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Andy Goode: The worst build-up to a World Cup England have ever had?
Rugby World Cup preparations for England could scarcely be any worse and their final Summer Nations Series game against Fiji feels far bigger than it should have been.
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In theory, it’s still a great opportunity for Steve Borthwick’s men to finally score more than one try in a match for the first time since February and get their attack out of second gear, but the Fijians are as good as they have ever been and it’s starting to look like a major potential banana skin.
England have lost four of their last five Tests, scored just four tries in those outings and done very little to encourage fans to get behind them. Now they have to contend with suspensions for their starting fly-half and number eight and an injury crisis in the back three.
It would be fair to question whether this is the worst build-up to a World Cup England have ever had and most people will be thinking it can’t get any worse at this point, but it can if they lose to a so-called tier-two nation that they have never lost to before.
That wasn’t a scenario in the head of anyone really when this fixture was inked into the calendar as England’s big send-off at Twickenham ahead of the 2023 World Cup, but the hosts are now at their lowest ebb for a long time and Semi Radradra and co will sense an upset.
England simply can’t lose but they also have to put in a display that inspires some kind of confidence ahead of the trip to France, score a few tries and get those fans that are turning up to Twickenham excited.
There are mitigating factors such as the disparity in ticket prices between the two games and a reduced rail service on Saturday, but it isn’t right that England’s home was packed for New Zealand versus South Africa on Friday night but far from it when they host Fiji.
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It is a sign of the disconnect between the national team and its supporters. Borthwick has talked a lot about excitement but delivered little thus far, so now is the time to get people out of their seats.
Unfortunately, he will have to do so without one of his best outside backs in Anthony Watson, who has been ruled out of the game and the World Cup, as well as Elliot Daly and Henry Arundell.
Doubts remain over those two and there could be a major reshuffle in the backs department on Monday if one of them isn’t fit for the tournament or anyone else picks up an injury this weekend.
If it is just Watson who misses out, then it looks like it will be Jonny May to take his place given he is starting against Fiji but I can’t see how Cadan Murley isn’t getting a chance after his form at club level over the past couple of seasons.
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Daly would be a big loss if his injury ends up being worse than first feared, obviously because of the quality he possesses and his long-range kicking ability but also because he offers such versatility. You would have to get straight on the phone to Henry Slade if he is out.
The absence of Billy Vunipola means Ben Earl has gone from not being able to get a start for love nor money and coming off the bench in his first 15 caps to starting three Tests in a row and being a first-choice international number eight this weekend.
He has game-breaking ability and I’d be starting him at the back of the scrum in the opening game of the World Cup as well against Argentina on September 9.
Amid all the gloom, it’s great to see Ollie Chessum back starting again after his injury and it’s a special day for Courtney Lawes as he leads the team out on the occasion of his 100th cap. He is going to be hugely important if England are to have any chance of reaching a semi-final or more.
One potential reason for optimism is the midfield combination of Manu Tuilagi and Ollie Lawrence getting a runout together. It isn’t ideal that your centres are starting alongside one another for the first time in the last match before a World Cup but they have the capability to strike fear into the hearts of the opposition in France.
Plus, he might not have been in the squad until Jack van Poortvliet’s injury but Alex Mitchell can do things that none of England’s other scrum-halves can in attack, so it’s great to see him getting the chance to start a Test for the first time.
It’s been interesting to hear the talk around Marcus Smith being used at full-back this week. I know he filled in there off the bench against Ireland but I can’t see him wearing the number 15 jersey from the start in a match.
His ability to spot a gap is second to none in this England squad but dealing with high balls isn’t his strength and I can’t see Borthwick starting him there over Freddie Steward. He could come on there late on in games though and it hopefully just shows a bit of a shift in mentality from England’s head coach.
The example of Beauden Barrett playing there for the All Blacks with Richie Mo’unga at fly-half is what people will point to, but Barrett has done it for a while now and is also far more physically suited to the position.
With all the injury and suspension issues, there is no doubt Borthwick would prefer not to have his most difficult pool game against Argentina first up and be able to build into the tournament as Ireland will be able to against Romania and Tonga to a certain extent.
Head-to-Head
Last 3 Meetings
Wins
2
Draws
0
Wins
1
Average Points scored
37
23
First try wins
67%
Home team wins
67%
Regardless of the result against the Pumas, though, there is an expectation that England will qualify at least ahead of an improved Samoa outfit and a Japan side that can rise to the big occasion but isn’t at the same level it was for the last couple of World Cups.
Whether that transpires remains to be seen but for now Borthwick doesn’t have a lot of choice but to take things week by week, as boring as that might sound, such have been England’s problems in the build-up to the World Cup.
