Waratahs face uphill battle in Johannesburg
Well, I’m glad I watched both halves of the Waratahs versus Highlanders Super Rugby quarter-final last Saturday in Sydney.
I was tempted to switch it off at halftime. With the Highlanders dominating I was fully expecting the score to kick on. I would have bet my house on the Highlanders winning by a big margin. Their forward pack was dominating and Lima Sopoaga was running the whole show. Kurtley Beale was on the field but was not sighted in the first half and Israel Folau was making error after error. The Highlanders led at half time 23-6 with the Waratahs ending up winning 30-23.
The Highlanders play a very similar game to the Waratahs. It is up-tempo, using the width of the field with Lima Sopoaga and Kurtley Beale having similar styles of play, drawing defenders with their ability to put runners away with crisp passing on inside and outside lines. The Highlanders forwards were getting on top in the first half as well, especially with their counter-rucking. Set pieces were pretty even with both sides dropping a few throws in the lineout.
So the half-time whistle goes and a new Waratahs team trots out. Kurtley Beale has the ball on a string again and is making big line breaks, Israel Folau is making no errors and finishing like a runaway train, and Bernard Foley is in on the show as well combining well with Beale and Folau to score two tries. The Waratahs forward pack look more enthusiastic supporting the ball carrier in the tackle and stopping the Highlanders’ effective first half counter-rucking.
I have no idea why the Highlanders did not come out and play in the second half but they have missed the plane to Johannesburg for the semi-final against the Lions and the Tahs have happily climbed on board. The Lions are set to host the Waratahs at Emirates Airline Park, Johannesburg this Saturday 28th July.
My prediction for the weekend will be a Lions victory, though I am hoping for some more Tahs magic like we saw in the second half against the Highlanders. Unfortunately, even before the Tahs get on the field they have to overcome the huge time and distance in travel. The altitude is also a massive factor and of course when they actually run on the field they have to face a very good Lions team, who are well rested and playing at home.
I have done the Johannesburg run many a time with Queensland and the Wallabies. It’s a nightmare trip, especially when the planes could not go directly from Sydney to Johannesburg and you had to refuel in Perth. The Waratahs would have hopped on a 14-hour direct flight on Sunday and you can imagine the scenes after their last Super Rugby match; everyone is wearing ice packs, it is a like a hospital ward, the physios find some clear floor space and they work the full trip treating players.
The Tahs would arrive in Johannesburg exhausted, bashed up and ready to sleep for 24 hours, but no, they have a Super Rugby semi-final in five and half days. The Lions meanwhile are at home doing their resting and team rehab and are already one to two days in front with their preparation. The Tahs would have still not seen the Lions match on video by the time they arrived in South Africa.
The joys of playing at altitude, in 1992 after the Wallabies played Western Transvaal in the lovely resort town of Potchefstroom; my description of playing at altitude was widely reported in the Australian press. I played the full 80 minutes and since we were the first Wallaby team to play at altitude since 1969 our press contingent was super keen for some quotes. I stated, “it was like trying to play rugby with a plastic bag over your head, you simply can’t breathe especially in the last 20 minutes.” It was a weird experience like running around with a bad case of bronchitis. The lovely resort town of Potchefstroom is 1350m above sea level, Johannesburg is a step up at 1700 m above sea level, so you can effectively add another plastic bag.
You can win away at altitude; I did it in 1995 when Queensland beat Transvaal in the Super 10 final at Ellis Park. We did what a lot of visiting teams used to do, like stay at sea level and fly up to the High Veldt within 24 hours of the match. In our case our base was Durban. This was seen to negate the effects of altitude and certainly worked for us that year. Talking to South African teams who are based at sea level, they ignore the altitude factor, don’t talk about it and just fly up the morning of the match. I don’t know what the Waratahs plans are this week but the altitude is a huge factor and they will have a plan to negate it.
