From Uganda to the All Blacks: The problem facing Tier Two World Cup nations
Every World Cup presents lower-tier nations a chance to test themselves and prove their worth on an international platform against rugby powerhouses that they would never normally get the opportunity to play against.
Any game played against the likes of the All Blacks or England will go down as the pinnacle or highlight of the careers of those who ply their international trade for teams such as Namibia or Uruguay.
For these test sides, the privilege of playing some of the world’s best players on the greatest stage of them all is unparalleled, and it is what most players will have been working towards since they first picked up a rugby ball.
Understandably, these low-level tier two nations are almost always on the wrong side of the scoreline by the end of such fixtures.
Namibia have conceded 792 points against tier one nations in 12 World Cup matches, significantly overshadowing the 104 accumulative points they scored in those fixtures, while Uruguay have a woeful points difference of -395 against similar opposition from their three World Cup campaigns.
It’s obvious why these developing, largely amateur nations are on the receiving end of such hidings against world-class opposition who have fully-fledged, multi-million dollar professional club leagues to draw quality players from.
However, not all tier two teams suffer the same fate as that of Namibia, Uruguay, and probably Russia, who are also competing at this year’s World Cup in Japan.
Fiji, Japan and Georgia, for example, have all made strong cases to be included in the proposed 12-team World Rugby Nations Championship, which includes all 10 tier one nations.
Their claims to compete with and against the best sides on the planet on an annual basis comes as a result of not only outstanding coaching and intensive development of rugby over the course of the past decade or two, but also their constant exposure to quality tier two opponents, as well as the occasional fixture against a tier one team.
The competitiveness of those countries has been proven in recent history.
Fiji beat Wales to qualify for the 2007 World Cup quarter-finals, where they pushed South Africa to the brink of a monumental upset, defeated France in Paris for the first time ever last year, and claimed two scalps over Italy over the past five years.
Japan did what Fiji couldn’t and stunned the world with a shock 34-32 win over the Springboks at the last World Cup four years ago, and two years before that, claimed their first-ever win over Wales, albeit a depleted side due to that year’s Lions tour of Australia, before drawing with France in Paris in 2017.
Georgia, meanwhile, are yet to tip up a top-tier outfit, but have proven their worth within the tier two realm after being crowned champions of the Europe Rugby Championship 10 times in the last 12 years, and beating Pacific powerhouses Samoa and Tonga more often than not.
The fact that Fiji, Japan and Georgia are exposed to high-level sides, let alone overachieving against them, makes all of these nations better prepared for not just the World Cup set to take place in five months’ time, but better prepared for future World Cups and the Nations Championship.
However, it also brings into question the preparation that tier two nations on the lower end of the spectrum – Namibia, Uruguay and Russia, all of whom are also going to Japan in September – are undergoing in the lead-up to the World Cup in the four-year cycle beforehand.
Despite being labelled in the tier two category by World Rugby alongside teams that are challenging for a spot in the Nations Championship and eyeing quarter-final spots in the World Cup, opportunities against classier opposition for Namibia, Uruguay and Russia are sparse.
Russia, who last appeared at a World Cup in their debut tournament in 2011, haven’t played a tier one nation since their 68-22 thumping at the hands of Australia in Nelson, with the highest level of opposition in the most recent World Cup cycle being Europe Rugby Championship rivals Georgia, while Japan provided a one-off clash last year.
The same can be said of Uruguay, who last featured at the 2015 World Cup and haven’t faced off against a tier one side since their 60-3 loss to England in Manchester at that tournament.
Instead, yearly appearances in the Americas Rugby Championship have filled their international calendar, while rivals such as the USA and Canada – teams of which Uruguay have recorded multiple victories against in the past three years – have had the honour of playing Italy, Ireland and Scotland.
Russia will face Ireland and Scotland later this year, as well as Samoa and hosts Japan in a tough Pool A, and Uruguay have been tasked with Australia and Wales in Pool D, while challenges against the much better prepared Georgia and Fiji won’t be a lot easier.
With regular fixtures against tier three sides like Chile, Paraguay and Belgium in the years preceding the World Cup, there’s little chance for Russia or Uruguay to enhance their chances of obtaining a credible result against much more well versed opposition due to the unsubstantial quality of matches they’re dealt with leading into the tournament.
