Select Edition

Northern Northern
Southern Southern
Global Global
NZ NZ

What needs to change for Scotland - Beyond 80's full Six Nations analysis

Bernard Jackman breaks down the latest round of the Six Nations, joined by Sam Larner

Bernard Jackman and Sam Larner have taken a deep dive into what actually went wrong for Scotland in this past weekend’s controversial Six Nations clash at Murrayfield.

ADVERTISEMENT

Using data, they’ve delivered their verdict in the latest episode of Beyond80, which is now available on RugbyPass TV and RugbyPass’s Youtube channel.

The pair look at how Scotland lost the game defensively and how they could have avoided young French winger Louis Bielle-Biarrey’s try.

Video Spacer

Breaking down Louis Bielle-Biarrey’s try against Scotland | Beyond80 | RPTV

Bernard Jackman takes a closer look at French winger Louis Bielle-Biarrey’s great try against Scotland. Watch the full show on RugbyPass TV

Watch now

Video Spacer

Breaking down Louis Bielle-Biarrey’s try against Scotland | Beyond80 | RPTV

Bernard Jackman takes a closer look at French winger Louis Bielle-Biarrey’s great try against Scotland. Watch the full show on RugbyPass TV

Watch now

Scotland also proved their own worst enemy at times.

“This is two games in a row where Scotland have really tried as hard as they can to cough up a lead,” says Larner.

“So in this game we’re going to talk about Scotland really parking the bus. It’s a term we hear a lot of in football and Scotland have brought that into rugby.

“When Scotland were either losing or fewer than four points in the lead, they carried 4.7 times per every kick. However, when they went more than four points in the lead, they actually kicked more than they carried. They essentially stopped playing.”

For Wales, they felt that exits were a big problem, and provided the data to back that up.

“They had 13 exits in the game, and they gave the ball back to the English just 43 meters from the Welsh line, on average.

ADVERTISEMENT

“In actual fact, five of those 13 they gave the ball back 30 meters from the Welsh line. And on two of those, they gave it back in the 22, one of those led to the Ben Earl try.”

They also discuss England reverting to kicking tactics, and being successful with it.

“One of the things we saw in the World Cup, and one of the things that we see in the Six Nations – even though England have got more exciting – is that they want to play in the right areas.

“We look at the possession in the different halves, so Wales played 37% of possession in their own half, and for England it was just 31%. So England weren’t interested in playing the ball if it was in their own half, they wanted to put it into the Welsh half and as we know, Wales struggled to exit, so England just piled that pressure on.”

ADVERTISEMENT

Another interesting discussion topic was how Ireland’s passing game differs and what makes them such an attacking threat.

Watch the latest episode of Beyond80 exclusively now on RugbyPass TV or RugbyPass’s Youtube channel

ADVERTISEMENT

Join free

Chasing The Sun | Series 1 Episode 1

Fresh Starts | Episode 1 | Will Skelton

ABBIE WARD: A BUMP IN THE ROAD

Aotearoa Rugby Podcast | Episode 9

James Cook | The Big Jim Show | Full Episode

New Zealand victorious in TENSE final | Cathay/HSBC Sevens Day Three Men's Highlights

New Zealand crowned BACK-TO-BACK champions | Cathay/HSBC Sevens Day Three Women's Highlights

Japan Rugby League One | Bravelupus v Steelers | Full Match Replay

Trending on RugbyPass

Comments

Join free and tell us what you really think!

Sign up for free
ADVERTISEMENT

Latest Features

Comments on RugbyPass

P
Poorfour 11 hours ago
The AI advantage: How the next two Rugby World Cups will be won

AI models are really just larger and less transparent variants of the statistical models that have been in use since Moneyball was invented. And a big difference between the Icahn centre’s results and AI today is that ChatGPT-like Large Language Models can explain (to some degree) how they reached their conclusions. In terms of what impact they will have, I suspect it will have two primary impacts: 1) It will place a premium on coaching creativity 2) It will lead to more selections that baffle fans and pundits. Analysts will be able to run the models both ways: they will see their own team’s and players’ weaknesses and strengths as well as the opposition’s. So they will have a good idea at what the other team will be targeting and the decisive difference may well be which coaches are smart enough to think of a gameplan that the other side didn’t identify and prepare for. For players, it places a premium on three key things: 1) Having a relatively complete game with no major weaknesses (or the dedication to work on eliminating them) 2) Having the tactical flexibility to play a different game every week 3) Having a point of difference that is so compelling that there isn’t a defence for it. (3) is relatively rare even among pro players. There have been only a handful of players over the years where you knew what they were going to do and the problem was stopping it - Lomu would be the classic example. And even when someone does have that, it’s hard to sustain. Billy Vunipola in his prime was very hard to stop, but fell away quite badly when the toll on his body began to accumulate. So coaches will look for (1) - a lack of exploitable weaknesses - and (2) - the ability to exploit others’ weaknesses - ahead of hoping for (3), at least for the majority of the pack. Which is likely to mean that, as with the original Moneyball, competent, unshowy players who do the stuff that wins matches will win out over outrageous talents who can’t adapt to cover their own weaknesses. Which will leave a lot of people on the sidelines sputtering over the non-inclusion of players whose highlights reels are spectacular, but whose lowlight reels have been uncovered by AI… at least until the point where every fan has access to a sporting analysis AI.

18 Go to comments
TRENDING
TRENDING Jean Kleyn's season ending injury could be worse than first thought Jean Kleyn's season ending injury worse than thought
Search