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The Autumn Internationals Preview: Ireland

Johnny Sexton

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Ireland Schedule
vs New Zealand – Sunday November 6, 4:00am HKT
vs Canada – Sunday November 13, 3:15am HKT
vs New Zealand – Sunday November 20, 1:30am HKT
vs Australia – Sunday November 27, 1:30am HKT

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Johnny Sexton will be vital to Ireland’s Autumn Internationals campaign as they face the All Blacks twice – first in Chicago, then two weeks later in Dublin – as well as Canada and the Wallabies.

What to look out for
For a while the Ireland centre pairing was Brian O’Driscoll and another person and that was enough. Some worried this would lead to some issues once the great man retired, however Ireland have discovered a rich seam of midfielders in recent times. Which two to choose from Robbie Henshaw, Jared Payne, Stuart Olding, Stuart McCloskey, Luke Marshall and the classy youngster Gary Ringrose is a nice problem to have for coach Joe Schmidt.

Strengths
Eoin Murray is one of the best scrum-halves around and his partnership with Johnny Sexton is both very strong and vital to Ireland’s chances.

Weaknesses
The scrum remains a problem and the options at fly-half should Jonny Sexton get injured look a bit like trying to decide whether to have your fingers crushed in a vice or hacked off with a rusty knife.

Coaching situation
Joe Schmidt, the great planner, details supremo and master of all he surveys remains at the helm. He is undoubtedly one of the best around but he has overseen something of a decline in fortunes in 2016.  He needs to address that this November.

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Player to watch
Ultan Dillane. The athletic and dynamic Connacht lock can do everything: run, pass, hit and steal opposition lineout.

Best chance of an upset
Ireland famously nearly drew with the All Blacks in November 2013, with only a dubiously retaken conversion allowing New Zealand to snatch victory. Could they do it again? No, don’t be silly. And to make it worse some fool scheduled them to play the great black nightmare twice. They will fancy beating Australia, but that would barely qualify as an upset.

Prediction
The Mauling Episode 1 vs the All Blacks in Chicago; an easy win vs Canada; The Mauling Episode 2: The All Blacks Strike Again in Dublin; then a narrow win vs Australia.

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SK 1 hour ago
The times are changing, and some Six Nations teams may be left behind

If you are building the same amount of rucks but kicking more is that a bad thing? Kicks are more constestable than ever, fans want to see a contest, is that a bad thing? kicks create broken field situations where counter attacks from be launched from or from which turnover ball can be exploited, attacks are more direct and swift rather than multiphase in nature, is that a bad thing? What is clear now is that a hybrid approach is needed to win matches. You can still build phases but you need to play in the right areas so you have to kick well. You also have to be prepared to play from turnover ball and transition quickly from the kick contest to attack or set your defence quickly if the aerial contest is lost. Rugby seems healthy to me. The rules at ruck time means the team in possession is favoured and its more possible than ever to play a multiphase game. At the same time kicking, set piece, kick chase and receipt seems to be more important than ever. Teams can win in so many ways with so many strategies. If anything rugby resembles footballs 4-4-2 era. Now football is all about 1 striker formations with gegenpress and transition play vs possession heavy teams, fewer shots, less direct play and crossing. Its boring and it plods along with moves starting from deep, passing goalkeepers and centre backs and less wing play. If we keep tinkering with the laws rugby will become a game with more defined styles and less variety, less ways to win effectively and less varied body types and skill sets.

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