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The Breakdown: A statistical look at Saturday's rugby internationals

By Peter Thompson
Getty Images

Australia head to Twickenham with a spring in their step and eyeing revenge when they face England, while New Zealand take on Scotland and France host South Africa in another mouthwatering Saturday of international rugby.

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England retained the Cook Cup by beating the Wallabies last year, but Michael Cheika’s men are in fine form 12 months on and Eddie Jones’ side must raise their game after a disjoined display in the win over Argentina.

World champions New Zealand head to Murrayfield on the back of being outplayed by France in the second half at Stade de France last weekend, having been outstanding in the opening 40 minutes to set up a victory in Paris.

Les Bleus will fancy their chances of seeing off a Springboks side that was hammered by Ireland, who should see off Fiji at the Aviva Stadium. Wales will aim to take the frustration of their latest loss to Australia out on Georgia.

With the help of Opta, we take a statistical look at the five Tests.

England v Australia

The Six Nations champions have won their last four matches against Jones’ country of birth, including a 3-0 whitewash in Australia last year.

Australia have scored 55 tries in 2017, only twice have they scored more in a calendar year (64 in 2003, 56 in 1998).

England, who welcome Owen Farrell back into the side with Maro Itoje on the bench, are unbeaten in 12 games at Twickenham, their second-best sequence of victories at home. They won 22 in a row from October 1999 to September 2003.

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France v South Africa

The Springboks whitewashed France 3-0 on home soil in June, all three victories by a margin of at least 22 points.

However, Les Bleus have come out on top in four of their last five home Tests against South Africa.

Antoine Dupont made four clean breaks, beat seven defenders and made 91 metres against New Zealand last Saturday. Since the 2015 Rugby World Cup, no tier one scrum-half has matched any of those statistics.

Ireland v Fiji

Joe Schmidt’s side may not have expected to beat South Africa so emphatically, but they will be expected to rack up the points this weekend.

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Ireland, who have handed a debut to centre Chris Farrell, have played only three Tests against Fiji, winning all three by 35 points or more.

Fiji wing Josua Tuisova has won 12 turnovers for Toulon in the TOP 14 this season, more than any other player in the competition this season, he’s also crossed for five tries in his seven appearances.

Scotland v New Zealand

The All Blacks have never been beaten by Scotland in 30 Tests, only twice being held to a draw.

None of the current Scotland squad were born the last time they avoided defeat against the All Blacks – a 25-25 draw in 1983 – while Wyatt Crockett and Jerome Kaino are the only players in the world champions’ touring squad to be born before that clash.

Scotland have won their last five matches at Murrayfield, their best winning sequence at the famous venue since a 13-game run from 1989 to 1991.

Wales v Georgia

This will be the first Test meeting between the two nations and Georgia will be looking for a first win against tier one opposition.

Wales missed just three of 153 attempted tackles [98 per cent success rate] against the Wallabies, the last time they missed fewer was in 2013 against Scotland. However, the 20 turnovers conceded was their highest figure in 15 matches.

Georgia full-back Soso Matiashvili scored 34 points against Canada last weekend, the most ever by a Lelos player in a Test match.

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M
Mzilikazi 26 minutes ago
Swashbuckling Hurricanes and Harlequins show scrum still matters

I always enjoy a good scrum based article. Thanks, Nick. The Hurricanes are looking more and more the team to beat down here in Australasia. They are a very well balanced team. And though there are far fewer scrums in the game these days, destructive power in that area is a serious weapon, especially an attacking scrum within in the red zone. Aumua looked very good as a young first year player, but then seemed to fade. He sure is back now right in the picture for the AB’s. And I would judge that Taukei’aho is in a bit of a slump currently. Watching him at Suncorp a few weeks ago, I thought he was not as dominant in the game as I would have expected. I am going to raise an issue in that scrum at around the 13 min mark. I see a high level of danger there for the TH lifted off the ground. He is trapped between the opposition LH and his own powerful SR. His neck is being put under potentially dangerous pressure. The LH has, in law , no right to use his superior scrummaging skill….getting his head right in on the breastbone of the TH…..to force him up and off the ground. Had the TH popped out of the scrum, head up and free, there is no danger, that is a clear penalty to the dominant scrum. The law is quite clear on this issue: Law 37 Dangerous play and restricted practices in a scrum. C:Intentionally lifting an opponent off their feet or forcing them upwards out of the scrum. Sanction: Penalty. Few ,if any, referees seem to be aware of this law, and/or the dangers of the situation. Matthew Carly, refereeing Clermont v Munster in 2021, penalised the Munster scrum, when LH Wycherly was lifted very high, and in my view very dangerously, by TH Slimani. Lifting was coached in the late ‘60’s/70’s. Both Lions props, Ray McLouglin, and “Mighty Mouse” McLauchlan, were expert and highly successful at this technique. I have seen a photo, which I can’t find online atm, of MM with a NZ TH(not an AB) on his head, MM standing upright as the scrum disintegrates.

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