Anyone who has been to Loftus Versfeld Stadium in Pretoria and seen Naas Botha kick a football will know you are in a different world. Against the backdrop of an impossibly pale blue washed out sky, the football seemingly travels into the stratosphere and travels the full length of the pitch. As Naas hoists it above the giant Blou Bulle’s forward pack it travels forever into the thin air of the High Veldt, becoming a speck before falling, giving time for his monstrous forward pack to hit you like a crashing blue tidal wave.
So the Waratahs have battled the travel, the altitude and now they have to face up to the Lions on Saturday. No easy task, the Lions are strong across the field, evidenced by their dismantling of the Jaguares 40 -23 last weekend in their quarter-final clash. What was surprising to me was the way the Lions scrum completely dominated the Puma front row led scrum of the Jaguares, smashing them on occasion. The Lions also shut down the Jaguares running game very easily, committing virtually no one to the ruck and fanning in defence, easily picking up the runners and denying the width of the field. A tactic they will also use against the Waratahs, who have zero attack around the ruck and a reliance on first hit-up runners and using the width of the field. The Waratahs will struggle against the Lions very strong lineout. They like to throw up jumpers in defence and will pinch some throws for sure.
Best of luck to the Waratahs, I don’t think they will get through this weekend as I feel it is a game too far for them. I hope the Tahs surprise me again but travel, altitude and a very strong team playing at home are conspiring against a Tahs win. Smart money on the Lions is my bet for the weekend and the Crusaders to beat the Hurricanes in the other semi-final in Christchurch.
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Comments on RugbyPass
The World Cup has to be the gold standard, line in the sand. 113 teams compete for what is the opportunity to make the pool stages, and then the knockout games for the trophy. The concept is sound. This must have been the rationale when the World Cup was created, surely? But I’m all for Looking forward and finding new ways for the SH to dominate the NH into the future. The autumn series needs a change up. Let’s start by having the NH teams come south every odd year for the Autumn/Spring series games?
1 Go to commentsWhat’ll happen when the AI models of the future go back in time and try to destroy the AI models of the past standing in their way of certain victory?
41 Go to commentsThanks, Nick. We (Seanny Maloney, Brett and I) just discussed Charlie as a potential Wallaby No 8, and wondered if he has truly realised how big he is in contact (and whether he can add 5 kg w/o slowing down). Your scouting report confirms our suspicions he has the materiel. No one knows if he has the mentality (as Johann van Graan said this week about CJ, Duane and Alfie B) to carry 10-15 times a game.
57 Go to commentsHe would be a great player for the Stormers, Dobbo should approach the guy.
3 Go to commentsGood article. A few years back when he was playing for the Cheetahs, he was a quiet standout for exactly the seasons stated here. I occasionally get to see his games in the UK, and he has become a more complete player and in many ways like an Irish player. His work ethic is so suitable to the Leinster game. I wonder if Rassie would have him listed somewhere.
3 Go to commentsResults probably skewed by the fact that a few clubs have foreign fly halves in their 30s, but most teams have young English scrum halves. Results also likely to be skewed by the fact that many teams rely on centres and fullbacks to provide depth at 10, whereas they will need to stock a large number of specialist backup 9s.
1 Go to commentsI really get the sense that when all is said and done, the path of least resistance will end up being a merger of Wasps & Worcester that essentially kills the Worcester Warriors brand and sees Wasps permanently playing at Sixways. I’m not saying that’s what should happen or what I want to happen. I just think it’s the easiest rout to take and therefore, will be what happens. Wasps will definitely return to play first, and I suppose it all depends on if they can find support at Sixways. If people turn up and support Wasps in that community, at that ground, I bet they drop the Sevenoaks plan and just remain at Sixways. Under the radar but not totally unrelated, it looks as though London Irish are going to be brought back from the dead by a German consortium and look set to return, likely to the remade Championship. It’s set to have 12 clubs next season with 14 in 2025/26, what do you want to bet those extra 2 are Wasps and London Irish?
2 Go to commentsThe shoulder is a “joint” with multiple bones. You don’t “fracture” a shoulder, you fracture any one or more of the bones that make up a shoulder.
