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‘Might just catch them out’: Crusaders set for ‘must-win’ Rebels clash

Sevu Reece of the Crusaders reacts after losing the round nine Super Rugby Pacific match between Western Force and Crusaders at HBF Park on April 20, 2024, in Perth, Australia. (Photo by Janelle St Pierre/Getty Images)

Former All Black Mils Muliaina has labelled the Crusaders’ clash with the Melbourne Rebels as a “must-win” as the defending champions look to remain in the race for a spot in the playoffs.

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Following a tough two-game road trip across the ditch, which saw them lose to the Waratahs and Western Force, the Crusaders have returned home for their most important match of the season.

The Crusaders, who currently sit last on the Super Rugby Pacific table with just one win from eight matches to date, will take on the high-flying Rebels at Apollo Projects Stadium this week.

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With the Crusaders currently six points out of the top eight, another defeat could spark disaster for a New Zealand side that’s traditionally used to controlling the narrative at the other end of the table.

“You’ve got to remember the last outing they had at home they beat a top outfit (in the Chiefs),” the Rugby World Cup-winning All Black said on Stan Sports’ The Call Up.

“This is a different side… often when you get teams under pressure as they are at the bottom of the table, they tend to chase and work a lot harder. You often hear the phrase, ‘You’re working too hard than what you should be.’

“That might just catch them out, the fact that they’re overthinking things on defence.

‘The biggest issue at the moment is they are scoring tries, you see Sevu Reece playing very well, but they’re really leaking points.

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“Will home advantage play a big factor? You’d love to think so as a Crusaders fan but given the points they’ve leaked in these last few weeks, there’s worrying signs there at the moment for the Crusaders camp.”

Head-to-Head

Last 5 Meetings

Wins
4
Draws
1
Wins
0
Average Points scored
35
14
First try wins
80%
Home team wins
40%

While the Crusaders have struggled on matchday, there’s no denying the reigning champions have also had to do it the hard way with big-name players going down with injuries.

All Black Tamati Williams was injured in the opening match of the season, and British & Irish Lions great Leigh Halfpenny was sidelined after picking up a blow during a pre-season clash with Munster.

The Crusaders have looked to navigate through these injury challenges without much success, with their only win of the season to date coming against the Chiefs at home on March 29.

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But in a boost, coach Rob Penney has welcomed Scott Barrett back to the run-on side, and David Havili will come off the bench. The Crusaders have made seven changes to their starting side in total.

These changes, as Crusaders fans will hope, could make a positive difference for the struggling rugby team on Friday night. But win or lose, Muliaina believes the Crusaders should stick with their coach.

“Oh, huge pressure. I think that’s been the talking point a lot,” Muliaina added when asked about Rob Penney. “I’m probably a believer in the fact that you’ve got to stick with him.

“They’re now far off the top eight (but) they’ve got to win the next two. This game here for them, it’s a must-win if they want to make that eight.

“The Rebels are in the top four and it’s a chance for the Crusaders to just stay intact.

“Scott Barrett will bring that influence and hopefully they will have a big crowd that they’ve been used to when they have been winning.”

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f
fl 2 hours ago
Ex-Wallaby laughs off claims Bath are amongst the best in the world

I ultimately don’t care who the best club team in the world is, so yeah, lets agree to disagree on that.


I would appreciate clarity on a couple of things though:

Where did I contradict myself?

Saying “Trophies matter. They matter a lot. But so does winning games. So does making finals.” is entirely compatible with ranking a team as the best - over an extended period - when they have won more games and made more finals than other comparable teams. It would be contradictory for me to say “Trophies matter. They matter a lot. But so does winning games. So does making finals.” and then completely ignore Leinster record of winning games and making finals.


“You can get frustrated and say I am not reading what you write, but when you quote me, then your first line is to say thats true (what I wrote), but by the end of the paragraph have stated something different, thats where you contradict yourself.”

What you said (that I think trophies matter) is true, in that I said “Trophies matter. They matter a lot. But so does winning games. So does making finals.”. Do you understand that Leinster won more games and made more finals than any other (URC-based) team did under the period under consideration?


“Pointless comparison on Blackburn and Tottenham to this discussion as no-one includes them on a list of the best club. I would say that Blackburns title season was better than anything Tottenham have done in the Premier League. My reference to the league was that the team who finished second over two seasons are not better than the two other teams who did win the league each time. One of the best - of course, but not the best, which is relevant to my point here about Leinster, not comparing teams who won 30 years ago against a team that never won.”

I really don’t understand why you would think that this is irrelevant. You seem to be saying that winning trophies is the only thing that matters when assessing who is the best, but doesn’t matter at all when assessing who is 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th, etc.


“What I referred to in my Leinster wouldn’t say the were the best is your post earlier where you said Leinster were the best overall. You said that in two separate posts. Seasons dont work like that, they are individual. Unless the same team keeps winning then you can say they were the best over a period of time and group them, but thats not the case here.”

Well then we’ve just been talking at cross purposes. In that my position (that Leinster were the best team overall in 2022-2024) was pretty clear, and you just decided to respond to a different point (whether Leinster were the best team individually in particular years) essentially making the entire discussion completely pointless. I guess if you think that trophies are the only thing that matters then it makes sense to see the season as an individual event that culminates in a trophy (or not), whereas because I believe that trophies matter a lot, but that so does winning matches and making finals, it makes it easier for me to consider quality over an extended period.

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