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'There's no hiding': Sam Cane explains why the All Blacks have won just 50 percent of tests in Australia since 2011
Overturning a mediocre run of recent results in Australia will be key to New Zealand’s chances of retaining the Bledisloe Cup for yet another year.
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Just how they do that, though, remains to be seen, with All Blacks captain Sam Cane conceding he is unsure why his side have maintained a win rate of just 50 percent against the Wallabies across the ditch since 2011.
Compare that to their home record against the same opposition, and one will find that the reigning Bledisloe Cup holders haven’t tasted defeat to their trans-Tasman rivals on home soil in 18 years.
The closest the Wallabies have come to an elusive victory in New Zealand came earlier this month when not even close to 10 minutes of injury time could separate the teams from a 16-all draw in Wellington.
It’s that stalemate that has left the four-match series wide open, despite the All Blacks trumping 27-7 at Eden Park a fortnight ago, giving them a leg up in what has now effectively become a three-game series.
That leaves the Wallabies needing to win their next two tests against the All Blacks over the next eight days if they are to break a 17-year Bledisloe Cup hoodoo.
Cane and his teammates, meanwhile, need just the one win to keep the trophy in New Zealand, a feat of which they can achieve in Sydney on Saturday.
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Considering they have lost two of their last three clashes against the Wallabies in Australia, however, winning in enemy territory is something that Cane isn’t taking lightly.
“We’ve alluded to that our record in Australia probably isn’t as good as it is in New Zealand, so there’s no hiding from that,” he told reporters on Friday.
“Australia is a tough place to play in and they’ve got a pretty good record and it’s a pretty unique situation, particularly in my time in the All Blacks, with the way the schedule’s worked out.
“It’s always been test matches in Aussie first, followed by New Zealand, so when it comes to the Bledisloe and crunch games, they’ve been on New Zealand soil, so the shoe’s on the other foot here this weekend, but we’re pretty excited by that challenge.”
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It's been seven years since Jack Goodhue last played schoolboy rugby, but he is set to face off against his former 1st XV midfield partner in Bledisloe Cup III. #BledisloeCup #AUSvNZL https://t.co/DezHWs80jM
— RugbyPass (@RugbyPass) October 30, 2020
Given the way in which the Tri Nations and Rugby Championship has been scheduled in recent years, the All Blacks haven’t actually secured the Bledisloe Cup in Australia since 2009.
Being handed the chance to buck that trend is something Cane describes as “awesome”, but he knows securing victory against a resurgent Wallabies side under the tutelage of Dave Rennie won’t come easily.
“It would be pretty wicked to hold that trophy up, but we know it will be a heck of a challenge and we’re going to have to dig pretty deep to get there,” Cane said.
“[We’re] not spending too much energy or time focusing on the end result, more focused on the process of how we can go about getting there.”
With six wins from their last 12 outings on the western side of the Tasman, Cane will be hoping to prevent the Wallabies from picking up their fifth win in front of their home crowd over that same period.
Two draws in 2012 and 2014 make up for the other two results in that timespan, with Cane left unsure as to why his side have struggled for success in their neighbour’s backyard.
“I’m not 100 percent sure,” the 28-year-old, playing in his third test as full-time captain of the All Blacks, said when asked about his team’s woes in Australia.
“I suppose it’s one of those things, you look at any team who plays on home soil compared to away.
“The records are normally in favour of those teams that are at home with some of the normalities of being at home, [with a] home crowd.
“I’m not sure. All those little things, they probably add up when it comes to high performance sport. It’s only small margins and they might influence it. I’m not too sure, but it’ll be up to us to make sure it [losing in Australia this weekend] doesn’t happen.”
Comments on RugbyPass
Good to hear he would like to play the game at the highest level, I hadn’t been to sure how much of a motivator that was before now. Sadly he’s probably chosen the rugby club to go to. Try not to worry about all the input about how you should play rugby Joey and just try to emulate what you do on the league field and have fun. You’ll limit your game too much (well not really because he’s a standard athlete like SBW and he’ll still have enough) if you’re trying to make sure you can recycle the ball back etc. On the other hard, you can totally just try and recycle by looking to offload any and everywhere if you’re going to ground 😋
1 Go to commentsThis just proves that theres always a stat and a metric to use to justify your abilities and your success. Ben did it last week by creating an imaginary competition and now you did the same to counter his argument and espouse a new yardstick for success. Why not just use the current one and lets say the Boks have won 4 world cups making them the most successful world cup team. Outside of the world cup the All Blacks are the most successful team winning countless rugby championships and dominating the rankings with high win percentages. Over the last 4 years statistically the Irish are the best having the highest win rate and also having positive records against every tier 1 side. The most successful Northern team in the game has been England with a world cup title and the most six nations titles in history. The AB’s are the most dominant team in history with the highest win rate and 3 world cups. Lets not try to reinvent the wheel. Just be honest about the actual stats and what each team has been good at doing and that will be enough to define their level of success.