Namibia have had perhaps the worst preparation out of any team competing at this year’s World Cup in terms of the quality of their opposition.
Not only have they not faced a tier one nation since Argentina’s 64-19 hammering of them at the 2015 event in Leicester, but the four-time World Cup competitors have faced no side better than that of Uruguay between now and then.
Even Russia and Uruguay have had the chance to play ‘elite’ tier two nations like the USA and Japan, but Namibia have had Los Teros and World Cup rejects Romania as their premier fixtures over the last three years, sandwiched between a plethora of low-level African opposition including Uganda, Morocco and Tunisia.
The Welwitschias will be forced to utilise that African Gold Cup experience to take on the might of the All Blacks and Springboks in Tokyo and Toyota, respectively.
One can only hope those scorelines don’t blow out as badly as it has done in the past.
It’s a far cry from that of Japan, Fiji and Georgia, who, despite not being given regular clashes against tier one opponents, are still handed the chance to play at venues like Twickenham, Murrayfield and Principality Stadium from time to time, unlike some of their fellow tier two companions.
While Namibia, Uruguay and Russia will presumably proceed to get thumped in The Land of the Rising Sun, some obvious scheduling tweaks will need to be made by the start of the next World Cup in France in four years’ time.
Should the Nations Championship fail to launch, one can only hope that World Rugby’s San Francisco agreement, which included a 39 percent increase in tier one v tier two fixtures when agreed upon in 2017, will follow through, as World Cup contenders like Russia, Uruguay and Namibia – the latter two being regular tournament attendees – severely need the exposure to better opposition.
For now though, one can only hope for the best the Bears, the Welwitschias and Los Teros in Japan later this year.
2019 Rugby World Cup City Guide – Kamaishi:
Comments on RugbyPass
Good on Clarke for taking on the criticism and addressing his deficiencies, principally his laziness.
2 Go to comments“It is the people’s favourite against the actual favourite. It is the people’s champions against the actual champions. I’m joking, but it’s going to be a fantastic series.” Why did Darcy make that joke knowing it would be used as click bait? Why did RP headline it as a serious comment? Anyway, the tired comment isn’t very astute. SA players may have played more games etc. Darcy over estimated as a pundit.
19 Go to commentsNot sure Frisch will ever make the French team with Depoortère and Costes waiting in the wings to take over from Danty and Fickou.
1 Go to commentsThe Irish are tired and the Boks are old. The test series won't confirm who is best in the world, it will confirm which team needs to pursue the task of rebuilding with the most urgency.
19 Go to commentsGrant, the first time I have seen an article written by you. Maybe I have missed your previous stuff. These days all professional players effectively play a common season so all top players are equally tired, or rested. That is the job of the coaching ticket to build squad depth and juggle resources so players are ‘ fresh’ when the big games come. Possibly Ireland are less inclined to juggle squad compared to Rassie, who is prepared to take the risk to rest players as well as build depth throughout the year so come WC he has a full squad, experienced and rested enough to win 7 games. After all, to win WC you need to get through the tournament and then win the final big 3 games. Ireland should try and build a bit so come final 3 they are ready. So far only played final 1(QF). I am so looking forward to the Irish tour. Hopefully Rassie has enough time to align his guys, as he draws them from across the globe, and not from 2 sides locally( eg Leinster, Munster). No excuses, going to be exciting.
19 Go to commentsIn football, teams get fined and sometimes docked points for deliberately fielding weakened teams yet Leinster can pretty much do as they please with no comebacks. Could it be because Ireland run the URC? Could it be that Ireland run the ERC? Whichever it is, it stinks!!
5 Go to commentsIreland are only the People’s Champions in Irish eyes. The rest of the world do not care for them very much because of attitudes of people like Gordon, Ferris, Best, Jackman…I could go on!!
19 Go to commentsNot sure how Karl Dickson can ever ref a Quins game, he played for the club for 8 years as understudy to Care and is still close friends with half the team
3 Go to commentsAre bookies taking bets on how many times Vunipola's eventual statement will use the term “elders"? My money is on at least 4 times.
