Which Red Roses make it on the plane to New Zealand?
With the Allianz Premier 15s over for another season and Saracens Women once again reigning supreme it feels like a quiet time for women’s rugby, but behind the scenes it’s all go as teams prepare for the World Cup.
Details around the tournament have started to be announced and we now know that each country will name a squad of 32 players, so it’s time for me to play rugby’s own Nostradamus and have a go at predicting the players Simon Middleton will be handing boarding passes to.
Before we begin, let’s consider how those 32 places break down. Teams have to name nine specialist front row players, which means 23 places to share around the other positions, quite the drop off from the 40-player training squad the Red Roses started with for the Six Nations.
Given that injuries are bound to happen, versatility will be key, but nonetheless for the sake of working things out I’ve gone with a squad breakdown as follows: nine front row, four locks, six back row, three scrum halves, two fly halves, three centres, three wing and two full backs. Many of the players will be able to swap their spot but even so there will be a few big names who might miss out, and I’ll flag up any outside bets too.
So let’s dive straight in with the front row. There are five names here that I’ve written down without even thinking about it: Vickii Cornborough is probably the most complete prop in the team and in my book, she starts every game at loosehead when fit. Hannah Botterman is her biggest rival for the one shirt and while she might not be as well rounded in set piece situations, she’s deadly in the loose so a fantastic bench option.
Amy Cokayne and Lark Davies are a coin toss for starting and bench hookers, Davies is a try scoring machine and Cokayne is a wild card with a dazzling skill set. Both of whom would be pushing to start for any team in the world right now. Then you move across to tighthead where Sarah Bern is redefining what being a prop means. She plays the game like Ireland’s Tadgh Furlong. She has pace, supreme carrying ability and an unbelievable engine, so much so that Bristol Bears have even moved her to the back row late on in games this season.
Five places gone, five world class players picked. Next up for me is Maud Muir. Still very young at 20 years of age, but probably the second-best tighthead available. More importantly she can also hook and scrum on either side of the pack so right there we find the versatility we talked about previously.
That gives us two full front rows so with three places left there are lots of options, but I suspect Gloucester-Hartpury’s Connie Powell maintains her space as the third-choice hooker as she’s looked comfortable when called upon. Shaunagh Brown has slipped down the pecking order of late but I could see her ferocious defensive efforts being enough to maintain her place in the squad.
That leaves one spot open and many will be calling for the sensational Simi Pam to be included here but I’m not convinced Middleton will take a risk on an uncapped player this late in the day, so my money is on Bryony Cleall being the final front row in the mix. However, don’t be too surprised if Detysha Harper gets in ahead of either Cleall or Brown as she’s another who has never let the side down when called upon. If it were really up to me though I’d probably be looking at Bristol’s Hannah West, another versatile player, dependable when throwing in to the line out and one who is quietly excellent game after game.
On to the second row and World Player of the Year Zoe Aldcroft is a shoo-in as is Abbie Ward. The first two places are dead easy, but then it gets tougher. I’d expect Harlequins’ Rosie Galligan to take the third spot after a really positive performance in the spring. The fourth place is really up for grabs though, could it be Harriet Millar-Mills, Rowena Burnfield, Cath O’Donnell or Morwenna Talling? They have all been involved when fit and Middleton is a big fan of Talling in particular, but she has been out all season with the others also ending the season injured so it may simply be a race to see who is fit first.
Equally there are options in the back row who can easily step into the engine room if needed and that’s why I’m going to go off the board a little bit and pick Sarah Beckett as a lock option here – she’s played the role for Harlequins Women on a number of occasions this season and it really allows her to use her power to the greatest effect in the scrum.
The back row options begin with talismanic captain Sarah Hunter, but you could start an all-Saracens line-up of Marlie Packer, Vicky Fleetwood and Poppy Cleall to devastating effect too (you might also put Cleall or perhaps Hunter into the second row). All four will be straight onto the plane. Alex Matthews will be there too; her work rate is unsurpassed and she offers real versatility. For the final spot let’s eschew that versatility and opt for a real specialist – Sadia Kabeya is a huge talent and a true openside (and probably Packer’s heir apparent) so she gets my vote.
Scrum-half is one of England’s strongest positions with two players scrapping it out to start, and if it isn’t perhaps quite the same class as France’s choices of Laure Sansus and Pauline Bourdon, then the choice of Leanne Infante or Natasha Hunt isn’t far off. For me Infante probably starts as Hunt’s energy offers more of a game changing opportunity. In the continued absence of Claudia MacDonald, the third-choice spot is less clear and whilst Lucy Packer has looked great for Harlequins and when called upon for England I’ve decided to opt for Saracens’ Ella Wyrwas as she’s a little more versatile and more likely to be a threat if moved to the wing.
