Change is scary but Welsh rugby not changing is even more frightening
Change can be scary. Besides, if it’s not broken, why try to fix things? Except things are broken, very broken, in Welsh rugby and change is needed if this great rugby nation is to continue to compete for silverware and honours. Leaps into the unknown usually require a degree of faith. For Wales, though, this jump into the void would be more akin to the one made by Harrison Ford in The Fugitive as he stared down the barrel of a gun.
This weekend news broke that Ospreys, a club that has contributed 16 British and Irish Lions, might have to merge with the English Championship club, Ealing Trailfinders, just to keep the lights on. In any other year, this revelation would have had a seismic impact on the psyche of Welsh rugby but 2023 has already supplied a torrent of tectonic-shifting headlines.
Amidst the wreckage of accusations of sexism at board level, of strike actions from the national players and the possibility of unfulfilled Six Nations Tests, one glimmering positive emerged. The details are yet to be ironed out but it seems as if the 60-cap rule, which has been in place since 2017 to restrict Test players from playing club rugby outside of Wales – is set to be scrapped.
For those afraid of change, there is a handy reference point to alleviate fears. Back in 2018, the Springboks were a team without direction and low on confidence. Allister Coetzee was at the helm of a sinking ship. A first-ever home defeat to Argentina was supplemented by a first-ever loss to Italy and a 57-0 drubbing in New Zealand. By the time Coetzee was sacked after 25 Tests, he had a win rate of just 44 per cent – lower than any other Springboks coach with more than 12 games in charge.
Change can be scary but it is often needed. Rassie Erasmus answered the SOS call and proceeded to reorder the status quo by abolishing a 30-cap rule in South Africa. Less than two years later, Cheslin Kolbe, Faf de Klerk, Vincent Koch, Franco Mostert, Cobus Reinach and Thomas du Toit all featured in a triumphant World Cup campaign.
None of them would have been in Japan with the Springboks had the previous ruling been in place at the time. It would be overly simplistic to suggest that South Africa’s victory hinged on the selection of these six players, but there was no argument against the claim that the overall strength of the squad would have been greatly diminished without them.
Often, the fear of change is the manifestation of the fear of loss. But as far as Erasmus was concerned, the Springboks had nothing left to lose. They had slipped as low as seventh on World Rugby’s rankings in 2018 and hadn’t won a Rugby Championship title since 2009 when the tournament was still called the Tri-Nations.
Erasmus had a free swing. He could have implemented a change from green to purple for the Springboks on match days and it wouldn’t have blown the side any further off course.
What would Wales now lose by abandoning a selection policy that is in effect a restraint of trade? Well, as the conservative argument goes, it would hamstring the regions and weaken the four clubs that play in the United Rugby Championship. That theory would have merit if Cardiff, Scarlets, Dragons and Ospreys – who apparently need the help of a second-division English club 180 miles away to stay alive – were tearing up trees. Instead, they are stinking the place out.
After 15 rounds, Cardiff are the top-ranked Welsh side in the URC… in 10th place. Were it not for Zebre, who have lost 49 of their previous 50 matches, Welsh teams would occupy the bottom three places on the league table. Remind us again what the four clubs would be losing if some of their stars could leave for foreign shores?
Of course, it would be quite the exodus. Only nine members of Warren Gatland’s squad have more than 60 caps at present. Five of the remaining 37 currently play in England, but since they signed for their clubs before their Test debuts they are not currently restricted by the 60-cap rule.
Cardiff might lose the services of Josh Adams and Josh Navidi, but the players could personally gain from large pay packages at a French Top 14 outfit. The Dragons would miss Ross Moriarty and the Scarlets would struggle to replace both Wyn Jones and Samson Lee in the front row, but the depth of Welsh rugby would only develop as a consequence of their absence. And for a cash-strapped organisation, the WRU would surely benefit from having some of Adam Beard’s salary paid by someone else.
You can understand the apprehensions that some might have. If the wealthy nations can simply hoover up the world’s best talent, then the very existence of domestic leagues in less-resourced outposts would be under threat. But that is an anachronistic and timid way of analysing the current economic climate of a game now 28 years into professionalism.
Money, talent, coaching philosophies and broadcast deals regularly traverse the globe. South African Gary Gold was head coach of the USA until December. New Zealander Bundee Aki plays for Ireland. Welshman Aled Walters will soon be helping to improve the fitness standards of England. The examples go on and on…
The world has changed and unions that refuse to do so risk withering on the vine. This open borders approach has paid dividends in other sports. Just one member of Argentina’s FIFA World Cup-winning squad was on the books at an Argentinian club. Not that River Plate’s goalkeeper Franco Armani did much in Qatar last year, instead relying on his teammates who ply their trade elsewhere.
Change can be scary. But given the trajectory of Welsh rugby, not changing would be even more frightening.
Comments on RugbyPass
Lets compare apples with apples. Lyon sent weak team the week before, but nobody raised an eyebrow. Give the South African teams a few years to build their depth, then you will be moaning that the teams are too strong.
41 Go to commentsDid footballs agents also perform the scout role at some time? I’m surprised more high profile players haven’t taken up the occupation, great way to remain in the game and use all that experience without really requiring a lot of specific expertise?
