Ethan Blackadder's injury could prolong some All Blacks careers
Ian Foster was going to struggle to narrow down his loose forward selections for the All Blacks‘ upcoming test series with Ireland but the loss of Ethan Blackadder to injury will perhaps make the picture a little bit clearer.
Blackadder was one of the country’s biggest movers and shakers last year. While he’d been touted as an All Black in waiting for a number of seasons – but kept finding himself sidelined through injury – it was only in 2021 that the hulking loose forward was finally able to string together some regular performances for the Crusaders and he was appropriately rewarded come July when he received his first call-up to the national side.
Blackadder was not just one of eight loose forwards that clocked up minutes in the black jersey last season, however, he accumulated the fourth-most appearances of any of the squad’s loose forwards, behind only the first-choice trio of Akira Ioane, Dalton Papalii and Ardie Savea. Regardless of which flank he was was asked to fill in on, Blackadder was a strong presence on the park and certainly ended the year with his reputation bolstered.
But a shoulder injury has now robbed Blackadder of the opportunity to back up his strong efforts from last season and potentially opened the door for another All Blacks bolter – or at least helped keep a man in the squad who was potentially facing the axe.
The All Blacks were never going to name eight loose forwards in the next week’s 36-man squad. In all likelihood, we’ll hear just six or seven names read out on Monday afternoon, which would have meant at least two of last year’s brood getting the cut.
The likes of Ioane, Papalii (although he is currently sidelined for the short-term following appendicitis), Savea and captain Sam Cane are all safe, while Blackadder would have almost certainly been retained too, leaving space for one or two more loosies in the squad. Luke Jacobson, Hoskins Sotutu and Shannon Frizell were the other men called upon last season, in order of appearances, and could all slip into the squad for the upcoming test series – but that would be dependant on the All Blacks running with seven loose forwards (as opposed to, for example, five locks) and also not bringing anyone new into the fold.
The first requirement is certainly not a given. Sam Whitelock, Brodie Retallick and Scott Barrett are all experienced All Blacks second-rowers while Tupou Vaa’i and Josh Lord have continued to develop into formidable players despite their youth and Foster and his fellow selectors may want to see the next generation given opportunities to prove their wares in the test arena while still holding onto the senior options. Given the abilities of Barrett and Vaa’i to cover blindside flanker – with Vaa’i a possible long-term option in the No 6 jersey – seven loosies may not be required.
While there have been a number of loose forwards playing the house down in Super Rugby Pacific who weren’t utilised by the national side last year, it’s difficult to envisage the All Blacks will opt for any new blood in 2022 when they can instead hone the talent they already have.
Marino Mikaele-Tu’u has been excellent for the Highlanders this season – arguably their best player and certainly one of the competition’s top performers – but is there much chance he forces himself ahead of all of Ioane, Savea, Jacobson, Sotutu (and Blackadder, upon his return) in the pecking order for the No 8 jersey before next year’s Rugby World Cup? The situation is similar for 2020 All Black Cullen Grace.
That’s not to suggest they shouldn’t be picked, but Foster is likely to favour his tried and true – even if they’ve not necessarily proven themselves at test level just yet.
Whatever happens, the men most in danger of missing out are likely Sotutu and Frizell, two players who specialise in just one of the three loose forward roles. Jacobson, like Blackadder, has spent time on the openside flank at Super Rugby level, has earned the bulk of his minutes throughout his career on the blindside flank, and prefers to play at number 8, making him the perfect bench option for the men in black, and offers something different thanks to his useful footwork and concrete shoulder.
Sotutu, however, has been in superb form for the Blues and the soft skills he brings to the table are second to none – there’s not a forward in the country that can throw a spiral pass quite like the athletic number 8. Frizell, on the other hand, has managed just one appearance for the Highlanders in the back half of the season due to injury and despite being in good form at the start of the season, has never proven himself as a test rugby player, despite his many opportunities. If any player from the Highlanders’ loose forward stocks deserve the opportunity to wear the silver fern in 2022, it’s Mikaele-Tu’u, and Foster and co will struggle to justify the selection of Frizell when there are other players banging down the door or who are desperate for the chance to show what they’re capable of.
A long-term injury to Blackadder could save the blushes of the men most likely to face the swing of the axe at this stage of the season – but that’s entirely dependent on the selectors opting for seven loose forwards, which is not a given. Four of the men likely to fill those spots, Akira Ioane, Hoskin Sotutu, Luke Jacobson and Sam Cane, will all feature in this weekend’s Super Rugby Pacific semi-finals and have one last opportunity to put their best feet forward while the men who’s seasons have already come to an end will simply have to cross their fingers and hope for the best come Monday.
Comments on RugbyPass
I still see nothing in Sotutus play that hes changed his upright running style that failed so many times against decent international defences like the french. Other than that… Iose? Well you have covered his limitations well. If Sititi had been playing the the season… Jacobson? Grace?…Neither shout pick me. So Ardie it is.
