Set of Six: Bold predictions for the 2017 NRL season
With two weeks to go until the NRL kicks off again Jarret Filmer puts his Steedens on the line and makes some bold predictions for the new season.
1. The Broncos will miss the finals
The Broncos have only missed the finals four times in their existence but it’s looking like 2017 could be the fifth. If they are to challenge for the finals Ben Hunt and Anthony Milford will need to return to their 2015 form, something that is far from a given. The loss of long-time stalwart Corey Parker will hurt as will the impending defection of Hunt. The Broncos major off-season acquisition was Benji Marshall, a questionable move given that it seems likely he will be asked to play a new position in his 14th season. Coach Wayne Bennett is still considered a master motivator but there’s definitely a question over whether he’s still operating at the peak of his powers. If the Broncos flounder then it will be interesting to see how long Bennett sticks around Red Hill long term.
2. The Warriors will make the finals
Betting on the Warriors to succeed has proven time and again to be a recipe for disaster – despite boasting a line-up full of rep stars and NYC standouts the Auckland outfit have missed out on finals football for the last five consecutive seasons. But this year the return of Roger Tuivasa-Sheck and the addition of Kieran Foran gives new coach Stephen Kearney an all-Kiwi spine and fans are once again uttering their catch-phrase: “this is our year.” And this time, they might just be right.
3. The Knights won’t retain the Wooden Spoon
The boys from the Hunter are staring down the barrel of another miserable season, but there are indications that it might not be quite as awful as last year. Trying to recover from the salary cap crater left by Nathan Tinkler has meant rebuilding from the ground up, almost as though they were an expansion club. The addition of solid veterans like Jamie Buhrer and Rory Kostjasyn will help set the tone for the host of young players the Knights hope represent the future. The Knights face a long slog back to contention but 2017 might give them reason for optimism.
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4. Matt Moylan will win the Dally M
The Penrith Panthers are a chic pick to follow up last year’s unexpected success by pushing for a Premiership. Given a roster loaded with young talent and topped up with astute purchases such as former Cowboy James Tamou there is plenty of cause for optimism at the foot of the Blue Mountains. The biggest question mark facing the Panthers is the talented but inexperienced halves duo of Nathan Cleary and Te Maire Martin – if they are to live up to their potential then the influential Moylan will need to take a strong hand. And if the Panthers do succeed then Moylan has a good chance to be collecting some hardware come September.
5. Cameron Munster will play more games at fullback for the Melbourne Storm than Billy Slater
Craig Bellamy is faced with the difficult task of moving on from a club icon in 2017. Munster’s form in Slater’s absence gave the Storm a glimpse into the future – a future they may be tempted to make their present if Slater struggles to regain his form this season. Slater is a champion but given his age and the nature of his injury there is no certainty that he will ever return to anything resembling his best. If Bellamy is determined to make the most out of the waning years of Cameron Smith and Cooper Cronk’s careers he might be forced to bring the curtain down on Slater. If he can handle the transition deftly then the Storm should push for another Grand Final appearance.
6. Jason Taylor won’t make it through April as coach of the Wests Tigers
A tough draw coupled with a young and thin roster means the Tigers could struggle to put together more than a couple of wins on the board over the first two months of the season. Aside from the brilliance of James Tedesco, the grunt of Aaron Woods and the potential of halves duo Mitchell Moses and Luke Brooks, the cupboard is close to bare at Leichardt. Given Taylor’s brash temperament and the ongoing uneasiness at board level, it wouldn’t be surprising to see Wests throw him overboard – especially if a prolonged slump puts into doubt their ability to re-sign any of the ‘Core Four’ long term.
7th tackle! The Bulldogs will win the Premiership
Despite last year’s limp finals exit, the Bulldogs boast several of the key components for a Premiership winner. They’ve got one of the best coaches in the comp, a classy backline and a formidable forward pack. The big question mark for the Dogs is the quality of their halves – if Josh Reynolds can focus on making plays rather than tripping opponents and Moses Mbye can capitalize on the flashes of potential he has shown then the Dogs definitely have the quality across the park to go deep. Des Hasler is reportedly under pressure to keep his job but it wouldn’t be ridiculous to suggest he’ll silence his critics by bringing a title to Belmore.
Comments on RugbyPass
Ben Smith Springboks living rent free in his head 😊😂
67 Go to commentsGood to hear he would like to play the game at the highest level, I hadn’t been to sure how much of a motivator that was before now. Sadly he’s probably chosen the rugby club to go to. Try not to worry about all the input about how you should play rugby Joey and just try to emulate what you do on the league field and have fun. You’ll limit your game too much (well not really because he’s a standard athlete like SBW and he’ll still have enough) if you’re trying to make sure you can recycle the ball back etc. On the other hard, you can totally just try and recycle by looking to offload any and everywhere if you’re going to ground 😋
1 Go to commentsThis just proves that theres always a stat and a metric to use to justify your abilities and your success. Ben did it last week by creating an imaginary competition and now you did the same to counter his argument and espouse a new yardstick for success. Why not just use the current one and lets say the Boks have won 4 world cups making them the most successful world cup team. Outside of the world cup the All Blacks are the most successful team winning countless rugby championships and dominating the rankings with high win percentages. Over the last 4 years statistically the Irish are the best having the highest win rate and also having positive records against every tier 1 side. The most successful Northern team in the game has been England with a world cup title and the most six nations titles in history. The AB’s are the most dominant team in history with the highest win rate and 3 world cups. Lets not try to reinvent the wheel. Just be honest about the actual stats and what each team has been good at doing and that will be enough to define their level of success.
