant threaten the big teams in the Champions Cup, the squads have little depth. Cant see Canes/Chiefs struggling. Super has been great this year, fantastic high skill matches. Drua a fantastic addition and Jaguares will add another quality team eventually. Aus teams performing strongly and no doubt will benefit with the incentive of a Lions tour and a home RWC. Let Jordie enjoy his time with Leinster, it will allow the opportunity for another player to emerge at Canes in his absence.
8 Go to commentsLove that man, his way to despise angry little men is so funny ! 😂
4 Go to comments“South African franchises would be powerhouses if we had all our overseas based players back in situ. We would have the same unbeatable aura the Toulouses, Leinsters or Saracens of this world have had over the last decade or so.” Proof that Jake white does not understand the economics of the game in SA. Players earning abroad are not going to simply come back and represent the bulls. But they might if they have a springbok contract.
22 Go to commentsA lot of fans just joined in for the fun of it! We all admire O'Gara and what he has done for La Rochelle
4 Go to commentsThe RFU will find a way to mess this up as usual. My bet is there will be no promotion into the the Premiership, only relegation into National League One. Hopefully they won’t parachute failed clubs into the league at the expense of clubs who have battled for promotion.
9 Go to commentsWell that’s the contracts for RG and Jordie bought and paid for. Now, what are the chances we can persuade Antoine to hop over with all the extra dosh we’ll have from living at the Aviva & Croke next season…??? 🤑🤑🤑
16 Go to commentsWow, that’s incredible. Great for rugby.
16 Go to commentsYou probably read that parling is going to coach the wallaby lineout but if not before now you have.
14 Go to commentsIf someone like Leo Cullen was in O’Gara’s place I don’t hear Boo-ing. It’s not just that La Rochelle has hurt Leinster and O’Gara is their Irish boss. It’s the needle that he brings and the pantomime activity before the game around pretending that Munster were supporting LaRochelle just because O’Gara is from Cork. That’s dividing Irish provinces just to get an advantage for his French Team. He can F*ck right off with that. BOOOOO! (but not while someone is lying injured)
4 Go to commentsDid the highlanders party too hard before the game? They were the pits.
1 Go to commentsWhat a player! Not long until he’s in the England side, surely?
5 Go to commentsHe seems to have the same aura as Marcus Smith - by which I mean he’s consistently judged as if he’s several years younger than he actually is. Mngomezulu has played 24 times for the Stormers. When Pollard was his age he had played 24 times for South Africa! He has more time to develop, but he has also had time to do some developing already, and he hasn’t demonstrated nearly as much talent in that time as one would expect. If he is a generational talent, then it must be a pretty poor generation.
6 Go to commentsThe greatest Springbok coach of all time is entirely on the money. Rassie and Jacques have given the south african public a great few years, but the success of the springbok selection policy will need to be judged in light of what comes next. The poor condition that the provincial system is currently in doesn’t bode well for the next few years of international rugby, and the insane 2026 schedule that the Boks have lined up could also really harm both provincial and international consistency.
22 Go to commentsJake White is a brilliant coach and a master in the press. This is another masterclass in media relations and PR but its also a very narrow view with arguments that dont always hold water. White wants his team to win, he wants the best players in SA and wants his team competitive. You however have to face up to the reality of a poor exchange rate and big clubs with big budgets. SA Rugby cant compete and unless it can find more money SA players will keep leaving regardless of Springbok eligibility and this happened in 2015 - 2017. Also rugby is not cricket. Cricket has 3 formats and T20 cricket is where the money is at. When it comes to club vs country the IPL is king but that wont happen because the international calendar does not clash with the club calendar in rugby. So the argument about rugby going down the same path as cricket is really a non-starter
22 Go to commentsNZ rugby seem not to have learnt anything from professional rugby. Super rugby was dying and SA left before they died with the competition. SA rugby did a u turn on their approach to international players playing overseas and such players are now selected for Bok teams. As much as each country would love to retain their players playing in local competitions, this is the way the world is evolving my friends. Move with it or stay 20 years behind the times. One more thing. NZ rugby hierarchy think they are the big cheese. Take a more humble approach guys. You do not seem to have your players best interests at heart.
8 Go to comments