4 Go to commentsSo Ireland will be tired, despite having the most rested test squad in the world. They only play tests, champions cup and urc play off games ffs! Case in point; Leinster sent a B squad to SA for their last two games while their first xv rested up and trained at their leisure for the sf vs Saints at the so called ‘neutral venue’ of Croke Park. So tired? Do me a favour… And as for “people’s champions”? Seriously??? Outside of Ireland they are respected for their ability to win 6N. And of course plenty of inconsequential test friendlies without any real pressure. WC ko games when the pressure is white hot? Not so much…
19 Go to commentsSurprising how standing down or benching a player can do wonders for their motivation. Several players this week in that category.
2 Go to commentsHaha lads lads lads, that’s how you have a holiday In Majorca
4 Go to commentshit on Lynagh was defo late and card-worthy. The other 2 are bang on OK. Hurts you at Test level if youre timing is off and the nostrils are flared. Jerry C knew when to lean in on one, Finau just needs to keep his discipline and head straight.
5 Go to commentsSlade was exceptional against Gloucester. Not only was he doing the classic Slade stuff of running amazing lines and timing passes to perfection to put his wingers into space, he was kicking goals, flying off the line smashing people and crashing into rucks like a flanker… his hair even looked on point. 😍
1 Go to commentsThat’s really sad, hope everyone involved is ok. At least he had pants on.
4 Go to commentsTo be fair it was nowhere bear the Leinster first team (for which, btw, Leinster copped nothing like the outrage that Jake White did for sending a rotated team to the UK). But it’s fun to watch the Stormers doing their thing. They are attracting big, diverse crowds of young fans, and deservedly so. Great to see.
1 Go to commentsIt might be legal but he’s sailing pretty close to the wind. Not a lot needs to go wrong for Finau to end up in the bin. Was it late? Not quite, but borderline. High? A couple of CM within the laws, no room for error with that one. Did he wrap the arms? There was a token effort to wrap one arm, the intent was clearly to hit with the shoulder. So yeah, it’s legal, just. But as we all know, a very slight change in the dynamics could easily have him seeing red. Hopefully not when it really matters.
5 Go to commentsCan we also show some love for Tane Edmed’s fantastic draw and pass? Put his body on the line and committed the defender before letting go of that pass. Flawless skill.
5 Go to commentsYou forget this is Rassie Erasmus who is still holding the Springbok keys. Even with Felix Jones orchestrating a really tight RWC SF last year. It still wasn't enough to get England past their particular Springbok Monkey in world cups. The reason is FJ was going off of what they did in 2019 not necessarily adapting to current Springboks. So yes, Australia can get passed England because let's be honest, England have a one track strategy, Springboks do not. Even with rush defense I wouldn't be surprised if Rassie continually tweaks it. Also bear in mind Rassie is happy to sacrifice a few mid year and inter World Cup matches to pin point how opposition plays and how to again tweak strategies to get his Springboks in peak performance for the next World Cup. As much as most teams like to win games in front of them and try to win everything, Rassie always makes sure to learn and train for the greatest showdown International Rugby has to offer. Tbh, most people remember World Cup wins and ignore intermediate losses as a result but will remember also WC losses, Ireland, even if they won games in the interim. So even if games are won against the Springboks, it's likely Rassie is just getting a feel for how opposition is moving and adapt accordingly…in time. For Rassie, a loss is never a loss because he uses it as a chance to learn and improve. Sometimes during a game, again like the England match in last year's Semi Final.
7 Go to commentsDanny don't care. He pretends to care but he don't. He says all this stuff to justify his reasoning but no one can claim that legitimately. He knew exactly what he was doing and wondered if his old team mate would overlook it, which he did. Ref has got to be sidelined or properly trained. It's one thing for refs to move up the ranks but if it was me I would require refs to either have played in different clubs or not at all having the temptation to bias in high stakes games like this. This has got to be stamped out. But then again World Rugby is so destroying the game of rugby in an attempt to be more “safe” and “concussion free”. What they are doing is making it more infuriating for the fans and more difficult for the refs to officiate evenly and consistently. It's fast become Australian Rules football. If guys don't want concussions, they should have played chess. Stop complaining you oldies of the game. When they played the game was vastly heavier hitting than it is now but of course they can't see that.
3 Go to comments