Stat chat: How the Super Rugby Pacific finalists stack up

There is only one major statistical category in which the Crusaders have outperformed the Chiefs in 2025, but no one beats the storied club on its home soil. So, who’s the favourite to lift the silverware?

The Super Rugby Pacific grand final is here, and it’s the best of the best squaring off in a contest where both sides have plenty of reasons to feel confident.

25 capped All Blacks have been named across the respective matchday 23s, with a handful of fringe prospects also looking to make their mark.

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The Chiefs had two statement wins over the Crusaders in the round-robin stages, and while the teams ended the season with the same record, with just three losses from 14 games, it’s the Hamilton-based outfit that scored more points and conceded fewer than anyone in the competition.

The Crusaders, though, have owned the playoffs for the better part of the last decade and have proven to be all but invincible at Apollo Projects Stadium.

Here’s how they stack up statistically in 2025.

Head-to-Head

Last 5 Meetings

Wins

3

Draws

0

Wins

2

Average Points scored

28

31

First try wins

40%

Home team wins

60%

Attack

These are two efficient attacking outfits, the two most prolific point scorers in Super Rugby 2025. But, even with that being the case, the gap between the Chiefs’ points average and the Crusaders’ is still wide.

The Chiefs scored more than five points per game more than the Crusaders this season, despite claiming the same number of tries per game.

On the surface, this is one of the biggest separators between the two teams; the Chiefs make just shy of 80 per cent of their attempts off the tee count, while the Crusaders have made just 65 per cent of their kicks – the second-worst mark in the competition.

However, that figure from the Crusaders is suffering a hangover from the inexperienced boot of Taha Kemara, who is no longer active for the Cantabrians following a season-ending knee injury. Saturday’s starter, Rivez Reihana, is the most accurate of the trio of playmakers the Crusaders have deployed in 2025, making 75 per cent of his attempts on a smaller sample size. Reihana has attempted just a third of the kicks Damian McKenzie has this season.

The Chiefs play with the ball the most of any team in 2025, as evidenced by them making the most passes per game and ranking in the top three for carries, carry metres, linebreaks, defenders beaten, and offloads.

The Crusaders don’t beat the Chiefs in many attacking metrics, but have comparable numbers when it comes to offloads.

The Chiefs make a competition-leading 11.1 entries into their opponents’ 22, and while the Crusaders only make 8.9 entries, they are 10 per cent more likely to score a try once in close-striking range.

The Crusaders are twice as likely to score off a turnover, while the Chiefs are slightly more likely to score off of set piece.

Defence

These teams tackle at the same rate of 88.2 per cent, but the Crusaders make 40 more tackles per game than the Chiefs, making their number more impressive, but also meaning they miss more attempts. This tackle rate puts both teams in the top six across Super Rugby Pacific, TOP 14, Gallagher Premiership, and United Rugby Championship.

As is the case with attack, the Chiefs own the better stats when it comes to opponent 22 entries, allowing just 7.6 entries per game compared to the Crusaders’ 9.9. And, as is the case on attack, the Crusaders are more effective once backed into their 22, conceding a try 34.6 per cent of the time compared to the Chiefs’ rate of 41 per cent.

The Crusaders made 93 per cent of their 218 tackle attempts in the semi-final against the Blues, including a superb final stand that repelled dozens of phases from the desperate reigning champions.

The Chiefs made 89 per cent of their 195 tackle attempts in their semi-final against the Brumbies. Both finalists had less possession than their opponents in those games.

Fixture

Super Rugby Pacific

Crusaders

16 - 12

Full-time

Chiefs

All Stats and Data

Set piece

The Chiefs’ scrum is the most effective in the competition, with the best rate of scrums won via penalty for both attacking and defensive efforts.

The Crusaders are as accurate in the lineout as anyone, and this area is the one that stands out as one of the biggest advantages for the hosts. The Crusaders are three per cent more successful in the lineout than the Chiefs.

The Chiefs are far more efficient with their 22 exits, despite having a similar tactical approach when it comes to kicking more than running the ball out.

Both sides had five scrums in their semi-finals, but the Crusaders opted for 23 lineouts, 11 more than the Chiefs, as the Blues conceded five more penalties than the Brumbies.