Is Michael Cheika the problem for Rugby Australia?
Is it the cattle or the coach? Or, something bigger?
The calls for Michael Cheika to be sacked have been met just as loudly by supporters who want to keep the embattled coach around. There are fingers pointed everywhere, from player fitness, to player selections, to coaching and game strategy.
These are all reasons for the Wallabies’ bad opening run in the Rugby Championship this year. But the resulting public anger seems to stem not from the loss itself, but how they are losing, which is really the bigger picture – there has been structural failure in Australian Rugby years in the making, with the way they play the game failing them.
The blame needs to be shared all around, starting at the top with Rugby Australia and filtering down. None of the Australian Super Rugby sides have been particularly strong in this World Cup cycle. Are these results really something unexpected?
Who would have thought the All Blacks, who have four Super playoff teams year-in-year-out, would thrash a Wallaby side made up of players from a weak conference where only one team makes the playoffs, often by virtue of automatic entry?
There are long-term issues at play within rugby in Australia, a game in decline and losing ground to other football codes. The symptoms are just showing at the top but have been here for some time.
The 2015 Rugby World Cup final appearance was success built on dumb luck – a bad refereeing call against Scotland and a weaker side of the draw, which gave them Argentina in the semi-final. In an alternate universe, they are bounced at the quarterfinal stage and Cheika isn’t hailed as a ‘saviour’ and may have been sacked already.
After four years, you see the real story – it’s hard to be lucky over the long-term.
In order to prop up a flailing national sport, Cheika has to call on older players from the last generation because the system isn’t producing. The Giteau rule is a short-term fix to a long-term problem.
Cheika doesn’t develop Wallabies, the regions are supposed to. The unions that oversee the majority share of a players’ development are failing.
One of only two strong nurseries in the country, Queensland, has been a basket case for years now – dogged by infighting, politics and a lack of accountability. The questionable appointment of the under-qualified Richard Graham as head coach sent the Reds spiraling back 20 years and they haven’t recovered. Despite continually losing over a three period, he was handed an extension before being sacked and paid out.
Brad Thorn has come in as another short-term fix, fresh from just finishing his playing career. Contrast that with Crusaders head coach Scott Robertson, who started his coaching career volunteering in Christchurch youth rugby coaching an under 14 B’s side back in the mid-2000s. He spent five years coaching at grassroots level before landing an assistant gig with Canterbury, where he spent another five years. His Super Rugby success has been close to fifteen years in the making.
The coaching at Super Rugby level in Australia is not up to standard, with the same candidates proven to be inadequate, recycled and persisted with. The same coach who took the Rebels to a 1-15 record and one of the worst for-and-against records in Super Rugby history lands a job as the defence coach for another team the next year. Go figure.
Where is the innovation coming from?
Professional coaches in Australia aren’t often earning their stripes by proving their worth at each level, and the ones that do find success at lower levels don’t seem to be progressing through. Innovation breeds progress, but there haven’t been result-based employment decisions to drive that.
Players that have left Australia speak of a ‘safety obsession’ within professional coaching ranks. A conservative approach that favours ‘safe’ players, who don’t take risks and don’t necessarily have ‘vision’ and attacking flair but do have the ability to stick to instructions. And when you consider those giving the instructions have limited-to-no track records of success, you can see why the teams fail.
The game has regressed at the pro levels in Australian rugby as ineffective coaches have taken over. Size is valued over skill, power over finesse, physicality over decision-making, in some cases you would think talent over character. Players are slipping through the cracks and making it elsewhere in different systems – case in point Pete Samu.
The systems feeding into the top level are responsible for this, and it will get worse.
This is an aging Wallaby team out of necessity. When names like Will Genia, Kurtley Beale and David Pocock retire the rug will be pulled out from beneath them. Even Bernard Foley, who is the flyhalf equivalent of ice skater Steven Bradbury (the winner by default), will leave a massive hole.
Cheika’s failure is a systemic one, shared by all involved in Australian rugby. In a results-driven business, they must matter – at all levels not just with the Wallabies team.
Comments on RugbyPass
Don’t think that headline is accurate. It’s great to see Aus doing better but I’m not sure they’ve shown much threat to the top of the table. They shouldn’t be inflating wins against the lousy Highlanders and Crusaders either.
3 Go to commentsSuch a shame Roigard and Aumua picked up long term injuries, probably the two form players in the comp. Also, pretty sure Clarke Dermody isn’t their coach. Got it half right though.
3 Go to commentsOh the Aussie media, they never learn. It’s simple to see what’s going on. The Aussie teams are settled, they didn't lose any of their major players overseas. The Crusaders and Chiefs lost key experienced All Blacks, and Razor in the Crusaders case, and clearly neither are anywhere near as strong as last year (The Canes and Blues would probably be 3rd & 4th if they were). The Highlanders are annually average, even more so post-Aaron Smith and a big squad clean out. The two teams at the top? The two nz sides with largely the same settled roster as last year, except Ardie Savea for the Canes. They’ve both got far better coaches now too. If the Aussies are going to win the title, this is the year the kiwi sides will be weakest, so they better take their chance.
