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Here's when we will really notice rugby's Regulation 8 Effect – it's sooner than you might think

Munster's New Zealand-born hooker Rhys Marshall

Player eligibility changes will hit long before the December 31, 2020, date mentioned in the press, writes James Harrington.

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December 31, 2020. It’s a Thursday. And, on May 10, 2017 – last Wednesday – it was etched in rugby stone.

On this particular distant Thursday, World Rugby’s Regulation 8 changes – upping the qualifying residency period from 36 months to 60 months. Or from three years to five years, if you want to put it that way.

It has prompted confusion, that otherwise innocent and unassuming date that was unanimously agreed at a meeting in Kyoto, Japan, shortly before the draw for the 2019 World Cup.

Some have wondered why the law could not come into force earlier. After all, there are plenty of Thursdays – and Wednesdays, Sundays, Fridays, Tuesdays, Saturdays and Mondays – between now and then.

READ MORE: A citizen solution to the ‘project player’ problem

The truth is, we will feel the Regulation 8 Effect much sooner than that, World Rugby has confirmed to Rugby Pass. End-of-the-year sooner, in fact.

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December 31, 2020, is not an arbitrary future Thursday that the old farts in suits and Agustin Pichot plucked out of the ether. It’s about as near to now as it’s reasonably possible to get.

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That date is the splash where World Rugby’s player eligibility stone hits the water.

The ripples that stone causes extend back in time – to December 31, 2017. A Sunday. That’s the absolute, definitive, final date at which it is possible for players to complete three years of residency before the 2020 change takes effect.

After this date, qualification periods cross the 2020 threshold. So, players who move from one country to another from 2018 onwards must complete five years’ residency before they can play for the national side of their adopted home.

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The delay is to allow players already in the system, such as Munster’s New Zealand-born hooker Rhys Marshall, and others who may have already agreed to enter the system later this year, to complete their qualifying period under existing regulations.

READ MORE: Changing Top 14 rules mean fewer raids on southern rugby

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SK 1 hour ago
The times are changing, and some Six Nations teams may be left behind

If you are building the same amount of rucks but kicking more is that a bad thing? Kicks are more constestable than ever, fans want to see a contest, is that a bad thing? kicks create broken field situations where counter attacks from be launched from or from which turnover ball can be exploited, attacks are more direct and swift rather than multiphase in nature, is that a bad thing? What is clear now is that a hybrid approach is needed to win matches. You can still build phases but you need to play in the right areas so you have to kick well. You also have to be prepared to play from turnover ball and transition quickly from the kick contest to attack or set your defence quickly if the aerial contest is lost. Rugby seems healthy to me. The rules at ruck time means the team in possession is favoured and its more possible than ever to play a multiphase game. At the same time kicking, set piece, kick chase and receipt seems to be more important than ever. Teams can win in so many ways with so many strategies. If anything rugby resembles footballs 4-4-2 era. Now football is all about 1 striker formations with gegenpress and transition play vs possession heavy teams, fewer shots, less direct play and crossing. Its boring and it plods along with moves starting from deep, passing goalkeepers and centre backs and less wing play. If we keep tinkering with the laws rugby will become a game with more defined styles and less variety, less ways to win effectively and less varied body types and skill sets.

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