A really outside pick might be Flo Robinson who can play nine or ten and has been around the Red Roses squads but is a little further back in her development right now.
Fly-half is probably the least contentious position here with Zoe Harrison and Helena Rowland the clear first and second choices. The pair are versatile too, with both being an inside centre option and Rowland possibly even making a case to wear the 15 shirt.
In the midfield you start with Emily Scarratt at outside centre and then work out who to fit around her. I’ve not given myself room for many options but either of my fly-halves could slot in at 12, as could both my other picks. Holly Aitchison is probably the most able deputy for Scaz that Middleton has at his disposal. I’d say she starts at 12 and can also cover fly-half if required so she is in.
My other pick is also hugely skilled but doesn’t always get the plaudits she deserves. Amber Reed is a lynchpin player for Bristol Bears Women and a natural leader with some of the best hands in the Premier 15s. In my opinion she offers her best every game.
That means announcing my biggest omission yet – due to the player numbers available I don’t think Lagi Tuima makes it unless there is an injury along the way. It’s a big shame, not least as I’m a huge fan of the way Tuima plays the game but her form has dipped a little this season whereas both Aitchison and Reed have been the model of consistency.
Onto the wings now and having only given myself three spots to fill I’m let off the hook somewhat by Abby Dow being out injured for the tournament. It’s a huge loss as she has been consistently excellent whether in a Wasps or England shirt, but the team aren’t short of other options. Jess Breach is straight in of course and I’ve picked her Quins teammate and England Sevens player Heather Cowell too. Both are deadly try scorers and have dancing feet to keep defenders on their toes. Lydia Thompson gets the third berth as another lethal scoring threat. Thompson has had her own injury issues though so this is one position where Middleton might end up with an untested player if Thompson is unavailable. Another England Sevens flyer Grace Crompton is an exciting talent who is definitely on the radar for a space on the wing for the national team. There are also some fullback options who could be deployed out wide if required. Ellie Boatman and Alicia Maude are two others making their name on the sevens circuit who could be worth a call if injuries hit.
Which brings us to the last line of defence and I’ve gone with two distinctly different players here. Saracens’ Sarah McKenna is my first pick. The definition of reliable, she’s always a safe pair of hands at the back and can even take a turn at inside centre should the need arise.
She’s a calm head and another who simply knows how to win after being so consistent for club and country over the years. I suspect Middleton goes with Ellie Kildunne as his other choice. She’s a different prospect entirely, leaving more gaps for the opposition but also making more plays herself and possessing lightning pace that draws defenders like a magnet.
This is another spot open to debate and if I had to make the call, I would probably put newly capped Emma Sing just ahead of Kildunne. She’s a better kicker and has really quarterbacked the Gloucester-Hartpury attack this season, she’s also no slouch when it comes to running at the opposition, however, Kildunne’s experience on the international stage gives her the edge. Merryn Doidge of Exeter Chiefs is another who I thought a year ago might get the call up here but I get the feeling she’s slipped down the pecking order for now.
Matt’s squad:
Props: Sarah Bern, Vickii Cornborough, Hannah Botterman, Maud Muir, Bryony Cleall, Shaunagh Brown
Hookers: Amy Cokayne, Lark Davies, Connie Powell
Locks: Zoe Aldcroft, Abbie Ward, Rosie Galligan, Sarah Beckett
Back row: Sarah Hunter, Poppy Cleall, Vicky Fleetwood, Marlie Packer, Alex Matthews, Sadia Kabeya
Scrum-halves: Leanne Infante, Natahsa Hunt, Ella Wyrwas
Fly-halves: Zoe Harrison, Helena Rowland
Centres: Emily Scarratt, Holly Aitchison, Amber Reed
Wings: Jess Breach, Heather Cowell, Lydia Thompson
Full backs: Sarah McKenna, Ellie Kildunne
Comments on RugbyPass
I think Etene has had some good tuition, likely while at the Warriors to be a professional that helped his rugby jump, but he was certainly thrown in the deep end way too early. Should have arguably 20 less SR caps, and therefor a way better record that he does at his age, but his development would have been fast tracked by the need to satiate his signing away from league. Again, credit to him and others that he has done it so well. Easy to fall over under that pressure in the big leagues like that but he kept at it when I myself wasn’t sure he was good enough.
