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'Boks will come with the same game plan': Schalk Burger predicts Wellington repeat for All Blacks

Jordie Barrett of New Zealand and Damian Willemse of South Africa compete for the ball during The Rugby Championship match between New Zealand All Blacks and South Africa Springboks at Sky Stadium on September 13, 2025 in Wellington, New Zealand. (Photo by Joe Allison/Getty Images)
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55 Comments

Former Springboks flanker Schalk Burger has predicted that South Africa will replicate their Wellington game plan when they face the All Blacks in next month’s Test series.

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After losing 24-17 to the All Blacks at Eden Park, the Springboks flipped the script with a new-look line-up and returned to beat the All Blacks 43-10 in Wellington the following week.

Key to the dominant win was the aerial supremacy by the Springboks, using the high ball through Mannie Libbok to put the home side under pressure repeatedly.

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Burger highlighted that throughout July, none of the All Blacks’ opponents tested them out through the air effectively.

“None of the teams that they’ve played against have really challenged them in an aerial kicking game. The French game, it’s a long kick, a long kick. Ireland, this past weekend, didn’t get involved in a kicking battle,” he told the panel on the Boks Unpacked X The Verdict podcast.

“It’s a different game when you’re running back and against the Springboks. You think of that Wellington Test match last year, under the high ball, that was ultimately where the Boks dominated. The Boks will come with the same game plan.

“This is going to be such a fascinating format series because we don’t have those opportunities anymore. You know the All Blacks will be better for it by the third or fourth game.

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“The first two games, if the Springboks keep on improving, we’ll put them under immense pressure.”

The All Blacks have implemented new tactics to deal with the high ball after the escort rules have changed, preferring to use the retreating winger as the primary catcher when they can.

New first five-eighth Ruben Love has been secure in the backfield the few times he was required to, with Will Jordan and Josh Moorby fielding the lion share of kicks.

Although confident of South Africa’s prospects coming into the series, Burger conceded that the Boks haven’t felt pressure on defence so far in 2026 after games against England, Scotland and Wales.

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The All Blacks are playing a high possession game with long phase counts, which will require the defence to tackle well.

“Defensively, we weren’t put under a lot of pressure [in the Nations Championship so far],” Burger said.

“If we come up against the All Blacks, and if they play like they currently are, we’re going to be making 160, 180 tackles, so tackle success rate is one area to improve.

“And also, do you have the ability to have that intensity and line speed all the time? That’s a different challenge.”

Despite claiming that they haven’t been put under pressure, the Springboks conceded 31 points against the Barbarians, 21 against England, 28 against Scotland before holding Wales to nil in their final July outing.

Wales and England were the bottom finishers in the Six Nations, while Scotland came third.

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55 Comments
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TokoRFC 23 days ago

I usually find Burger a wise analyst but I’m not sure it will play out like this. (Ben Smith may have just cherry picked quotes once again though)


Anyway, it was a no brainer kicking high to Razors All Blacks because even if they caught it for once they would just go to phase play and you could rush them. Thereby gaining ground without possession, it was basically free meters with a chance of getting the ball back and attacking them before they reset their D.


But it looks like Rennies All Blacks are looking for opportunities to counter attack. We haven’t quite seen them be ruthless there but if the opposition has a better counter attack, you will need to winning well over 50% of the high balls for it to be a good option.


They are also seem to want the defense to rush up so the second playmaker can get around the rushing players with the dog leg backline they are using. South Africa have an excellent scramble D if they do get around them though. Especially with Kolisi playing I think that will be more of an asset than the rush this time around.

C
CG 26 days ago

The only aim for the abs is to keep their five irreplaceable players away from the psycho saffer maim squad

Losing four zip is a given And doesn’t matter at all

Letting ox the stranger Eben the gouger and their einsatz gruppen mates at our best lads is not ok

B
Bruiser 26 days ago

Please kick to us….Rennie sees it as first phase ball

A
Ayre123 None 27 days ago

Not clear who in the Boks lineup can kick accurate Up and Under?

It’s a risk if you rely on Mannie or Williams who tend to kick far, invited the ABs’ high speed counter attacks

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RK 27 days ago

That’s assuming they play an aerial game the same way, the Springboks can play in multiple different ways, think the AB’s are one dimensional and have no depth

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DP 27 days ago

Trash an awful Irish team and now all of a sudden they’re infallible. love it. What was the scoreline against the French B team?

B
Blackmania 27 days ago

I agree with Schalk—go ahead and kick plenty of high balls, Springboks. We’ll see whether the rewards are the same this time.

I think you’ve figured out what my opinion is.

B
Ben 27 days ago

Ben Smith transcript services. You say it, I type it up as my own under byline.

R
RD 27 days ago

Good to see Saffers clinging to the Caketin meltdown, assuming more of the same will be happening this year. 😀

Q
Quincy79 27 days ago

The irony RD is that Springbok supporters don't have to cling to one result—we've got quite a few recent ones to choose from. The real question is why so many people keep clinging to the idea that this is finally the year South Africa gets found out. That prediction has had a remarkably poor strike rate.

K
KJD 27 days ago

Aerial game will probably decide the series. Before SA started putting the ball up in the second half in Wellington they were down and lucky not to be 14-0(Kolbe all or nothing intercept). Going to be interesting

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RD 27 days ago

France and Ireland are noted for their box kicks but were easily neutralized. With two playmakers those kicks could turn into a deadly AB counter attack?

