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The timing of the France 2023 RWC pool draw has caused upset


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World Rugby have announced that the draw for the pool stage of the 2023 World Cup will take place after the November internationals this year. 

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The draw will be based on the world rankings after the weekend of the 21-22 November, almost three years before the tournament begins in France. 

Last time there was a pool draw, there was an 18-month gap between the 2015 World Cup final and the draw for the 2019 World Cup which was held in Kyoto in May 2017. 

But this latest window for countries to improve their post-RWC results has now been reduced by six months – and it has proven to be unpopular.  By comparison, the football World Cup’s draw is usually made six months before the tournament starts.

While the qualification process is different between the two sports, a huge amount can change over the three years prior to the World Cup.

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As it stands, band one consists of South Africa, New Zealand, England and Wales, band two is Ireland, Australia, France and Japan, and band three is Scotland, Argentina, Fiji, Italy.

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However, Ireland, Australia and France all have new coaches and could experience some radical improvements in the coming years. Meanwhile, eight teams still have not even qualified for the tournament.

A young France team are particularly tipped to rise over the next few years, but their seeding at the World Cup will effectively be determined by their performances before 2019 – albeit they still have a lot of rugby to play this year to potentially climb up the rankings. 

But for a team to have so much potential come 2023, there should not be as much of a priority to instantly achieve success in 2020 as there is for them and many other teams. 

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https://twitter.com/oseznorugby/status/1222484228648198156?s=20

The major disadvantage for the northern hemisphere teams is that their ranking can be significantly skewed after their summer series. 

Wales travel to New Zealand in July 2020, while Scotland face the Springboks in what will be tough fixtures to climb up the rankings. The teams that have slightly easier tours may not suffer as much damage with their ranking, or even could improve. 

The flaw with this pool draw system was most clearly shown in the 2015 RWC where Pool A contained the second, third and fourth best teams in the world, Australia, England and Wales, as their rankings were obviously different three years before, with Wales ranked ninth in the world at the end of 2012. 

Although this may only happen once every four years, it has major ramifications. It is something that much of the rugby world wants to see changed. 

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Phantom 1 hour ago
Nations Championship: 'The data shows the north has finally caught up with the south'

Fact: the gap between the North and the South has narrowed considerably - that I get. However, determining that only selecting only Home grown players or playing in the home country is is the optimal strategy is a bit of a toss up and highly reliant on the economies of the home union. I do understand that England and to a lesser degree Ireland selects home based only. The top 14 is a massive threat to their domestic product. France would probably not be affected (the money is at home). Fiji, Argentina, Samoa, Italy and you could even argue Scotland have only benefitted from this. Their players either go overseas to learn at higher levels (Fiji, Samoa, Argentina) or players coming into their leagues to strengthen the home product and their National teams (Scotland, Italy, Japan).

South Africa used to limit its selection to the home based players, but the reality of a weak currency vs what players could earn oversees meant that you lost access to your best players at some stage of their careers, with very few exceptions. Kolbe left SA as he was considered too small for International Rugby (yes coaches/selectors view), but ironically in France he forced selectors to notice his endeavors and select him. He is only reaching 50 caps now despite being north of 30 - granted rotation and the odd injury also played a role, but for the most part it is having debuted or becoming a regular so late.



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