1 Go to commentsAwesome story. I wonder what a bigger American (SA) scene might have mean for Brex.
1 Go to comments“Johnny McNicholl and the Crusaders” save a Penney. Who has been in camp this week and showed them how to play?
5 Go to commentsSo, reports of the Crusaders’ demise / terminal decline are perhaps just - slightly - premature/exaggerated…? 🤔 Will we see a deep-dive into that by the estimable Rugbypass scribes, and maybe one or two mea culpas? Thought not.
5 Go to comments1. The Chiefs are rudderless without DMac, which enhances his AB chances 2. Chiefs pack are powderpuffs. The hard men arent there anymore 3. They had their golden title chance last yr and wont threaten this yr. Gone in second round of playoffs.
5 Go to commentsHonestly, why did you have to publish such a foolish article the day they play us? 😂
33 Go to comments> They are not standalone entities. They are linked to an amateur association which holds the FFR licence that allows the professional side to compete in the league. That’s a great rule. This looks like the chicken or egg professional scenario. How long is it going to be before the club can break even (if that is even a thing in French rugby)? If the locals aren’t into well it would be good to se them drop to amateur level (is it that far?). Hope they can reset from this level and be more practical, there will be a time when they can rebuild (if France has there setup right).
1 Go to commentsWhat about changing the ball? To something heavier and more pointed that bounces unpredictably. Not this almost round football used these days.
35 Go to commentsThis is the problem with conservative mindsets and phycology, and homogenous sports, everybody wants to be the same, use the i-win template. Athlete wise everyone has to have muscles and work at the gym to make themselves more likely to hold on that one tackle. Do those players even wonder if they are now more likely to be tackled by that player as a result of there “work”? Really though, too many questions, Jake. Is it better Jake? Yes, because you still have that rugby of ole that you talk about. Is it at the highest International level anymore? No, but you go to your club or checkout your representative side and still engage with that ‘beautiful game’. Could you also have a bit of that at the top if coaches encouraged there team to play and incentivized players like Damian McKenzie and Ange Capuozzo? Of course we could. Sadly Rugby doesn’t, or didn’t, really know what direction to go when professionalism came. Things like the state of northern pitches didn’t help. Over the last two or three decades I feel like I’ve been fortunate to have all that Jake wants. There was International quality Super Rugby to adore, then the next level below I could watch club mates, pulling 9 to 5s, take on the countries best in representative rugby. Rugby played with flair and not too much riding on the consequences. It was beautiful. That largely still exists today, but with the world of rugby not quite getting things right, the picture is now being painted in NZ that that level of rugby is not required in the “pathway” to Super Rugby or All Black rugby. You might wonder if NZR is right and the pathway shouldn’t include the ‘amateur’, but let me tell you, even though the NPC might be made up of people still having to pull 9-5s, we know these people still have dreams to get out of that, and aren’t likely to give them. They will be lost. That will put a real strain on the concept of whether “visceral thrill, derring-do and joyful abandon” type rugby will remain under the professional level here in NZ. I think at some point that can be eroded as well. If only wanting the best athlete’s at the top level wasn’t enough to lose that, shutting off the next group, or level, or rugby players from easy access to express and showcase themselves certainly will. That all comes back around to the same question of professionalism in rugby and whether it got things right, and rugby is better now. Maybe the answer is turning into a “no”?
35 Go to commentsWow, didn’t realise there was such apathy to URC in SA, or by Champions Cup teams. Just read Nick’s article on Crusaders, are Sharks a similar circumstance? I think SA rugby has been far more balanced than NZs, no?
2 Go to commentsBut here in Australia we were told Penney was another gun kiwi coach, for the Tahs…….and yet again it turned out the kiwi coach was completely useless. Another con job on Australian rugby. As was Robbie Deans, as was Dave Rennie. Both coaches dumped from NZ and promoted to Australia as our saviour. And the Tahs lap them up knowing they are second rate and knowing that under pressure when their short comings are exposed in Australia as well, that they will fall in below the largest most powerful province and choose second rate Tah players to save their jobs. As they do and exactly as Joe Schmidt will do. Gauranteed. Schmidt was dumped by NZ too. That’s why he went overseas. That why kiwi coaches take jobs in Australia, to try and prove they are not as bad as NZ thought they were. Then when they get found out they try and ingratiate themselves to NZ again by dragging Australian teams down with ridiculous selections and game plans. NZ rugby’s biggest problem is that it can’t yet transition from MCaw Cheatism. They just don’t know how to try and win on your merits. It is still always a contest to see how much cheating you can get away with. Without a cheating genius like McCaw, they are struggling. This I think is why my wise old mate in NZ thinks Robertson will struggle. The Crusaders are the nursery of McCaw Cheatism. Sean Fitzpatrick was probably the father of it. Robertson doesn’t know anything else but other countries have worked it out.