1 Go to commentsThere isn’t one element you mentioned there that every top class or successful team gets up to. The great All blacks sides used to play on the ‘fringes or edge’ but it was essentially saying they were doing something illegal or borderline to gain dominance. The fine margins at the top are minute between the top sides. La Rochelle, the crusaders, Saracens, Toulon etc etc…..have all been accused. Get over it, the comment comes across as salty and naive. Northampton as well as they played to get back into the match were thoroughly beaten and controlled for 60 minutes and Leinster have only themselves to blame for kicking it away and hence losing control of the match and being nearly the architects of their own downfall.
2 Go to commentsThere is some talent coming thru thats for sure. The 10 looks special to me. Rico Simpson is a name to look for in the future.
1 Go to commentsI think this quiet honestly is just an innocent misunderstanding by someone who is pig sh*t stupid. Eben is a fine player but by christ, if he can’t understand or get what the Irish players were trying to say to him after the match…..well i hope he has someone looking after his finances, career and is reading the fine print for him, cause life after rugby may be quite difficult for the vacuous echo chamber.
21 Go to commentsIt could be Doris' day!
3 Go to commentsThe whole thing has blown up because Eben’s words have clearly struck a nerve in Ireland. Otherwise they would just laugh it off. I think some former Irish players, commentators and some Irish fans know deep down this Ireland team started to believe its own press and that a certain amount of arrogance had started to creep in during the World Cup. The topic was actually brought up by Irish pundits on Off the Ball recently. It’s fine to be arrogant if you can back it up. Ireland didn’t.
21 Go to comments‘The Irish are good people'. Why is Goode praising a people who hate his own? Wet wipe.
21 Go to commentsLa mejor final que se puede ver en el emisferio norte.
1 Go to commentsA lot of cope from south africans in the comments. Etzebeth is a liar and a hypocrite; you don’t have to defend him!
21 Go to commentsHe got big and really slow for a flyhalf…not sure he’s relevant in a bok conversation anymore
4 Go to commentsBest tourney team vs best team in the regular season for 3 games in RSA - talk is cheap, let’s see what’s what on the tour
21 Go to commentsOne overlooked statistic from their 2016 winning season is the Huricanes are still the only team in Super rugby history not to concede a try during the playoff rounds.
4 Go to commentsThanks for the article, Nick. The Nienaber blitz D does ask a lot of its scrumhalf. I have been watching JGP on D and he often looks like he has mastered what Nienaber asks for better than Faf de Klerk and Cobus Reinach! 🤣 Impressive season by JGP if I must make an understatement.
22 Go to commentsOkay last one. I promise. I think it’s despicable for Andy Goode to suggest that Eben can’t count to 12. To be fair he only had to count to 8 - the number of Irishmen who DIDN’T say that. Less the 3 kiwis of course. 23 - 12 - 3 = 8. See Joe. I can do maffs.
21 Go to commentsCheers, Nick! How do you see the Reds’ Jock Campbell’s play this year? Not as strong a carrier as Andrew Kellaway or Tom Wright, but does avoid errors. Do you see Joe Schmidt as wanting safety first at 15 or a try-assisting counterattacker?
91 Go to commentsI’m sure this was all just a big misunderstanding. Irishmen and Afrikaaners conversing in a noisey stadium. Not easy to get the right messages across. A minefield.
21 Go to commentsSay what you will about Andy Goode. But he is right about one thing… I’m not sure what that one thing is exactly… but I’m willing to hear him out.
21 Go to commentsAnother article to bait and trigger Irish fans. This must stop.
21 Go to commentsHi Nick. Thanks for your +++ ongoing analysis. Re Vunivalu, He’s been benched recently and it will be interesting to see what Kiss does with him as we enter the backend of SRP. I’m still not sold.
91 Go to commentsIn the fine tradition of Irish rugby, Leinster cheat well and for some reason only known to whoever referees them, they are allowed to get away with it every single game. If teams have not got the physicality up front to stop them getting the ball, they will win every single game. They take out players beyond the ruck and often hold them on the ground. Those that are beyond the ruck and therefore offside, hover there to cause distraction but also to join the next ruck from the side thereby stopping the jackal. The lineout prior to the second try on Saturday. 3 Leinster players left the lineout before the ball was thrown and were driving the maul as soon as the player hit the ground and thereby getting that valuable momentum. They scrummage illegally, with the looshead turning in to stop the opposing tighthead from pushing straight and making it uncomfortable for the hooker. The tighthead takes a step and tries to get his opposite loosehead to drop the bind. Flankers often ‘move up’ and actually bind on the prop and not remain bound to the second row. It does cause chaos and is done quickly and efficiently so that referees are blinded by the illegal tactics. I am surprised opposition coaches when they meet referees before games don’t mention it. I am also surprised that they do not go to the referees group and ask them to look at the tactics used and referee them properly. If they are the better team and win, fair play but a lot of their momentum is gained illegally and therefore it is not a level playing field.
2 Go to comments