Romance, momentum and belief lie firmly in one camp today
Against the dazzling backdrop of a lavender Glasgow sky, Stuart Hogg and his family bade farewell to Scotstoun, Ulster vanquished and the chance to leave his only professional club a champion beckoning.
The Hoggs strolled around the paddock on Friday night last week long after the final whistle had blown, drinking in every last drop of the joy and gratitude cascading down upon them from the stands.
The full-back began life as a professional player here, became Scottish rugby’s hottest young talent here, grew arrogant and big-headed here and almost left in a huff, sorted his attitude out and won a title, earned 67 caps and toured twice with the Lions here, became a leader and a father and cemented his place in Scotland’s pantheon of rugby giants here, won a move to one of Europe’s biggest beasts in Exeter Chiefs here.
The PRO14 semi-final shellacking of Ulster was a thunderous Scotstoun goodbye, but Hogg is desperate to ensure it was only a dress rehearsal. On Saturday, he will bow out as a Warrior in front of over 43,000 people inside Glasgow’s Celtic Park, the city’s biggest stadium, when Dave Rennie’s men take on defending champions Leinster in the league showpiece.
The final will be a colossal day for Glasgow rugby, an evening that will long be treasured and talked about if Warriors do the business on their own patch.
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Rennie has had to “put the brakes” on Hogg this week in training to stop him “going berserk”. There’s an almost palpable yearning about Glasgow to seize what’s in front of them. Since being physically battered by Saracens and verbally savaged by Rennie in late March, they have won four in a row, scoring at least 30 points in each, and are unbeaten in nine in the league.
Leinster are seasoned combatants and serial victors in the warfare of finals rugby, but the lead-up to Saturday has been troubling. Rob Kearney and the full-back’s apparently unacceptable contract offer. Leo Cullen, the coach, putting out his fishing rod and suggesting Celtic fans should come and support his team since the Warriors dressing room is full of Rangers men.
People like to be offended these days, but stoking football rivalries and all the religious tumult that goes along with them in Glasgow was always going to rankle.
"Nonsense": Celtic legend Jim Craig gives Leo Cullen short shrift – The Offside Line https://t.co/uuDceI1S7n
— UK Sports News Bot (@UKNewsBot1) May 21, 2019
Would Cullen have encouraged Celtic fans to back his team had Ulster made the final? Would he have roused nationalists in Northern Ireland to support Leinster had the showpiece been in Belfast? Were these the canny barbs of a man who has been here a million times before or the distraction tactics of a coach anxious about what is coming down the tracks?
Cullen apologised after naming his side on Friday and the whole business looks like a storm in a teacup now. The big former lock has a mountain of finals experience. He is the only man to win the Champions Cup as a player and a coach. His team have almost all of the big-match pedigree and almost all of the medals.
In their match-day 23, there are a dozen Grand Slam winners and five Lions. All of them were at the province last season when Leinster won a monumental PRO14 and Champions Cup double. They have reached the finals of both competitions this year, albeit Saracens had the beating of them in the European showpiece.
'Some guys have played a long time and never won anything. It’s such an amazing feeling and you get addicted to it'
– @DTHVDM tells @JLyall93 what effect winning @PRO14Official with @GlasgowWarriors could have if they beat @leinsterrugby on Saturday ?? https://t.co/LEoJu4odso— RugbyPass (@RugbyPass) May 23, 2019
In Glasgow’s squad, there are no Test champions. Ten were part of the 2015 PRO12 title-winning lot but only DTH van der Merwe and Callum Gibbins have won any other major club silverware. This is new territory for Adam Hastings, Kyle Steyn and Scott Cummings and a host of others, but it is also a precious opportunity.
A year ago, a full-strength Leinster looked untouchable. Saracens, Exeter, Montpellier, Glasgow, Munster, Scarlets and Racing 92 all fell as Cullen and his men rumbled to their wonderful twosome.
Glasgow bore the brunt of that surge. In the pool stage of the Champions Cup, they copped two brutal beatings, matches that seemed to expose the flaws in their play. Leinster kept the ball so ably and Glasgow were so wasteful, so eager to get it moving wide before first driving it forward. Leinster circled like sharks, happily spooling through a mountain of seemingly benign phases before striking without mercy.