33 Go to commentsIt could be coincidental or prescient that the All Blacks most dominant period under Steve Hansen was when the Crusaders had their least successful period under Todd Blackadder and then the positions reversed when Razor took over the Crusaders.
33 Go to commentsDefinitely sound read everybodyexpects immediate results these days, I don't think any team would travel well at all having lost three of the most important game changers in the game,compiled with the massive injury list they are now carrying, good to see a different more in depth perspective of a coaches history.
3 Go to commentsSinckler is a really big loss for English rugby.
2 Go to commentsThanks Nick The loss of players to OS, injury and retirement is certainly not helping the Crusaders. Ditto the coach. IMO Penny is there to hold the fort and cop the flak until new players and a new coach come through,…and that's understood and accepted by Penny and the Crusaders hierarchy. I think though that what is happening with the Crusaders is an indicator of what is happening with the other NZ SRP teams…..and the other SRP teams for that matter. Not enough money. The money has come via the SR competition and it’s not there anymore. It's in France, Japan and England. Unless or until something is done to make SR more SELLABLE to the NZ/Australia Rugby market AND the world rugby market the $s to keep both the very best players and the next rung down won't be there. They will play away from NZ more and more. I think though that NZ will continue to produce the players and the coaches of sufficient strength for NZ to have the capacity to stay at the top. Whether they do stay at the top as an international team will depend upon whether the money flowing to SRP is somehow restored, or NZ teams play in the Japan comp, or NZ opts to pick from anywhere. As a follower of many sports I’d have to say that the organisation and promotion of Super Rugby has been for the last 20 years closest to the worst I’ve ever seen. This hasn't necessarily been caused by NZ, but it’s happened. Perhaps it can be fixed, perhaps not. The Crusaders are I think a symptom of this, not the cause
33 Go to commentsNo way. If you are trying to picture New Zealand rugby with an All Blacks mindset, there have been two factors instrumental to the decline of NZ rugby to date. Those are the horror that the Blues have become and, probably more so, the fixture that the Crusaders became. I don’t think it was healthy to have one team so dominant for so long, both for lack of proper representation of players from outside that environment and on the over reliance on players from within it. If you are another international side, like Ireland for example, sure. You can copy paste something succinct from one level to the next and experience a huge increase in standards, but ultimately you will not be maximizing it, which is what you need to perform to the level the ABs do. Added to that is the apathy that develops in the whole game as a result of one sides dominance. NZ, Super, and Championship rugby should all experience a boom as a result of things balancing out. That said, there is a lot of bad news happening in NZ rugby recently, and I’m not sure the game can be handled well enough here to postpone the always-there feeling of inevitable decline of rugby.
33 Go to commentsNo SA supporter miss Super Rugby - a product that is experiencing significant head wind in ANZ - the competition from rival codes are intense, match attendance figures are at a historical low and the negativity of commentators such as Kirwan and Wilson have accelerated the downward spiral in NZ. After the next RWC in 2027 sponsors will follow Qantas and start leaving in droves.
2 Go to commentsLike others, I am not seeing the connection between this edition of the Crusaders and the All Blacks future prospects under Razor. I think the analysis of the Crusaders attack recently is helpful because Razor and his coaching team used to be able to slot new guys in to their systems and see them succeed. Several of Razor’s coaches are still there so it would be surprising if the current attack and set piece has been overhauled to a great extent - but based on that analysis, it may have been. Whether it is too many new guys due to injuries or retirement or a failure of current Crusaders systems is the main question to be answered imo. It doesn’t seem relevant for the ABs.
33 Go to commentsharry potter is set in stone. he creates stability and finishes well. exactly what schmidt likes. he’s the ben smith of australian rugby. i think it could quite easily be potter toole and kellaway for the foreseeable future.
5 Go to commentsThis is short sighted from Clayton if you ask me, smacks of too much preseason planning and no adaptability. What if DMac is out for a must win match, are they still only going to bring their best first five and playmaker on late in the game? Trusting the game to someone who wasn’t even part of planning (they would have had Trask pinned in as Jacomb preseason). Perhaps if the Crusaders were better they would not have done this, but either way imo you take this opportunity to play a guy you might need starting in a final rather than having their 12th game getting comfortable coming off the bench.
1 Go to comments