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Super Rugby Pacific 2024: Predicted finish for every Australian team

Waratahs captain Jake Gordon, Brumbies captain Allan Alaalatoa, Rebels captain Rob Leota, Force captain Michael Wells and Reds captain Tate McDermott at the 2024 Super Rugby Pacific Season Launch on February 14, 2024 in Auckland, New Zealand. (Photo by Dave Rowland/Getty Images for Rugby Australia)

A guide to the Australian teams in the 2024 Super Rugby Pacific season:

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ACT Brumbies

2023 finish: 3rd

Projected 2024 finish: 3rd

Major gains: Halfback Harrrison Goddard (LA Gilitinis), centre Austin Anderson (Waikato).

Major losses: Halfback Nic White (Force), Pete Samu (Bordeaux), fullback Jesse Mogg (retired), centre Chris Feauai-Sautia (released).

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Talking point: This season could be the making of halfback Ryan Lonergan, who gets to call all the shots following the departure of veteran Nic White to Perth, while also slated to take over as captain.

Melbourne Rebels

2023 finish: 10th

Projected 2024 finish: 11th

Major gains: Prop Taniela Tupou (Reds), lock Lukhan Salakaia-Loto (Northampton), halfback Jack Maunder (Exeter), Jake Strachan (Force), centre/winger Filipo Daugunu (Reds), centre Matt Proctor (Northampton), winger Darby Lancaster (sevens), fullback Jake Strachan (Force).

Major losses: Utility back Reece Hodge (Bayonne), lock Trevor Hosea (Tokyo Sungoliath), lock Matt Philip (Yokohama Canon Eagles), winger Monty Ioane (Lyon), centre Stacey Ili (Hawke’s Bay), flanker Richard Hardwick (Ealing).

Talking point: With a beefed-up forward pack including Test prop Tupou and fresh speed out wide, can the Rebels perform with the financially-stricken club’s future hanging in the balance?

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Queensland Reds

2023 finish: 8th

Projected 2024 finish: 6th

Major gains: Prop Alex Hodgman (Blues), Jeffery Toomaga-Allen (Ulster), Joe Brial (Canterbury).

Major losses: Prop Taniela Tupou (Rebels), centre/winger Filipo Daugunu (Rebels), prop Dane Zander (Los Angeles), Lock Luke Jones (retired).

Talking point: Replacing coach Brad Thorn, Les Kiss has brought in two ex-All Blacks to cover the loss of prop Taniela Tupou while young playmaker Tom Lynagh should flourish with a season under his belt.

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NSW Waratahs

2023 finish: 6th

Projected 2024 finish: 10th

Major gains: Prop Tom Ross (Brumbies), prop Hayden Thompson-Stringer (La Rochelle), lock Miles Amatosero (Clermont), flanker Mesu Kunavula (Brive), back-rower Fergus Lee-Warner (Bath).

Major losses: Flanker Michael Hooper (sevens), five-eighth Ben Donaldson (Force), prop Nephi Leatigaga (Dax), back-rower Will Harris (Force), halfback Harrison Goddard (Brumbies), winger Nemani Nadolo (retired).

Talking point: The Waratahs have made the quarter-finals the past two seasons but coach Darren Coleman has reportedly being given a four-round deadline to show they are capable of a top-four berth.

Western Force

2023 finish: 10th

Projected 2024 finish: 7th

Major gains: Halfback Nic White (Brumbies), five-eighth Ben Donaldson (Waratahs), back-rower Will Harris (Waratahs), winger Harry Potter (Leicester), prop Atu Moli (Chiefs), lock Tom Franklin (Taranaki).

Major losses: Prop Tom Robertson (sabbatical), hooker Folau Fainga’a (Clermont), lock Jeremy Thrush (retired), back-rower Isi Naisarani (released), halfback Gareth Simpson (Saracens), five-eighth Bryce Hegarty (Red Hurricanes Osaka), fullback Jake Strachan (Rebels).

Talking point: Will the addition of Wallabies playmakers Ben Donaldson and Nic White be the extra ingredient that will see the cashed-up Force challenge the competition big guns?

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c
cw 6 hours ago
The coaching conundrum part one: Is there a crisis Down Under?

Thanks JW for clarifying your point and totally agree. The ABs are still trying to find their mojo” - that spark of power that binds and defines them. Man the Boks certainly found theirs in Wellington! But I think it cannot be far off for ABs - my comment about two coaches was a bit glib. The key point for me is that they need first a coach or coaches that can unlock that power and for me that starts at getting the set piece right and especially the scrum and second a coach that can simplify the game plans. I am fortified in this view by NBs comment that most of the ABs tries come from the scrum or lineout - this is the structured power game we have been seeing all year. But it cannot work while the scrum is backpeddling. That has to be fixed ASAP if Robertson is going to stick to this formula. I also think it is too late in the cycle to reverse course and revert to a game based on speed and continuity. The second is just as important - keep it simple! Complex movements that require 196 cm 144 kg props to run around like 95kg flankers is never going to work over a sustained period. The 2024 Blues showed what a powerful yet simple formula can do. The 2025 Blues, with Beauden at 10 tried to be more expansive / complicated - and struggled for most of the season.

I also think that the split bench needs to reflect the game they “want” to play not follow some rote formula. For example the ABs impact bench has the biggest front row in the World with two props 195cm / 140 kg plus. But that bulk cannot succeed without the right power based second row (7, 4, 5, 6). That bulk becomes a disadvantage if they don’t have a rock solid base behind them - as both Boks showed at Eden Park and the English in London. Fresh powerful legs need to come on with them - thats why we need a 6-2 bench. And teams with this split can have players focused only on 40 minutes max of super high intensity play. Hence Robertson needs to design his team to accord with these basic physics.



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