17 Go to commentsHow is 7’s played there? I’m surprised 10 or 11 man rugby hasn’t taken off. 7 just doesn’t fit the 15s dynamics (rules n field etc) but these other versions do.
7 Go to commentsPick Swinton at your peril A liability just like JWH from the Roosters Skelton ??? went missing at RWC
14 Go to commentsLike tennis, who have a ranking system, and I believe rugby too, just measure over each period preceding a world cup event who was the longest number one and that would be it. In tennis the number one player frequently is not the grand slam winner. I love and adore the All Blacks since the days of Ian Kirkpatrick when I was a kid in SA. And still do because they are the masters of running rugby and are gentleman on and off the field - in general. And in my opinion they have been the majority of the time the best rugby team in the world.
17 Go to commentsHaving overseas possessions in 2024 is absurd. These Frenchies should have to give the New Caledonians their freedom.
21 Go to commentsBell injured his foot didn’t he? Bring Tupou in he’ll deliver when it counts. Agree mostly but I would switch in the Reds number 8 Harry Wilson for Swinton and move Rob Valentini to 6 instead. Wilson is a clever player who reads the play, you can’t outmuscle the AB’s and Springboks, if you have any chance it’s by playing clever. Same goes for Paisami, he’s a little guy who doesn’t really trouble the likes of De Allende and Jordie Barrett. I’d rather play Carter Gordon at 12 and put Michael Lynagh’s boy at 10. That way you get a BMT type goalkicker at 10 and a playmaker at 12. Anyways, just my two cents as a Bok supporter.
14 Go to commentsThanks Brett, love your articles which are alway pertinent. It’s a difficult topic trying to have a panel adjudicating consistently penalties for red card issues. Many of the mitigating reasons raised are judged subjectively, hence the different outcomes. How to take away subjective opinions?
4 Go to commentsYes Sir! Surprising, just like Fraser would also have escaped sanction if he was a few inches lower, even if it was by accident that he missed! Has there really been talk about those sanctions or is this just sensational journalism? I stopped reading, so might have missed any notations.
4 Go to commentsAI is only as good as the information put in, the nuances of the sport, what you see out the corner of the eye, how you sum up in a split second the situation, yes the AI is a tool but will not help win games, more likely contribute to a loss, Rugby Players are not robots, all AI can do if offer a solution not the solution. AI will effect many sports, help train better golfers etc.
45 Go to commentsIt couldn’t have been Ryan Crotty. He wasn’t selected in either World Cup side - they chose Money Bill instead. And Money Bill only cared about himself, and that manager he had, not the team.
26 Go to commentsYawn 🥱 nobody would give a hoot about this new trophy. End of the day we just have to beat Ireland and NZ this year then they can finally shut up 🤐
17 Go to commentsTalking bout Ryan Crotty? Heard Crotty say in a interview once that SBW doesen't care about the team . He went on to say that whenever they lost a big game, SBW would be happy as if nothing happened, according to him someone who cares would look down.. Personally I think Crotty is in the wrong, not for feeling gutted but for expecting others 2 be like him… I have been a bad loser forever as it matters so much to me but good on you SBW for being able to see the bigger picture….
26 Go to commentsThis sounds like a WWE idea so Americans can also get excited about rugby, RUGBY NEEDS A INTERNATIONAL CALENDER .. The rugby Championship and Six Nations can be held at same time, top 3 of six nations and top 3 of Rugby championship (6 nations should include Georgia AND another qualifying country while Fiji, Japan and Samoa/Tonga qualifier should make out 6 Southern teams).. Scrap June internationals and year end tours. Have a Elite top six Cup and the Bottom 6 in a secondary comp….
17 Go to commentsThe rugby championship would be even stronger with Fiji in it… I know it doesen’t fit the long term plans of NZ or Aus but you are robbing a whole nation of being able to see their best players play for Fiji…. Every second player in NZ and AUS teams has Fijian surnames… shame on you!!! World rugby won’t step in either as France and England has now also joined in…. I guess where money is involved it will always be the poor countries missing out….
84 Go to commentsNo surprise there. How hard can it be to pick a ball off the ground and chuck it to a mate? 😂
2 Go to commentsSometimes people just like a moan mate!
4 Go to commentsexcellent idea ! rugby needs this 💪
17 Go to comments9 Brumbies! What a joke! The best performing team in Oz! Ditch Skelton for Swain or Neville. Ryan Lonergan ahead of McDermott any day! Best selection bolter is Toole … amazing player
14 Go to commentsI like this, but ultimately rugby already has enough trophies. Trying to make more games “consequential" might prove to be a fools errand, although this is a less bad idea than some others. Minor quibble with the title of the article; it isn’t very meaningful to say the boks are the unofficial world champions when it would be functionally impossible for the Raeburn trophy not to be held by the world champions. There’s a period of a few months every 4 years when there is no “unofficial” world champion, and the Raeburn trophy is held by the actual world champions.
17 Go to comments