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J Marc 27 days ago

“ the french game, it’s a long kick , a long kick”.

I think he did'nt watch a french game since at least 3 years. Even in the last France South Africa, it was not that…

d
d 26 days ago

you are right, it’s nonsense, the French love to run the ball as much as the ABs do, as we saw in the first match this year. in RWC23, the Boks beat France by wearing them down with kicking for all of the first half, boring as hell to watch but undoubtedly effective and then, steamrollered them with their bench.

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NoLongerARuck 27 days ago

I expect the Springboks will be underdone for this series with the All Blacks out of the blocks faster. The Boks dont quite get their cohesion until test 6 or 7 of the year while the All Blacks have kept the core of their team together

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Quincy79 27 days ago

I'd actually agree that New Zealand may look sharper out of the blocks. That's the trade-off when one coach builds continuity and the other builds depth. The only thing history has shown, though, is that writing off a Rassie side because they don't look polished in July has become one of rugby's least profitable predictions. The Springboks have a habit of looking their most cohesive exactly when everyone says they won't.

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Hammer Head 27 days ago

I like the optimism.

c
cnw 27 days ago

I have 17 reasons why Wellington has little relevance come August - 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 13, 16, 17, 18, 20, 21, 22, 23 - being the positions with different first choice ABs.

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Tah Man Too 26 days ago

Nailed it. This is a different team with a different approach. Feels like the start of something special, though I do hope they bust out against the Wallabies this year :)

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Wayneo 27 days ago

To make a fair comparrison, neither have the ABs been put under pressure on offence or defence yet.


France C team, Italy B team and the worst performance I have seen from Ireland to date all did very little for them. In hindsight maybe mixing up their selections a bit would have done more for their development.

G
GodOfFriedChicken 27 days ago

Let’s see if the same tactics work the same though. This team despite a messy start seems a lot more assured with what it’s doing and is likely to keep improving and has done so. Rennie’s also made it much clearer that he has high expectations for the team and it’s harder to foresee a quit-job happening under his watch. The Wellington implosion felt like it was an eventuality given the regular second half/third quarter meltdowns, especially given how unconvincing so many other ABs wins under Razor looked before then.

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Cantab 26 days ago

Exactly. Every game plan has a counter and I suspect Rennie has already developed one to counter the Boks aerial bombardment . He has already shown that he is a smart operator & is restructuring the ABs stodgy and unimaginative style of play that bedeviled them in recent years. Exciting times lie ahead and it seems he has the FULL support of his players which is a biggie.

R
RC 27 days ago

3-1 NZ. Rightful rugby order restored

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RD 27 days ago

Why so pessimistic? 😀

u
unknown 27 days ago

😂🙄

d
d 27 days ago

The ABs will come under unnecessary pressure if the refs allow the chaser to barge into the defender in the air even if they are late to the ball. That happened to Love twice in the recent series. Rugby either needs to ban jumping in the air or police the air better, or necks will be broken.

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BH 27 days ago

Defensively, we weren’t put under a lot of pressure

Burger must’ve had too many beers and braai, and missed the Scotland game were they were cut to shreds through the middle of the field for most of the game.


NZ has a new (and smarter) coaching setup, and they have an improved strategy to catching the ball in their backfield. Love, Moorby and Jordan are all excellent under the high ball.

B
Bruiser 26 days ago

Scotland put them under immense pressure and if the ref hasnt allowed the illegal carrying of a player in the air, then that game was very close

D
DP 27 days ago

Hopefully Rassie and his coaches are reading this, hopefully they’ll play an experienced backline against the All Blacks. Hopefully..

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Quincy79 27 days ago

Amazing how one experimental July Test suddenly outweighs years of evidence. By that logic, every team that leaked tries in a warm-up should probably cancel the season.


Scotland had moments, absolutely. Yet somehow the Springboks still won comfortably. BH remember the line breaks but forget the scoreboard.


Love, Moorby and Jordan are excellent players. The real question is whether they'll look just as comfortable when they're catching those high balls with green jerseys arriving half a second later. That's a very different skill test.


So BH you’re judging the Springboks on one rotated July performance, but judging New Zealand on their absolute ceiling? That's... a remarkably selective analysis.

L
Lou Cifer 27 days ago

Jordan hasn’t been that excellent of late at all….Moorby is yet to face the Boks pressure game too. DMac has been found wanting in that aspect on a few occasions when facing the Boks recently. I like the look of Moorby, really exciting player. Let the games begin!

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PB 27 days ago

Moorby yes. Jordan not so much. He fluffs a few

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SB 27 days ago

Perhaps not a 33 point win but the blueprint to attack the All Blacks was done fantastically in that game. The Kiwi forward pack is not dominant and will struggle against the two best nations in the world across the full 80 minutes.

c
cnw 27 days ago

Agree on both counts - but the ABs are now fundamentally different from the 2025 Wellington team - literally 17 positions now with different first choice players, different coaches, and markedly different game plan. Overall, while I have not compared the top teams in any forensic way, I would not put the difference at more than 5-10 points assuming best performance.

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Icefarrow 27 days ago

The two best nations are SA and NZ. You’re not making any sense.

K
Koro Teeps 27 days ago

Depends how dominant is defined. The All Blacks are clearly developing a different game. We won't beat the Boks by trying to copy them. But we might beat the Boks by outworkimg them, one cleaner with next man picking/popping or playing nine.

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