? #GUINNESSPRO14 final preview @GlasgowWarriors ? @leinsterrugby
?? Who's playing
? Who's in form
? Where to watch
?? Click here to read more about this season's finale at Celtic Park ?https://t.co/DRXxw5MaM4— BKT United Rugby Championship (URC) (@URCOfficial) May 24, 2019
In a typically fascinating piece of statistical analysis, Glasgow fan Kevin Millar has run the numbers on the finalists’ attacks this season. Leinster are the PRO14’s most efficient team when it comes to retaining ball, but on average go through 40 per cent more rucks than Glasgow to make a line break. Their opponents make an average of 220 tackles per game, while Warriors’ opposition make 185.
Leinster’s ruthlessness remains, but Glasgow’s brawn has grown. In beating them in Dublin last month, Warriors’ tackle stats were astronomical. Seven of the starting pack made over 20. The other, Chris Fusaro, was injured early on and his replacement, Adam Ashe, made 26. The front row put in 77 between them. Matt Fagerson made 33 and Jonny Gray felled a ridiculous 43 Leinstermen without missing a single tackle.
Glasgow’s total was 302 made and 29 missed. They had 35 per cent possession and 43 per cent territory.
All those tackles and still Leinster scored four tries; still Glasgow had to bring their best stuff with the ball to win at the RDS for the first time since 2011. This was a different Warriors to the scintillating but flaky lot of last season.
Your team sheets for the #GuinnessPRO14 Final brought to you by @thetimesIE @GlasgowWarriors v @leinsterrugby
KO 18.30 #PRO14Proud #TheFinalCountdown pic.twitter.com/CAKejb6YFE
— BKT United Rugby Championship (URC) (@URCOfficial) May 24, 2019
They did it again to Edinburgh, a team who have taken great joy in roughing up their rivals from the west, in the 1872 Cup and their 50-20 demolition of Ulster was near-perfect. Snarling, direct forward play, an immense physical dominance, wonderful attacking fare and clinical finishing.
A battering and a bamboozling all at once. Only late slips with the game won and minds wandering allowed Ulster to salvage a modicum of pride. Matt Fagerson got man of the match but it could have gone to almost any man in black and blue.
Glasgow will have to be every bit as ferocious without possession and as fabulous with it on Saturday as they were in Dublin last month and at Scotstoun a week ago. This is finals rugby now. Leinster will be better and their totem, Johnny Sexton, an absentee last time, will be in the saddle at Parkhead.
Leinster have the experience, but Glasgow have the momentum. Leinster will be playing their third game and second final in 14 days, Glasgow just their second match in 28. Leinster have Sexton, Glasgow have Hogg. Cullen has won the league and Champions Cup as a coach, Rennie has two Super Rugby titles.
The final is in Glasgow, but Leinster will bring swarms of travelling fans. The province yearn to show they are still kings of the competition. Glasgow believe – truly believe – that this is their day.
WATCH: RugbyPass goes behind the scenes at the 2018 PRO14 final between Leinster and Scarlets in Dublin
Comments on RugbyPass
🤦♂️🤣 who cares who’s the best . All I know is the All Blacks have the star coach but have few star players now …
26 Go to commentsJe suis sûr que Farrell est impatient de jouer avec Lopez et Machenaud et d’être entraîné par Collazo… 🤭
1 Go to commentsAn on field red (aka a full red) in SRP must surely carry a bigger suspension than a red card given by the bunker as that carries a 20 minute team punishment. Had Damon Murphy abdicated his responsibility as a ref and issued both Drua players a yellow, which would have been upgraded to a 20 minute red by the bunker, that would have killed Australia and New Zealand’s push for the 20 minute red to be trialled globally from July this year.
11 Go to commentsEver so often you all post a Danny Care story that isn’t the announcement that he has finally re-signed for one more, victory tour season at Quins and I’m just like, “well you fooled me again!” My absolute favorite player ever, we need to make his final year at the Stoop (and Twickers) official already. I know he supposedly snubbed France but I won’t feel better until he signs.
1 Go to commentslate hit what late hit it wasn’t at all late and can clearly see he was committed before the tackle
1 Go to commentsChristian Lio -Willies 2 try perfomance was a standout. As was captain Scott Barrett. Up front was where the boys won it.They are a great team and players. Fantastic Crusades , you can keep going.