3 Go to commentsThe World Cup has to be the gold standard, line in the sand. 113 teams compete for what is the opportunity to make the pool stages, and then the knockout games for the trophy. The concept is sound. This must have been the rationale when the World Cup was created, surely? But I’m all for Looking forward and finding new ways for the SH to dominate the NH into the future. The autumn series needs a change up. Let’s start by having the NH teams come south every odd year for the Autumn/Spring series games?
1 Go to commentsWhat’ll happen when the AI models of the future go back in time and try to destroy the AI models of the past standing in their way of certain victory?
41 Go to commentsThanks, Nick. We (Seanny Maloney, Brett and I) just discussed Charlie as a potential Wallaby No 8, and wondered if he has truly realised how big he is in contact (and whether he can add 5 kg w/o slowing down). Your scouting report confirms our suspicions he has the materiel. No one knows if he has the mentality (as Johann van Graan said this week about CJ, Duane and Alfie B) to carry 10-15 times a game.
57 Go to commentsHe would be a great player for the Stormers, Dobbo should approach the guy.
3 Go to commentsGood article. A few years back when he was playing for the Cheetahs, he was a quiet standout for exactly the seasons stated here. I occasionally get to see his games in the UK, and he has become a more complete player and in many ways like an Irish player. His work ethic is so suitable to the Leinster game. I wonder if Rassie would have him listed somewhere.
3 Go to commentsResults probably skewed by the fact that a few clubs have foreign fly halves in their 30s, but most teams have young English scrum halves. Results also likely to be skewed by the fact that many teams rely on centres and fullbacks to provide depth at 10, whereas they will need to stock a large number of specialist backup 9s.
1 Go to commentsI really get the sense that when all is said and done, the path of least resistance will end up being a merger of Wasps & Worcester that essentially kills the Worcester Warriors brand and sees Wasps permanently playing at Sixways. I’m not saying that’s what should happen or what I want to happen. I just think it’s the easiest rout to take and therefore, will be what happens. Wasps will definitely return to play first, and I suppose it all depends on if they can find support at Sixways. If people turn up and support Wasps in that community, at that ground, I bet they drop the Sevenoaks plan and just remain at Sixways. Under the radar but not totally unrelated, it looks as though London Irish are going to be brought back from the dead by a German consortium and look set to return, likely to the remade Championship. It’s set to have 12 clubs next season with 14 in 2025/26, what do you want to bet those extra 2 are Wasps and London Irish?
3 Go to commentsThe shoulder is a “joint” with multiple bones. You don’t “fracture” a shoulder, you fracture any one or more of the bones that make up a shoulder.
2 Go to commentsOh dear, bones too suspect to continue?
2 Go to commentsBold headline considering the Canes and Blues are 1 and 2 and the Brumbies were soundly beaten by the Chiefs and Blues. Biggest surprise is Rebels 4 Crusaders 12 - no one saw that coming. If Aus are improving that’s great 👍
3 Go to commentsAnna, You are right, we need to have patience whilst the others catch up to England and France. Also it is the PWR that has been the game changer for England. the RFU put money into that initially at the expense of the Red Roses. I was sceptical at first but it has paid off in spades.
1 Go to commentsI think Matt Proctor became a 1 test AB in the same fixture. Cameron is quality and has been great this season, can’t believe’s he only 27. Realistically how would he not be selected for ABs squad this year. Only Dmac is ahead of him as a specialist 10. With Jordan out, it will come down to where and when Beauden Barrett slots back in, and where they want to play Ruben Love. Cameron seems an absolute lock in for the wider squad though. Added benefit of TJ-Cameron-Jordie combination at 9, 10, 11 too.
1 Go to commentsFarcical, to what end would someone want to pay to keep this thing going.
1 Go to commentsHavili, our best 12 by a mile, will be in the squad, if he stays fit. JB is the most overrated AB in the last 50 years.
61 Go to commentsWe had during the week twilight footy, twilight cricket, tw golf plus there was the athletics club. Then the weekend was rugby 15s plus the net ball, really busy club scene back then but so much has changed and rugby has suffered. And it was all about changing lifestyles.
6 Go to commentsIn the 70s and 80s my club ran 5 Senior sides plus a Vets. Now it is 2 sides with an occasional 3rd team. Players have difficulty getting to training now, not sure why and the commitment is not there. It seems to me more a problem of people applying themselves and not expecting to turn up and play whenever they want to.
6 Go to commentsROG’s contract is until 2027. The conversation about a successor to Galthie after RWC 2027 may be starting now. We can infer that Galthie’s reign stops then. He is throwing the Irish Coaching Job angle in because he is Irish. The next Irish coach MUST be Leo Cullen. As well as being the best coach available, coaching the vast majority of Irish Internationals week in week out, he has shown incredible skill at recruiting the best coaching staff for the job in hand. That was a failing in France. Cullen is a shrewd guy and if there is a need for foreign coaches underneath him he won’t hesitate. Rightly so. Ireland does need to start to bring Irish coaches through. Not just at the professional level but we need to train coaches to man new pathways for developing kids from schools/clubs up through the divisions.
8 Go to comments