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Warren Gatland's relationship with players not what it was - Andy Goode

(Glyn Kirk/AFP via Getty Images)

There’s never been a build-up like it in 142 years of the fixture but England need to show they’ve learned the lessons of just their last two visits to Cardiff if they’re to beat Wales.

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All the talk has been about the problems in Welsh rugby and I’m sure that will galvanise the players and fans for a one-off encounter against their biggest rivals and England have failed to deal with the circumstances on their last two trips to the Welsh capital.

It couldn’t have been more different to today a couple of years ago as the game was played behind closed doors but Owen Farrell and England were knocked out of their stride by a couple of questionable decisions from Pascal Gauzere and couldn’t come back.

Four years ago it was Kyle Sinckler’s ill-discipline that cost the visitors in the second half as the atmosphere and opposition got on top of England, something which they didn’t acknowledge at the time but have subsequently admitted.

Eddie Jones could drop Kyle Sinckler
England prop Kyle Sinckler (left) reacts during the Six Nations defeat to Wales in Cardiff (Photo by Stu Forster/Getty Images)

There is absolutely no doubt that Alun Wyn Jones and co will be looking to deploy similar tactics at times and Steve Borthwick and his coaching team should have been preparing the players for that and ensuring lessons have been learned.

All the focus has been on Wales and that will suit Borthwick down to the ground as he prefers to concentrate on detail rather than drama but the emotional side of the game can’t be ignored when these two lock horns.

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Wales still have huge issues moving forward on and off the pitch but, while some have suggested that eyes could have been taken off the ball and they might be drained of emotion, I think it’ll be the opposite and the Welsh will be fuelled by a sense of injustice as well as pride and passion.

The role of Warren Gatland is intriguing, though, as he can’t speak out against the WRU but players do appear to have been rubbed up the wrong way and from what you hear he doesn’t have the same relationship with the players as he used to.

The optics of him being parachuted in suddenly and swiftly on a bumper contract while players’ futures are so up in the air are not good. Money has been a sticking point and it has taken an age to sort out their deal.

Gatland comes with a big profile and pedigree but it’s fair to say that he hasn’t done anything in recent years with a Lions series defeat in South Africa and torrid few years with the Chiefs on his CV.

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(Photo by Stu Forster/Getty Images)

Both these teams are just a couple of games into new regimes, even if Gatland has been there for years previously, but their approaches in this tournament couldn’t be more different.

Gatland has made nine changes to the starting XV that lost at Murrayfield and is trialling different combinations with an eye unashamedly on the World Cup, whereas Borthwick is barely tinkering at all and focusing on only the next game after years of Eddie Jones talking about nothing other than the World Cup.

Wales have gone for an experienced pack but some raw backs selected for this one, while England will presumably be hoping they don’t get any ball as they continue with their forward oriented approach.

Owen Williams making his first international start at fly half is a great story after he was involved in everything that went on at Worcester and he’ll be looking to get the ball in the hands of a potentially exciting backline.

We haven’t seen much from England in attack in the opening couple of games and the performances have been disappointing but I think this is a different ball game with the result all-important and anything else a bonus.

It’ll be all about the driving lineout game once more and I expect to see a big focus on the kicking game as well as England try to pin them back into their own 22 and put pressure on them to make mistakes by playing from deep.

Owen Farrell
Owen Farrell the England captain looks dejected after their defeatduring the Six Nations Rugby match between England and Scotland at Twickenham Stadium on February 04, 2023 in London, England. (Photo by David Rogers/Getty Images)

Farrell has insisted this week that England will relish the fiery and hostile Cardiff atmosphere but you only know how you’re going to react when you’re in the cauldron and it’s likely to be unlike anything they’ve experienced before.

Borthwick will have learned a lot about his players as individuals and as a collective come Saturday night but the result will undoubtedly hinge on how they handle it all and it is something that has caught them out before.

Having said that Wales will be galvanised and ready to go, England look stronger on paper and can’t be concerned with all of the outside noise so I can see them getting a first win in Cardiff for six years by 10 points.

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Utiku Old Boy 1 hour ago
It'll take a brave individual to coach these All Blacks

This is an over-dramatization of the AB HC role IMO. I agree something has been “off” since before the 2019 RWC - even the last Lion’s series and it has not all been down to “improvements” by other teams (although that is definitely a reality). I think Rassie (again) shows how a strong coach manages both the locker room and the public perceptions by earning public and team trust through his strength of character, team innovations and improvement, decisiveness, fairness and owning mistakes. A strong NZ coach should have nothing to fear coming in to this environment. Much as I had hopes for Razor after Hanson II and Foster, I think Kirk’s decision is the right one as it was obvious to many of us, the “trajectory” was not there. Same mistakes, confusion under pressure, lack of progress and worst, capitulation. The key is not who will take on the role, but who is selected for the role. I think the leading candidates are JJ, Rennie, Mitchell and somewhere a role for Schmidt and/or Wayne Smith. Razor’s biggest “failure” was his hesitancy, persisting with failing selections, being positive at the cost of being real and the aura he gave off of not knowing where the “fixes” were. The job came too soon for him but he can learn from it and grow. Hopefully, the new guy is bold and strong and has a good team around him because the other big failure of Razor’s tenure was his coaching team was also not ready for the big leagues.

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Hellhound 2 hours ago
It'll take a brave individual to coach these All Blacks

This reminds of the Wallabies and the road down for them. This firing was harsh, rash and not thought through. Just like NZRU jumped the gun with Foster, even announcing his replacement before the biggest tournament in rugby, the World Cup. There is a lot of speculation as to why he was fired or let go, none substantiated facts. For those who go through life with open eyes and follow the logical path, it will be clear from where the rot comes from. The NZRU board itself. The Union itself. Players and coaches change, but results don't. From the man in charge down is rotten. The AB's is still 2nd in the rankings list, still manage to beat the best teams. Maybe not as flashy as in the past, but definitely trending upwards. All of that momentum is now lost…AGAIN. Same mistakes from the board. The NZRU is busy making the AB's a joke now. The fans follow like blind bats and gobble up all the excuses for a decade now. The media report what the board wants people to know, not the facts. They are not very transparent. After Super Rugby, the Wallabies crashed and became almost none existent, a shadow of its former self, running through coaches and players. The same is starting to happen to the AB's. NZRU destroy everything they touch. When will the public address the real problem at hand? When the AB's are as bad as Wales and the Wallabies? Just when the AB's start to trend upwards, they shoot themselves in the foot once again. Firing a coach, before the biggest series NZ have had in many many years, the biggest rivalry. Before the Nation's Cup and the WC. 3 of arguably the biggest competitions in world rugby right now for 2026 and 2027. Fans can drop all expectations for winning any of the 3 competitions. New coach, new strategies, new everything. It takes time to settle a group of players. Even if the same crop of players gets used(which aren't good enough), it won't amount to sudden magical success. Winning percentages isn't everything, but filling the trophy cabinet is. Sack the board, not the coaches. The players and fans also need to realise that.

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