Cheika's system is undoubtedly being proved ineffectual at Super Rugby level
Sherlock Holmes and Dr. Watson are investigating a case in the Lakes District and are forced to camp out due to a lack of lodgings. After a good dinner and a bottle of wine, they retire for the night and go to sleep. Some hours later, Holmes wakes up and nudges his faithful friend.
“Watson, look up at the sky and tell me what you see.”
“I see millions and millions of stars, Holmes,” replies Watson.
“And what do you deduce from that?”
Watson ponders for a minute.
“Well, astronomically, it tells me that there are millions of galaxies and potentially billions of planets. Astrologically, I observe that Saturn is in Leo. Horologically, I deduce that the time is approximately a quarter past three. Meteorologically, I suspect that we will have a beautiful day tomorrow. Theologically, I can see that God is all powerful and that we are a small and insignificant part of the universe. What does it tell you, Holmes?”
Holmes is silent for a moment. “Watson, you idiot!” he says.
“Someone villain has stolen our tent!”
Jokes aside and in context to the 2019 Wallaby selectors, I certainly hope that the Rugby Director-in-waiting Scott Johnson, newly appointed selector Michael O’Connor and Wallaby Coach Michael Cheika have the clarity of thought illustrated by Sherlock Holmes and not that of his trusted side-kick Dr. Watson when selection comes upon them.
No doubt all three of those gentlemen will forensically sift through footage, facts and figures in the coming months prior to finalising a squad for the 2019 Rugby Championship and I suggest that a step towards solving any selection mystery is to focus on exactly what is happening in the present, not what may have worked in the past or could work in the future.
It is no secret that I do not support the dual playmaker system principally employed by the Wallabies. It is a system that has simply not delivered the success desired in the past, is not delivering now for Australian Super Rugby sides and will likely not deliver in the near future despite what any astrologist, astronomist, horologist, meteorologist or theologian may tell you.
The two Australian sides that employed a dual play-maker system in the latest round of Super Rugby were the New South Wales Waratahs with veteran Wallabies Bernard Foley and Kurtley Beale in the 10 and 12 jersey’s and the Queensland Reds using the uncapped Isaac Lucas and Duncan Paia’aua in the same with neither side having any stunning success despite the Reds running down the Sunwolves in the latter stages of the game.
Firstly, on the Waratahs, to the naked eye, it could leave one flummoxed that a Wallaby-laden side like the Waratahs playing with the experienced Wallaby dual playmakers in Bernard Foley and Kurtley Beale could be made to look relatively ineffective by a far less experienced Brumbies outfit.
Foley, a veteran of 68-test matches and Beale with 83, failed to dominate the less experienced Christian Lealiifano and Irea Simone with the Brumbies coming away 19-13 victors and were unlucky it was not by more.
Despite not being the Wallaby incumbent 10 and 12, both Foley and Beale have played a significant part of their professional careers in these positions, yet could not exploit the Brumbies and unleash to any winning affect the talents of Israel Folau, Adam Ashley-Cooper, Michael Hooper, Rob Simmons, Jack Dempsey, Sekope Kepu and the list goes on.
The last time Foley and Beale combined in the 10 and 12 jerseys for the Wallabies was against Wales in 2018 where the Australian backline play was hopeless, and couldn’t even score a try! They did not look that much better last Friday night in Canberra either.
Why is this so?
Quite simply that method of play is outdated and ineffective at test level and is now being exposed at Super Rugby level.
Hypothetically, if both Foley and Beale were selected at 10 and 12 for the Wallabies, I wonder, if they can’t beat the Brumbies, why would you expect them to beat the All Blacks, Springboks or Welsh?
Some may argue that this method brought New South Wales a Super Rugby Championship in 2014. And who could forget how lethal both Foley and Beale were against the English in the pool stages of the Rugby World Cup in 2015. But despite some patchy brilliance by both since there is no cogent evidence to support the method or selection of Foley and Beale in the 10 and 12 jerseys for 2019.
The game has moved on and the selectors should not be romanced by what once was, but by judging the evidence, can never be again.
The Queensland Reds looked their most potent in round one of Super Rugby when they played Samu Kerevi at 12 and Jordan Petaia at 13 against the Highlanders, however, since the ankle injury sustained by Petaia against the Crusaders, the Reds have moved Kerevi away from his most potent position and have struggled accordingly.
Kerevi was Queensland’s most effective back in their recent loss to the Waratahs and few would argue he was at his most damaging when he shifted in closer to the recycle as opposed to the fringes. Why he was ever moved from the 12 jersey still is a puzzle to me.
For reasons yet to be uncovered Queensland selected Kerevi again at 13 this time against the Sunwolves, but again the evidence indicates Kerevi is best suited to the 12 jumper as illustrated when Kerevi positioned himself close to the recycle, busted his way through defenders off a short ball, freeing his arms and offloading to the young Harry Hoopert who was simply too powerful to stop and scored a much-needed try contributing to Queensland’s eventual win.
With respect to the playmaking of Duncan Paia’aua, the Reds defence and alignment has looked out of calibration since his inclusion to the starting XV and I have been a strong advocate of moving Chris Feauai-Sautia off the wing and into the 13 jersey allowing Samu Kerevi to return to his natural position at inside-centre post the Petaia ankle injury.
Such a selection is congruent with the initial selection of Petaia at the commencement of the season and unleashes two powerful centres for an opposition to concentrate on, not two playmakers which are critical for future Wallaby success.