19 Go to commentsHow is 7’s played there? I’m surprised 10 or 11 man rugby hasn’t taken off. 7 just doesn’t fit the 15s dynamics (rules n field etc) but these other versions do.
7 Go to commentsPick Swinton at your peril A liability just like JWH from the Roosters Skelton ??? went missing at RWC
14 Go to commentsLike tennis, who have a ranking system, and I believe rugby too, just measure over each period preceding a world cup event who was the longest number one and that would be it. In tennis the number one player frequently is not the grand slam winner. I love and adore the All Blacks since the days of Ian Kirkpatrick when I was a kid in SA. And still do because they are the masters of running rugby and are gentleman on and off the field - in general. And in my opinion they have been the majority of the time the best rugby team in the world.
19 Go to commentsHaving overseas possessions in 2024 is absurd. These Frenchies should have to give the New Caledonians their freedom.
21 Go to commentsBell injured his foot didn’t he? Bring Tupou in he’ll deliver when it counts. Agree mostly but I would switch in the Reds number 8 Harry Wilson for Swinton and move Rob Valentini to 6 instead. Wilson is a clever player who reads the play, you can’t outmuscle the AB’s and Springboks, if you have any chance it’s by playing clever. Same goes for Paisami, he’s a little guy who doesn’t really trouble the likes of De Allende and Jordie Barrett. I’d rather play Carter Gordon at 12 and put Michael Lynagh’s boy at 10. That way you get a BMT type goalkicker at 10 and a playmaker at 12. Anyways, just my two cents as a Bok supporter.
14 Go to commentsThanks Brett, love your articles which are alway pertinent. It’s a difficult topic trying to have a panel adjudicating consistently penalties for red card issues. Many of the mitigating reasons raised are judged subjectively, hence the different outcomes. How to take away subjective opinions?
9 Go to commentsYes Sir! Surprising, just like Fraser would also have escaped sanction if he was a few inches lower, even if it was by accident that he missed! Has there really been talk about those sanctions or is this just sensational journalism? I stopped reading, so might have missed any notations.
9 Go to commentsAI is only as good as the information put in, the nuances of the sport, what you see out the corner of the eye, how you sum up in a split second the situation, yes the AI is a tool but will not help win games, more likely contribute to a loss, Rugby Players are not robots, all AI can do if offer a solution not the solution. AI will effect many sports, help train better golfers etc.
45 Go to commentsIt couldn’t have been Ryan Crotty. He wasn’t selected in either World Cup side - they chose Money Bill instead. And Money Bill only cared about himself, and that manager he had, not the team.
26 Go to commentsYawn 🥱 nobody would give a hoot about this new trophy. End of the day we just have to beat Ireland and NZ this year then they can finally shut up 🤐
19 Go to commentsTalking bout Ryan Crotty? Heard Crotty say in a interview once that SBW doesen't care about the team . He went on to say that whenever they lost a big game, SBW would be happy as if nothing happened, according to him someone who cares would look down.. Personally I think Crotty is in the wrong, not for feeling gutted but for expecting others 2 be like him… I have been a bad loser forever as it matters so much to me but good on you SBW for being able to see the bigger picture….
26 Go to commentsThis sounds like a WWE idea so Americans can also get excited about rugby, RUGBY NEEDS A INTERNATIONAL CALENDER .. The rugby Championship and Six Nations can be held at same time, top 3 of six nations and top 3 of Rugby championship (6 nations should include Georgia AND another qualifying country while Fiji, Japan and Samoa/Tonga qualifier should make out 6 Southern teams).. Scrap June internationals and year end tours. Have a Elite top six Cup and the Bottom 6 in a secondary comp….
19 Go to commentsThe rugby championship would be even stronger with Fiji in it… I know it doesen’t fit the long term plans of NZ or Aus but you are robbing a whole nation of being able to see their best players play for Fiji…. Every second player in NZ and AUS teams has Fijian surnames… shame on you!!! World rugby won’t step in either as France and England has now also joined in…. I guess where money is involved it will always be the poor countries missing out….
86 Go to commentsNo surprise there. How hard can it be to pick a ball off the ground and chuck it to a mate? 😂
3 Go to commentsSometimes people just like a moan mate!
9 Go to commentsexcellent idea ! rugby needs this 💪
19 Go to comments9 Brumbies! What a joke! The best performing team in Oz! Ditch Skelton for Swain or Neville. Ryan Lonergan ahead of McDermott any day! Best selection bolter is Toole … amazing player
14 Go to comments