2 Go to commentsOh dear, bones too suspect to continue?
2 Go to commentsBold headline considering the Canes and Blues are 1 and 2 and the Brumbies were soundly beaten by the Chiefs and Blues. Biggest surprise is Rebels 4 Crusaders 12 - no one saw that coming. If Aus are improving that’s great 👍
1 Go to commentsAnna, You are right, we need to have patience whilst the others catch up to England and France. Also it is the PWR that has been the game changer for England. the RFU put money into that initially at the expense of the Red Roses. I was sceptical at first but it has paid off in spades.
1 Go to commentsI think Matt Proctor became a 1 test AB in the same fixture. Cameron is quality and has been great this season, can’t believe’s he only 27. Realistically how would he not be selected for ABs squad this year. Only Dmac is ahead of him as a specialist 10. With Jordan out, it will come down to where and when Beauden Barrett slots back in, and where they want to play Ruben Love. Cameron seems an absolute lock in for the wider squad though. Added benefit of TJ-Cameron-Jordie combination at 9, 10, 11 too.
1 Go to commentsFarcical, to what end would someone want to pay to keep this thing going.
1 Go to commentsHavili, our best 12 by a mile, will be in the squad, if he stays fit. JB is the most overrated AB in the last 50 years.
61 Go to commentsWe had during the week twilight footy, twilight cricket, tw golf plus there was the athletics club. Then the weekend was rugby 15s plus the net ball, really busy club scene back then but so much has changed and rugby has suffered. And it was all about changing lifestyles.
6 Go to commentsIn the 70s and 80s my club ran 5 Senior sides plus a Vets. Now it is 2 sides with an occasional 3rd team. Players have difficulty getting to training now, not sure why and the commitment is not there. It seems to me more a problem of people applying themselves and not expecting to turn up and play whenever they want to.
6 Go to commentsROG’s contract is until 2027. The conversation about a successor to Galthie after RWC 2027 may be starting now. We can infer that Galthie’s reign stops then. He is throwing the Irish Coaching Job angle in because he is Irish. The next Irish coach MUST be Leo Cullen. As well as being the best coach available, coaching the vast majority of Irish Internationals week in week out, he has shown incredible skill at recruiting the best coaching staff for the job in hand. That was a failing in France. Cullen is a shrewd guy and if there is a need for foreign coaches underneath him he won’t hesitate. Rightly so. Ireland does need to start to bring Irish coaches through. Not just at the professional level but we need to train coaches to man new pathways for developing kids from schools/clubs up through the divisions.
8 Go to commentsNo Islam says it must rule where it stands Thus it is to be deleted from this planet Earth
19 Go to commentsThis team probably does not beat the ABs sadly Not sure if BPA will be available given his signing for Force but has to enter consideration. Very strong possibility of getting schooled by the AB props. Advantage AB. Rodda/Skelton would be a tasty locking combination - would love to see how they get on. Advantage Wallabies. Backrow a risk of getting out hustled and outmuscled by ABs. Will be interesting to see if the Blues feast on the Reds this weekend the way they did the Brumbies we are in big trouble at the breakdown. Great energy, running and defence but goalkicking/general kicking/passing quality in the halves bothers me enormously. SA may have won the World Cup for a lot of the tournament without a recognised goalkicker but Pollard in the final made a difference IMO. Injuries and retirements leave AB stocks a bit lighter but still stronger. 12 and 13 ABs shade it (Barret > Paisami, Ione = Ikitau, arguably) Interesting clash of styles on the wings - Corey Toole running around Caleb Clark and Caleb running over the top of Toole. Reece vs Koro probably the reverse. Pretty even IMO. 15s Kelleway = Love See advantage to ABs man for man, but we are not obviously getting slaughtered anywhere which makes a nice change. Think talent wise we are pretty even and if our cohesion and teamwork is better than the ABs then its just about doable.
11 Go to commentsCompletely agree. More friday night games would be a hit. RFU to make sure every club has a floodlit pitch. Club opens again Saturday to welcome touch / tag. Minis and youths on Sunday
6 Go to comments