Pre-match analysis - England vs France
With 10 of the last 15 fixtures going the way of England, as well as France not tasting victory at Twickenham in the Guinness Six Nations since 2005, the balance of power in ‘Le Crunch’ currently resides north of the Channel, but there are few fixtures that still raise the hackles in the same way this one does.
A rivalry built on distinct cultural differences, as well as cultural similarities on and around the rugby pitch, national pride is at the core of that anticipation. Yet, form can count for little in such affairs, with a tense atmosphere and bubbling emotions more than capable of swinging the outcome on the pitch.
That said, England will go into the contest full of confidence after defeating reigning Six Nations champions Ireland in Dublin, whilst France will feel dejected, having been well on their way to upsetting Wales in Paris, before proceeding to shoot themselves in the foot multiple times in an implosion of a second half.
The Coaches
In Eddie Jones and Jacques Brunel, England and France have two of the most experienced international coaches in world rugby, but it is there the similarities seem to end.
Whilst Jones has 30 victories in his 37 tests with England, an impressive win rate of 81%, Brunel has only won three of his 12 games in charge of France, making for a rather paltry success rate of 25%. To be fair to the former Italy head coach, that set of results does include a three-match tour of New Zealand and a victory over England in last year’s Six Nations, but the returns since his hire at the end of 2017 have not been what the French Rugby Federation would have hoped for when they sacked Brunel’s predecessor, Guy Novès.
Brunel and his side may have seen off England in Paris last year, but it’s hard to argue against the coaching advantage falling to England here, especially with the intensity and intelligence of their defensive showing against Ireland, with the growing influence of new defence coach John Mitchell beginning to show.
Advantage: England
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Watch: The England squad in training
The Players
Kyle Sinckler (73) vs Jefferson Poirot (75)
With Uini Atonio out, there is even more pressure for Poirot to deliver this weekend. Up against Sinckler, the French loosehead faces a swiftly improving scrummager and an operator in the loose that is capable of helping England fire in their quest to get over the gain-line. Sinckler impacts the game both as a ball-carrier and as a player capable of shifting the point of contact with soft hands and good distribution. If Poirot can go to work at the scrum and begin to tire the tighthead, he will help France negate Sinckler’s proficient ability in the loose, but the set-piece is no longer the chink in the Englishman’s armour that it used to be.
Advantage: Sinckler
Jamie George (91) vs Guilhem Guirado (82)
If there is one French player who has not deserved Les Bleus’ misfortune over the last few years, it’s their captain, Guirado. The Toulon hooker has been a remarkably consistent performer at a high level in a side which has struggled to replicate the standards he has driven. As for England, George has sparkled at club level with Saracens and performed admirably at international level, providing set-piece security and impressive work rate and conditioning. As well as he has gone, however, hooker is one of the few positions where France might feel they have an advantage in the player head-to-heads.
Advantage: Guirado
Ben Youngs (72) vs Morgan Parra (80)
Two of the better controlling scrum-halves in international rugby, Youngs versus Parra is an intriguing contest at Twickenham on Sunday. Youngs was sublime in Dublin, out-duelling arguably the world’s best in Conor Murray, although with a fair amount of assistance from his wings Jonny May and Jack Nowell on the kick chase. If he can get that same precision from his boot again, as well as the energy and decision-making of his chasers, then England will be on their way to another victory. However, Parra has had success against the England back three before and he is more than capable of exposing any positional naivety or disconnects that England show in the back field.
Advantage: Even
Elliot Daly (74) vs Yoann Huget (80)
A surprising selection from Brunel, moving Huget to full-back, not only because of his fumble in the Wales game, but also the availability of Toulouse’s Thomas Ramos, who has been having an excellent 2018/19 season. Ireland managed to find Daly deep and drag him up on a number of occasions, allowing their chase to occupy the space and win the contested balls, something which Parra, Huget and Camille Lopez will need to do on Sunday, if they are to have any chance of leaving Twickenham with a win. Even if they can do that, it still might not be enough, with Daly once again showing his creative worth last weekend, proving to be the perfect link man with the wings, laying on two of England’s four tries.
