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How the rankings could change after Rugby Championship openers

Rassie Erasmus, the South Africa director of rugby, holds a tackle bag during the South Africa Springboks training session held at The Lensbury on November 22, 2022 in Teddington, England. (Photo by David Rogers/Getty Images)

The Springboks face off against the Wallabies in their Rugby Championship opener this weekend and while it won’t be at the forefront of either sides’ minds, both teams could improve their official World Rugby rankings.

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Even with a potential victory, South Africa cannot improve their rating due to the significant 7.17 point difference between the teams before considering home weighting.

Nevertheless, the Boks have an opportunity to surpass their current fourth-place ranking if they secure a win and New Zealand’s All Blacks are defeated by Argentina. Such an outcome would result in a swap between the two sides in the rankings. Additionally, in this scenario, the Wallabies would drop to eighth place, while the Pumas would climb two spots to sixth following their first-ever test victory over the All Blacks on home soil.

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If Los Pumas manage to achieve a victory margin exceeding 15 points, they would surpass Scotland, climbing to fifth place in the rankings. Conversely, a draw for Australia in Pretoria would propel them two places up to fifth, surpassing Scotland and England.

South Africa, even if beaten by more than 15 points at home, will not drop from their fourth-place ranking, although their advantage over the Wallabies would shrink to a mere 1.17 points.

Looking at other teams, Argentina would remain in the eighth position even in defeat, as their rating points loss would be limited to a maximum of 0.72, still leaving them 1.92 points ahead of Wales.

Ben O’Keeffe will officiate the South Africa versus Australia match, while Angus Gardner will referee the clash between Argentina and New Zealand.

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Meanwhile, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) achieved their highest-ever ranking position, provisionally climbing two places to 60th, following their remarkable 95-0 victory over Pakistan in the first leg. However, another victory would not result in further improvement, as it would only add 0.17 rating points.

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SK 27 minutes ago
The times are changing, and some Six Nations teams may be left behind

If you are building the same amount of rucks but kicking more is that a bad thing? Kicks are more constestable than ever, fans want to see a contest, is that a bad thing? kicks create broken field situations where counter attacks from be launched from or from which turnover ball can be exploited, attacks are more direct and swift rather than multiphase in nature, is that a bad thing? What is clear now is that a hybrid approach is needed to win matches. You can still build phases but you need to play in the right areas so you have to kick well. You also have to be prepared to play from turnover ball and transition quickly from the kick contest to attack or set your defence quickly if the aerial contest is lost. Rugby seems healthy to me. The rules at ruck time means the team in possession is favoured and its more possible than ever to play a multiphase game. At the same time kicking, set piece, kick chase and receipt seems to be more important than ever. Teams can win in so many ways with so many strategies. If anything rugby resembles footballs 4-4-2 era. Now football is all about 1 striker formations with gegenpress and transition play vs possession heavy teams, fewer shots, less direct play and crossing. Its boring and it plods along with moves starting from deep, passing goalkeepers and centre backs and less wing play. If we keep tinkering with the laws rugby will become a game with more defined styles and less variety, less ways to win effectively and less varied body types and skill sets.

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