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Queensland Reds heading forward with youth movement– Super Rugby 2018 Preview

By Ben Smith
Queensland Reds

No team has had as tumultuous an offseason as the Queensland Reds.

There have been more dramas at Ballymore than an episode of the Kardashians. The turnstile of head coaches continued with the appointment of Brad Thorn last year, ending the short stint of Nick Stiles, who ousted co-coach Matt O’Connor, both of whom replaced Richard Graham.

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Thorn stamped his authority early, promptly telling halfback Nic Frisby and beloved flyhalf Quade Cooper they won’t be required for the upcoming season, creating a firestorm of media attention and fan backlash.

Things went from bad to worse when Karmichael Hunt became embroiled in his second off-field drugs scandal, and to top it off ex-Wallaby legend George Smith was arrested in Japan.

After everything the fan base has been through the last few years, things couldn’t get any worse.

Amid all the noise, what Thorn has done is draw the line in the sand. He has been the first coach to make proactive personnel moves seemingly against the will of Reds recruitment manager Sam Cordingley.

With Cooper only one year into his three-year $800,000 per season contract, dropping him to club rugby is a lot of dead money for the cash-strapped Reds which shows Thorn is hell-bent on starting a new era.

A spate of high-profile, short-sighted signings have glossed over poor performance in recent years – Karmichael Hunt, James O’Connor, Ayumu Goromaru, Stephen Moore, George Smith, Leroy Houston and league converts like Lachlan Maranta have renewed hope but underwhelmed.

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Each year they have banked on short-term (and often expensive) fixes, instead of taking a hit and building around young talent for the long-term. This is what is finally happening at the Reds – Thorn is preparing to re-build around his young charges.

He has regenerated the forward pack by upgrading a number of youth system players; Angus Blyth, Harry Hockings, Harry Hoopert, Angus Scott-Young and Liam Wright, most of whom played under Thorn in the Reds under-20s.

Quade’s replacement is 20-year-old flyhalf Hamish Stewart, who debuted last year. 21-year-old James Tuttle looks to be the number one halfback and the midfield pairing of Duncan Paia’aua and captain Samu Kerevi are still only 23 and 24-years-old respectively.

The few signings they have made, are all ironically ex-players that were unwanted or squeezed out at some stage. While Jono Lance, Ben Lucas and Aidan Toua aren’t splash-recruits, they will bring valuable experience and key positional depth to the side at flyhalf and fullback to cover for the loss of Cooper and Hunt.

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The Reds nursery is one of the best in Australia – they run talent at a surplus but often export the best of it to other teams – see David Pocock, Sean McMahon and a young James O’Connor (pre-braids and cornrows). Eventually, the system will re-produce quality Super Rugby starters.

With less focus on high-profile recruiting and more on retaining talent, a Reds turnaround shouldn’t take too long, just don’t expect too much this year. Although with just four, three and four wins in the last three seasons 2018 could still be an improvement.

2018 Predictions

Australian Conference Placing: 4th

Player of the Year: Samu Kerevi

Rookie of the Year: Angus Blyth

Breakout Player: Duncan Paia’aua

Best Signing: Ben Lucas

Franchise History

Best finish: Champions in 2011

Worst finish: Fifteenth in 2016

Squad movements

In: Angus Blyth (Bond University), Filipo Daugunu (Queensland Country), Harry Hockings (University of Queensland), Harry Hoopert (Brothers Old Boys), Tate McDermott (Queensland Country), Brandon Paenga-Amosa (NSW Country Eagles), Angus Scott-Young (Queensland Country), JP Smith (Brumbies), Liam Wright (Queensland Country), Ben Lucas (Toyota Verbitz), Jono Lance (Worcester Warriors), Aidan Toua (Brumbies).

Out: Leroy Houston (Bordeaux), Phil Kite (Vannes), Chris Kuridrani (Brisbane City), Campbell Magnay (Sungoliath), Jake McIntyre (Agen), Stephen Moore (retired), Caderyn Neville (Toyota Industries Shuttles), Jayden Ngamanu (Brisbane City), Rob Simmons (Waratahs), Kirwan Sanday (Queensland Country), Henry Taefu (Colomiers), Sam Takakai (Rebels), Hendrik Tui (Sungoliath), Quade Cooper (released), Nick Frisby (released).

Full Squad: Angus Blyth, Filipo Daugunu, Kane Douglas, Sef Fa’agase, Chris Feauai-Sautia, Michael Gunn, Reece Hewat, Scott Higginbotham, Harry Hockings, Harry Hoopert, Karmichael Hunt, Samu Kerevi, Adam Korczyk, Jono Lance, Ben Lucas, Alex Mafi, Lachlan Maranta, Tate McDermott, Eto Nabuli, Brandon Paenga-Amosa, Duncan Paia’aua, Izaia Perese, Andrew Ready, Izack Rodda, Angus Scott-Young, James Slipper, George Smith, Jean-Pierre Smith, Moses Sorovi, Hamish Stewart, Caleb Timu, Aidan Toua, Lukhan Tui, Taniela Tupou, James Tuttle, Markus Vanzati, Liam Wright.

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Ed the Duck 16 hours ago
Why European rugby is in danger of death-by-monopoly

The prospect of the club match ups across hemispheres is surely appetising for everyone. The reality however, may prove to be slightly different. There are currently two significant driving forces that have delivered to same teams consistently to the latter champions cup stages for years now. The first of those is the yawning gap in finances, albeit delivered by different routes. In France it’s wealthy private owners operating with a higher salary cap by some distance compared to England. In Ireland it’s led by a combination of state tax relief support, private Leinster academy funding and IRFU control - the provincial budgets are not equal! This picture is not going to change anytime soon. The second factor is the EPCR competition rules. You don’t need a PhD. in advanced statistical analysis from oxbridge to see the massive advantage bestowed upon the home team through every ko round of the tournament. The SA teams will gain the opportunity for home ko ties in due course but that could actually polarise the issue even further, just look at their difficulties playing these ties in Europe and then reverse them for the opposition travelling to SA. Other than that, the picture here is unlikely to change either, with heavyweight vested interests controlling the agenda. So what does all this point to for the club world championship? Well the financial differential between the nh and sh teams is pretty clear. And the travel issues and sporting challenge for away teams are significantly exacerbated beyond those already seen in the EPCR tournaments. So while the prospect of those match ups may whet our rugby appetites, I’m very much still to be convinced the reality will live up to expectations…

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