Advantage: Daly
Manu Tuilagi (71) vs Geoffrey Doumayrou (81)
Despite still being just 19 years of age, Romain Ntamack dealt well with his international debut last week, showing no signs of being daunted by the additional expectations, but he has found himself replaced by Doumayrou this weekend. The La Rochelle man will now have to go up against the formidable challenge of Tuilagi. Part of England’s success in Dublin was down to how they interchanged Tuilagi and Henry Slade in the midfield, keeping Ireland’s defence guessing as to where Tuilagi would hit the line, and if they do that again this weekend, it’s going to take a lot of composure for Doumayrou to track and deal with. If France move him further out in the defensive line, preferring Mathieu Bastareaud to look after Tuilagi, his task changes to the versatile and hard-to-read Slade.
Advantage: Tuilagi
Key Battlegrounds
Kicking Game
With both Daly and Huget taking up spots at full-back, not to mention France opting for two regular centres on the wings, both teams will be keen to exploit the space through the box-kicking of their nines and the territorial kicking games of Owen Farrell and Lopez. If England can start to lure Damian Penaud and Gaël Fickou up into the defensive line, they will be able to move Huget around and find plenty of grass to kick into. If May and Chris Ashton chase as well again as May and Nowell did against Ireland, England will reap the rewards.
As for France, they will need to keep the ball on a string. May and Ashton are agile and quick, capable of dropping deep if France try to pin the ball in the corners, but by drawing Daly forward to the point where he is rushing to meet the kick and cannot set himself underneath and own the space, they have a good chance of winning the ball back.
Advantage: England
Gain-line
Always a critical component in a game, but this is perhaps France’s greatest hope of success on Sunday. They are a heavyweight team – despite opting to go smaller and more mobile this weekend – built on power carriers who love to break the gain-line and get their side moving forward. If they can find success in this area, which Ireland struggled to do, then they have a chance of rattling the aggressive English defence and negating their impressive line-speed.
For Jones’ side, denying France any kind of quick ball at the contact area will be key to preventing this, so it will require another industrious display from the likes of Mako Vunipola, Mark Wilson and Tom Curry. If they outwork and outsmart France at the breakdown, there’s a good chance they will win the gain-line contest for the second week in a row, with the likes of Billy Vunipoa and Tuilagi capable of getting England moving forward.
Advantage: England
Conclusion
Form doesn’t mean everything in this contest, but equally, coming off two results as contrasting as those ones these teams recorded in the opening round, it seems too big of a gap for France to traverse on Sunday.
England are the better conditioned team, they have settled combinations in a number of positions and there is a balance to the side that hasn’t always been there during Jones’ tenure. The loss of Maro Itoje will hurt, but second row is one of the positions where England have genuinely top-class international depth to call upon.
France are capable of springing the upset, but based on their match against Wales, the conditioning and decision-making struggles among the squad, and the fact that England have home advantage, it’s hard to predict any outcome other than an England win.
England by 14.
Watch: England vs Ireland analysis
Comments on RugbyPass
Pick Swinton at your peril A liability just like JWH from the Roosters Skelton ??? went missing at RWC
14 Go to commentsLike tennis, who have a ranking system, and I believe rugby too, just measure over each period preceding a world cup event who was the longest number one and that would be it. In tennis the number one player frequently is not the grand slam winner. I love and adore the All Blacks since the days of Ian Kirkpatrick when I was a kid in SA. And still do because they are the masters of running rugby and are gentleman on and off the field - in general. And in my opinion they have been the majority of the time the best rugby team in the world.
15 Go to commentsHaving overseas possessions in 2024 is absurd. These Frenchies should have to give the New Caledonians their freedom.
21 Go to commentsBell injured his foot didn’t he? Bring Tupou in he’ll deliver when it counts. Agree mostly but I would switch in the Reds number 8 Harry Wilson for Swinton and move Rob Valentini to 6 instead. Wilson is a clever player who reads the play, you can’t outmuscle the AB’s and Springboks, if you have any chance it’s by playing clever. Same goes for Paisami, he’s a little guy who doesn’t really trouble the likes of De Allende and Jordie Barrett. I’d rather play Carter Gordon at 12 and put Michael Lynagh’s boy at 10. That way you get a BMT type goalkicker at 10 and a playmaker at 12. Anyways, just my two cents as a Bok supporter.