He will be hoping and praying for no more injuries or disciplinary issues come Saturday night but that can’t enter the mind. The focus needs to be on attack and a performance has to come at some point: let’s hope this one serves as the mood changer England fans all so desperately need.
Comments on RugbyPass
It’s going to be Scott Barrett. He’s the coaches mate and captain of a previously elite team. Ardie a great option but scooter has worked with the coach and Ardie still as big a leader as needed.
22 Go to commentsI commend Colin Scotts bio All Balls. He was the first Aussie to make it to NFL. But he was poached and did a full apprenticeship at the University of Hawaii. He was 130kgs surfed played 1st grade cricket etc. big guy by normal but not NFL standards and a top athlete. Even then the nfl were picking up Tongans and Samoans for their natural size and explosive power. They want explosive power not cardio from the big boys so a guy like Taniela Tupou would have been good if picked up young enough. He has fast twitch and they’d bulk the little lad up and give him something to do. soccer teams set up academies and look for Over Sara’s talent eg Messi was at Barcelona since a teenager and harry kewell went to Leeds as a teenager like 16 or something.
11 Go to commentsThe article alludes to the fact that this isn’t about picking a captain. But picking a great captain. So who would make for a great All Black captain - not just an obvious or safe shoo-in? I’m not sure Ardie’s the guy and Barret doesn’t stand out either.
22 Go to commentsI guess we may all agree on the fact, that the ABs and Boks are the two in contest for No 1 in rugby history (the triple-A sort of) …. the Wallabies, England and France are the next tier, with Ireland being the new kid in town (AA) …. in my view it makes little sense creating imaginary competitions (unless you have too much time to waste)
44 Go to commentsWhat a joke. Total joke and the pundits commentating, all of whom know a bit about the game, could barely disguise their contempt. Reaching for the card then pulling back when he realised a red card would carry further match suspensions is simply not his decision to make. A clear and obvious influence on the outcome of this match and indeed, the championship path.
4 Go to commentsI like the idea, in NZ the Ranfurly Shield and NPC coexist, both having their own bragging rights. The World Cup would be the pinnacle, but the competition and travels of these trophies would be interesting.
44 Go to commentsDon’t worry Sonny bill Williams leave that awkward situation about the curfew in the pass whoever it was it doesn’t matter its no big deal we back our All Blacks through the storm and the thunder until we see the Sun light again.
42 Go to commentsWho listens to this retard? He was a massive liability as a player but obviously a media sensation
42 Go to commentsI’m not surprised by such ‘virtue signalling’ by Sonny Boy. Butter wouldn’t melt in his mouth. He’s such a pious Islamic muppet, imo.
42 Go to commentsI’ve actually never heard of the guy (then I don’t watch League as it is boring). But if he is good enough.. then good luck to him. If not, well, he can always return to league.
2 Go to commentsIt is pretty clear that by almost any measure that NZ are a more successful rugby nation than South Africa. Quite aside from the distasteful events during the last RWC final. NZ lead SA in all significant measurements.
44 Go to commentsDickson went to his pocket for a card, saw who it was, changed his mind and spoke at length to TMO. One angle clearly shows Care diving over a Saints player to kill the ball. 1st yellow, reason given for not Red was player was falling backwards. He was only falling backwards after contact with Lawes. Graham try should have stood. Mitchell did not have both hands on the ball, ball went forward from a Saints boot dragging over it. 2 intentional knock-on's. One of which had an overlap on the outside. If Quins are happy to win by intentional foul play, then it does not say much for them. Would appear to be a bad day for Karl Dickson, also for the RFU in appointing a Ref who spent 8 years as a player at one of the clubs.
4 Go to commentsLet’s not forget about Ardie Savea just yet.
7 Go to commentsThe URC and the Euro Championscup can’t run at the same time, basically dilutes both competitions.
2 Go to comments“While Sotutu should start at No.8 for the All Blacks against England, but it’s only in that arena that he can prove just how good he really is.” And that my friends is where simply hasnt shone despite multiple opportunities. Even in this performance you can see what did him in in the test arena..he almost always still runs at the opposition almost ramrod upright making him easier to stop than it should be.
7 Go to commentsShould have been 0-0 and a message from SR CEO to both teams - “don’t worry about turning up next year”.
4 Go to commentsGreat work Owen Franks. A great of this team, scoring his first try for the Crusaders since 2010.He was beaming, justifiably. A fine win, he and the rest did the job up front.
1 Go to commentsDanny Care. Lang in die tand.
1 Go to commentsBig empty stadium does nothing for atmosphere but munster are playing well with solid performance
1 Go to commentsYes, Fiji can win the World Cup! With that belief plus their christian faith🙏 and hard work it is achievable. Great article. Ian Duncan Fiji resident 1981-84
2 Go to comments