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'You're in trouble South Africa': British & Irish Lions versus Springboks preview


Alun Wyn Jones / PA
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The British & Irish Lions bounced back from their midweek loss to South Africa A with a comfortable 49-3 win over the DHL Stormers on Saturday, welcoming back captain Alun Wyn Jones in the process, and making a final statement before their titanic clash with the Springboks.  The preparations are over, and now the rugby world turns its attention to the Test series

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When, where and how to watch the match
The match will kick-off at 17:00 (BST) on Saturday July 24th at Cape Town Stadium.

It will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK and Ireland, Supersport in South Africa, Stan Sport in Australia and Sky in New Zealand.

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Head-to-head
Across the last ten matches between the two teams, the Springboks have won six and the Lions have won four. These wins secured the 1980 and 2009 series for South Africa, while the Lions were victorious in 1997. The average score over these ten fixtures is 21-20 to South Africa.

1980
South Africa 26-24 Lions
South Africa 26-19 Lions
South Africa 12-10 Lions
South Africa 13-17 Lions

1997
South Africa 16-25 Lions
South Africa 15-18 Lions
South Africa 35-16 Lions

2009
South Africa 26-21 Lions
South Africa 28-25 Lions
South Africa 9-28 Lions

Warren Gatland
Lions head coach Warren Gatland (PA)

Match odds from Bet365
Bet365 have the Lions as 3/4 favourites to win this match, with 8/5 odds of a winning margin of 1-12 points. They also have 8/11 odds that the team which scores first will win the match.*

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Prediction
Four-time Lions head coach Ian McGeechan, who steered the side to their last series win over the Springboks in 1997, complimented the Lions on Sky Sports after the Stormers match for “learning on their feet”. He also added a warning to the hosts.

He said: “[The Lions are] actually learning on their feet and that’s what you want is to take that attitude: if we’re level with 20 minutes to go, you’re in trouble South Africa.”

 

*Odds accurate as of 19/07/21. BeGambleAware.org 18+ Gamble Responsibly

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TL 52 minutes ago
Joe Schmidt bows out on a high - but can the Wallabies escape 'the twilight zone'?

All of that seems fair enough, aside from the 10 criticism: Lynagh was injured so not up for selection this year + missed most of SR, Noah went to Japan league 2, maybe an argument for bringing him back in early, but we had Carter. Dono and Meredith (who looks decent enough). Definitely not a straightforward call. Edmed was an experiment that didn’t bear fruit, I’m happy to forgive him that one though, because he did what Cheik and Rennie didn’t do, which was consistently look to develop young 10s in the face of criticism (Rennie’s chopping and changing wasn’t great for Noah, and it was back to the future too often for Cheik, which hurt our development pathways e.g. Mack Mason, Jack Maddocks, and too often gambling on people out of position—more than Joe!). Tane is one specific failed experiment. l just wish we had a more scrupulous punditry when it comes to the recent past (your obvs not in the crosshairs here, it’s the Aussie media). TBH, I worry about the identity piece: feel it should be the salt on the meal, rather than the meal. The Reds are full of Aussie identity but they play the most hairpulling rugby at times and the identity seems to excuse this, while the Brums with less talent and less of an identity in the Australian mould over perform. To be optimistic, maybe it does look a little like the Ireland transition with Les coming in a bit like Farrell, seemingly more of a emotive, man motivator type than the technician Joe. What would have been fantastic and helped everything also was for RA not to burn bridges with Lancaster and be able to get him back and have the Tahs cooking, that is one big piece of the puzzle (the Tahs) that will make our national coach’s job a lot easier.

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