14 Go to commentsThanks Brett, love your articles which are alway pertinent. It’s a difficult topic trying to have a panel adjudicating consistently penalties for red card issues. Many of the mitigating reasons raised are judged subjectively, hence the different outcomes. How to take away subjective opinions?
4 Go to commentsYes Sir! Surprising, just like Fraser would also have escaped sanction if he was a few inches lower, even if it was by accident that he missed! Has there really been talk about those sanctions or is this just sensational journalism? I stopped reading, so might have missed any notations.
4 Go to commentsAI is only as good as the information put in, the nuances of the sport, what you see out the corner of the eye, how you sum up in a split second the situation, yes the AI is a tool but will not help win games, more likely contribute to a loss, Rugby Players are not robots, all AI can do if offer a solution not the solution. AI will effect many sports, help train better golfers etc.
45 Go to commentsIt couldn’t have been Ryan Crotty. He wasn’t selected in either World Cup side - they chose Money Bill instead. And Money Bill only cared about himself, and that manager he had, not the team.
26 Go to commentsYawn 🥱 nobody would give a hoot about this new trophy. End of the day we just have to beat Ireland and NZ this year then they can finally shut up 🤐
15 Go to commentsTalking bout Ryan Crotty? Heard Crotty say in a interview once that SBW doesen't care about the team . He went on to say that whenever they lost a big game, SBW would be happy as if nothing happened, according to him someone who cares would look down.. Personally I think Crotty is in the wrong, not for feeling gutted but for expecting others 2 be like him… I have been a bad loser forever as it matters so much to me but good on you SBW for being able to see the bigger picture….
26 Go to commentsThis sounds like a WWE idea so Americans can also get excited about rugby, RUGBY NEEDS A INTERNATIONAL CALENDER .. The rugby Championship and Six Nations can be held at same time, top 3 of six nations and top 3 of Rugby championship (6 nations should include Georgia AND another qualifying country while Fiji, Japan and Samoa/Tonga qualifier should make out 6 Southern teams).. Scrap June internationals and year end tours. Have a Elite top six Cup and the Bottom 6 in a secondary comp….
15 Go to commentsThe rugby championship would be even stronger with Fiji in it… I know it doesen’t fit the long term plans of NZ or Aus but you are robbing a whole nation of being able to see their best players play for Fiji…. Every second player in NZ and AUS teams has Fijian surnames… shame on you!!! World rugby won’t step in either as France and England has now also joined in…. I guess where money is involved it will always be the poor countries missing out….
84 Go to commentsNo surprise there. How hard can it be to pick a ball off the ground and chuck it to a mate? 😂
2 Go to commentsSometimes people just like a moan mate!
4 Go to commentsexcellent idea ! rugby needs this 💪
15 Go to comments9 Brumbies! What a joke! The best performing team in Oz! Ditch Skelton for Swain or Neville. Ryan Lonergan ahead of McDermott any day! Best selection bolter is Toole … amazing player
14 Go to commentsI like this, but ultimately rugby already has enough trophies. Trying to make more games “consequential" might prove to be a fools errand, although this is a less bad idea than some others. Minor quibble with the title of the article; it isn’t very meaningful to say the boks are the unofficial world champions when it would be functionally impossible for the Raeburn trophy not to be held by the world champions. There’s a period of a few months every 4 years when there is no “unofficial” world champion, and the Raeburn trophy is held by the actual world champions.
15 Go to commentsIts a great idea but one that I dont think will have a lot of traction. It will depend on the prestige that they each hold but if you can do that it would be great. When Japan beat the Boks (my team) I was absolutely devestated but I wont deny the great game they played that day. We were outclassed and it was one of the best games of rugby I have seen. Using an idea like this you might just give the the underdog teams more of an opportunity to beat the big teams and I can absolutely see it being a brilliant display of rugby. They beat us because they planned for that game. It was a great moment for Japan. This way we can remove the 4 year wait and give teams something to aim for outside of World Cup years.
15 Go to commentsHi, Dave here. Happy to answer questions 🥰
15 Go to commentsDon’t think that headline is accurate. It’s great to see Aus doing better but I’m not sure they’ve shown much threat to the top of the table. They shouldn’t be inflating wins against the lousy Highlanders and Crusaders either.
3 Go to comments