1 Go to commentsSuper rugby is struggling but that has little to do with sabbaticals. 1. Too many teams from Aust and NZ - should be 3 and 4 respectively, add in 2 from Japan, 1 possibly 2 from Argentina. 2. Inconsistent and poor refereeing, admittedly not restricted to Super rugby. Only one team was reffed at the breakdown in Reds v H’Landers match. Scrum penalty awarded in Canes v Drua when No 8 had the ball in the open with little defence nearby - ideal opportunity to play advantage. Coming back to Reds match - same scrum situation but ref played advantage - Landers made 10 yards and were penalised at the breakdown when the ref should have returned to scrum penalty. 3. Marketing is weak and losing ground to AFL and NRL. Playing 2 days compared with 4. 4. Scheduling is unattractive to family attendance. Have any franchises heard of Sundays 2pm?
10 Go to commentsAbsolutely..all they need is a chance in yhe playoffs and I bet all the other teams will be nervous…THEY KNOW HOW TO WIN IM THE PLAYOFFS..
2 Go to commentsI really hope he comes back and helps out with some coaching.
1 Go to commentsI think we are all just hoping that the Olympic 7s doesn’t suffer the same sad fate as the last RWC with the officials ruining the spectacle.
1 Go to commentsPersonally, I’ve lost the will to even be bothered about the RFU, the structure, the participants. It’s all a sham. I now simply enjoy getting a group of friends together to go and watch a few games a year in different locations (including Europe, the championship, etc). I feel extremely sorry for the real fans of these clubs who are constantly ignored by the RFU and other administrators. I feel especially sorry for the fans of clubs in the Championship who have had considerable central funding stripped away and are then expected to just take whatever the RFU put to them. Its all a sham, especially if the failed clubs are allowed to return.
9 Go to commentsI’m guessing Carl Hayman would have preferred to have stayed in NZ with benefit of hindsight. Up north there is the expectation to play twice as many games with far less ‘player management’ protocols that Paul is now criticising. Less playing through concussions means longer, healthier, careers. Carter used as the eg here by Paul, his sabbatical allowed him to play until age 37. OK its not an exact science but there is far more expectations on players who sign for Top 14 or Engl Prem clubs to get value for the huge salaries. NZR get alot wrong but keeping their best players in NZ rugby is not one of them. SA clubs are virtually devoid of their top players now, no thanks. They cant threaten the big teams in the Champions Cup, the squads have little depth. Cant see Canes/Chiefs struggling. Super has been great this year, fantastic high skill matches. Drua a fantastic addition and Jaguares will add another quality team eventually. Aus teams performing strongly and no doubt will benefit with the incentive of a Lions tour and a home RWC. Let Jordie enjoy his time with Leinster, it will allow the opportunity for another player to emerge at Canes in his absence.
10 Go to commentsLove that man, his way to despise angry little men is so funny ! 😂
4 Go to comments“South African franchises would be powerhouses if we had all our overseas based players back in situ. We would have the same unbeatable aura the Toulouses, Leinsters or Saracens of this world have had over the last decade or so.” Proof that Jake white does not understand the economics of the game in SA. Players earning abroad are not going to simply come back and represent the bulls. But they might if they have a springbok contract.
22 Go to commentsA lot of fans just joined in for the fun of it! We all admire O'Gara and what he has done for La Rochelle
4 Go to commentsThe RFU will find a way to mess this up as usual. My bet is there will be no promotion into the the Premiership, only relegation into National League One. Hopefully they won’t parachute failed clubs into the league at the expense of clubs who have battled for promotion.
9 Go to commentsWell that’s the contracts for RG and Jordie bought and paid for. Now, what are the chances we can persuade Antoine to hop over with all the extra dosh we’ll have from living at the Aviva & Croke next season…??? 🤑🤑🤑
35 Go to commentsWow, that’s incredible. Great for rugby.
35 Go to commentsYou probably read that parling is going to coach the wallaby lineout but if not before now you have.
14 Go to commentsIf someone like Leo Cullen was in O’Gara’s place I don’t hear Boo-ing. It’s not just that La Rochelle has hurt Leinster and O’Gara is their Irish boss. It’s the needle that he brings and the pantomime activity before the game around pretending that Munster were supporting LaRochelle just because O’Gara is from Cork. That’s dividing Irish provinces just to get an advantage for his French Team. He can F*ck right off with that. BOOOOO! (but not while someone is lying injured)
4 Go to commentsDid the highlanders party too hard before the game? They were the pits.
1 Go to commentsWhat a player! Not long until he’s in the England side, surely?
5 Go to commentsHe seems to have the same aura as Marcus Smith - by which I mean he’s consistently judged as if he’s several years younger than he actually is. Mngomezulu has played 24 times for the Stormers. When Pollard was his age he had played 24 times for South Africa! He has more time to develop, but he has also had time to do some developing already, and he hasn’t demonstrated nearly as much talent in that time as one would expect. If he is a generational talent, then it must be a pretty poor generation.
6 Go to commentsThe greatest Springbok coach of all time is entirely on the money. Rassie and Jacques have given the south african public a great few years, but the success of the springbok selection policy will need to be judged in light of what comes next. The poor condition that the provincial system is currently in doesn’t bode well for the next few years of international rugby, and the insane 2026 schedule that the Boks have lined up could also really harm both provincial and international consistency.
22 Go to comments