1 Go to commentsI don't know how the locals feel about that? I guess if you call yourselves the Worcester Wasps that might be appease. But really we need more teams in the Premiership in my view so they are not padding it out as they are at the moment. It might curtail so many players going abroad as well
5 Go to commentsNZ 😭😭😭is certainly rivaling England for best whingers cup!😭😭😭 !!!
26 Go to commentsYup. New Zealand won 3 out of 10 world cups played. SA 4 out of 8 attempts 30 Vs 50 per cent.🤔🤔
26 Go to commentsShould've done this years ago. Change Saturday kick off times to around 11am. Up and off and back home before 3pm, limit travel time too. Allows players to actually do something else with their Saturday that's family oriented or being rugby fans they could ‘watch’ pro rugby. Increases crowds etc. How can anyone that enjoys grassroots and pro rugby have to choose between the two on Saturdays?
9 Go to commentsI bet he inspired those supporters just as much.
1 Go to commentsBen Smith Springboks living rent free in his head 😊😂
67 Go to commentsGood to hear he would like to play the game at the highest level, I hadn’t been to sure how much of a motivator that was before now. Sadly he’s probably chosen the rugby club to go to. Try not to worry about all the input about how you should play rugby Joey and just try to emulate what you do on the league field and have fun. You’ll limit your game too much (well not really because he’s a standard athlete like SBW and he’ll still have enough) if you’re trying to make sure you can recycle the ball back etc. On the other hard, you can totally just try and recycle by looking to offload any and everywhere if you’re going to ground 😋
1 Go to commentsThis just proves that theres always a stat and a metric to use to justify your abilities and your success. Ben did it last week by creating an imaginary competition and now you did the same to counter his argument and espouse a new yardstick for success. Why not just use the current one and lets say the Boks have won 4 world cups making them the most successful world cup team. Outside of the world cup the All Blacks are the most successful team winning countless rugby championships and dominating the rankings with high win percentages. Over the last 4 years statistically the Irish are the best having the highest win rate and also having positive records against every tier 1 side. The most successful Northern team in the game has been England with a world cup title and the most six nations titles in history. The AB’s are the most dominant team in history with the highest win rate and 3 world cups. Lets not try to reinvent the wheel. Just be honest about the actual stats and what each team has been good at doing and that will be enough to define their level of success.
26 Go to commentsHow is 7’s played there? I’m surprised 10 or 11 man rugby hasn’t taken off. 7 just doesn’t fit the 15s dynamics (rules n field etc) but these other versions do.
9 Go to commentsPick Swinton at your peril A liability just like JWH from the Roosters Skelton ??? went missing at RWC
14 Go to commentsLike tennis, who have a ranking system, and I believe rugby too, just measure over each period preceding a world cup event who was the longest number one and that would be it. In tennis the number one player frequently is not the grand slam winner. I love and adore the All Blacks since the days of Ian Kirkpatrick when I was a kid in SA. And still do because they are the masters of running rugby and are gentleman on and off the field - in general. And in my opinion they have been the majority of the time the best rugby team in the world.
26 Go to commentsHaving overseas possessions in 2024 is absurd. These Frenchies should have to give the New Caledonians their freedom.
21 Go to commentsBell injured his foot didn’t he? Bring Tupou in he’ll deliver when it counts. Agree mostly but I would switch in the Reds number 8 Harry Wilson for Swinton and move Rob Valentini to 6 instead. Wilson is a clever player who reads the play, you can’t outmuscle the AB’s and Springboks, if you have any chance it’s by playing clever. Same goes for Paisami, he’s a little guy who doesn’t really trouble the likes of De Allende and Jordie Barrett. I’d rather play Carter Gordon at 12 and put Michael Lynagh’s boy at 10. That way you get a BMT type goalkicker at 10 and a playmaker at 12. Anyways, just my two cents as a Bok supporter.
14 Go to commentsThanks Brett, love your articles which are alway pertinent. It’s a difficult topic trying to have a panel adjudicating consistently penalties for red card issues. Many of the mitigating reasons raised are judged subjectively, hence the different outcomes. How to take away subjective opinions?
11 Go to comments