Future Wallaby success must be focussed on winning the collision and gain line through the middle of the park, not lateral play and sideline flirtations as seen in 2018. How this is achieved in 2019 with dual playmakers is unknown and I submit almost unachievable.
What is clear is that all the Australian sides have looked better in 2019 with larger bodies in the 12 jersey. A hallmark of any good side is their ability to win the gain line both in space and in the tight. This is a facet of play and subsequent selection the selections should have absolute clarity on. In fact, it is elementary my dear Watson!
Alan Wyn Jones and Warren Gatland on Wales’ Grand Slam:
Comments on RugbyPass
Why cant I watch Rugby games please?
1 Go to commentsBeautiful shot from Finau, end of story. Gutted for Shaun Stevenson though.
4 Go to commentsThe Chiefs definitely didn’t win ugly. They had the superior scrum, a dominant lineout, and their defence was excellent once the Waratahs scored their two tries (thanks to some lucky refereeing calls mind you). They put pressure on the Waratahs lineout throughout the game, and the mind boggles as to why the referee did not award a yellow card or a penalty try against the Waratahs for repeated scrum infringements on their own try line before Narawa’s first try. And the Chiefs were slick with their passing and running angles on attack. It was a dominant performance all round, even with many questionable refereeing decisions.
1 Go to commentsWasnt late. Ref 2 assistants andTMO all saw it so who are you to say it was?
4 Go to commentsAre the Brumbies playing the Blues twice in a row?
4 Go to commentsBig difference from the Saders. Forwards really muscled up and laid a solid platform. Scooter brought some steel and I liked the loosie combination. Newell has been rather disappointing this season but stepped up big time - happy also to see Franks dot down. He should do that more often! Reihana had a good game and there seems to be more flair and invention with him in the saddle. McNicoll plays well from the back and is reliable plus inventive when he joins the line. Keep it up chaps!
3 Go to comments🤦♂️🤣 who cares who’s the best . All I know is the All Blacks have the star coach but have few star players now …
30 Go to commentsJe suis sûr que Farrell est impatient de jouer avec Lopez et Machenaud et d’être entraîné par Collazo… 🤭
1 Go to commentsAn on field red (aka a full red) in SRP must surely carry a bigger suspension than a red card given by the bunker as that carries a 20 minute team punishment. Had Damon Murphy abdicated his responsibility as a ref and issued both Drua players a yellow, which would have been upgraded to a 20 minute red by the bunker, that would have killed Australia and New Zealand’s push for the 20 minute red to be trialled globally from July this year.
11 Go to commentsEver so often you all post a Danny Care story that isn’t the announcement that he has finally re-signed for one more, victory tour season at Quins and I’m just like, “well you fooled me again!” My absolute favorite player ever, we need to make his final year at the Stoop (and Twickers) official already. I know he supposedly snubbed France but I won’t feel better until he signs.
1 Go to commentslate hit what late hit it wasn’t at all late and can clearly see he was committed before the tackle
4 Go to commentsChristian Lio -Willies 2 try perfomance was a standout. As was captain Scott Barrett. Up front was where the boys won it.They are a great team and players. Fantastic Crusaders , you can keep going.
3 Go to commentsI don't know how the locals feel about that? I guess if you call yourselves the Worcester Wasps that might be appease. But really we need more teams in the Premiership in my view so they are not padding it out as they are at the moment. It might curtail so many players going abroad as well
5 Go to commentsNZ 😭😭😭is certainly rivaling England for best whingers cup!😭😭😭 !!!
30 Go to commentsYup. New Zealand won 3 out of 10 world cups played. SA 4 out of 8 attempts 30 Vs 50 per cent.🤔🤔
30 Go to commentsShould've done this years ago. Change Saturday kick off times to around 11am. Up and off and back home before 3pm, limit travel time too. Allows players to actually do something else with their Saturday that's family oriented or being rugby fans they could ‘watch’ pro rugby. Increases crowds etc. How can anyone that enjoys grassroots and pro rugby have to choose between the two on Saturdays?
9 Go to commentsI bet he inspired those supporters just as much.
1 Go to commentsBen Smith Springboks living rent free in his head 😊😂
67 Go to commentsGood to hear he would like to play the game at the highest level, I hadn’t been to sure how much of a motivator that was before now. Sadly he’s probably chosen the rugby club to go to. Try not to worry about all the input about how you should play rugby Joey and just try to emulate what you do on the league field and have fun. You’ll limit your game too much (well not really because he’s a standard athlete like SBW and he’ll still have enough) if you’re trying to make sure you can recycle the ball back etc. On the other hard, you can totally just try and recycle by looking to offload any and everywhere if you’re going to ground 😋
1 Go to commentsThis just proves that theres always a stat and a metric to use to justify your abilities and your success. Ben did it last week by creating an imaginary competition and now you did the same to counter his argument and espouse a new yardstick for success. Why not just use the current one and lets say the Boks have won 4 world cups making them the most successful world cup team. Outside of the world cup the All Blacks are the most successful team winning countless rugby championships and dominating the rankings with high win percentages. Over the last 4 years statistically the Irish are the best having the highest win rate and also having positive records against every tier 1 side. The most successful Northern team in the game has been England with a world cup title and the most six nations titles in history. The AB’s are the most dominant team in history with the highest win rate and 3 world cups. Lets not try to reinvent the wheel. Just be honest about the actual stats and what each team has been good at doing and that will be enough to define their level of success.
30 Go to comments