I like the lopsided nature of this Rugby World Cup
It’s not often those with their hands on the levers of power pay heed to the baying rabble and their noisy quibbles. Especially in rugby, where new laws, alterations to the tackle height and the dissolution of beloved clubs point to a sport by times at odds with those who cherish and support it.
But on this rare occasion, the cries of the people have been heard. Viva democracy!
Following on from the grouping of Ireland, South Africa and Scotland – the number one, four and five ranked teams in the world – in a single pool at this year’s Rugby World Cup, and that they’re on the same side of the draw as France and New Zealand – two and three according to the governing body’s metrics – World Rugby’s chiefs have decided to delay the draw for the next global showpiece event in Australia in 2027.
This decision has not been made in a vacuum. Two years ago, the prospect of only two of the above teams reaching the semi-final wouldn’t have necessarily been a disaster. In 2020 Wales and England were among the four top ranked teams. France and Ireland were works in progress. Scotland were still reeling from a group stage exit in Japan in 2019.
But a lot has changed and two years is a long time in rugby. Paul Grayson, who lifted the famous golden chalice in 2003 with England, lambasted the lopsided nature of the draw in a column for the Mirror newspaper.
Grayson called out what he viewed as “a complete nonsense” and argued that it “does nothing for the sport’s credibility”. He continued: “Show me another sport that does it this way. Did Wimbledon make the draw for this year’s championships in 2020? Of course not. Last year’s football World Cup? Nope, that was just seven months before kick-off in Qatar.”
The two points Grayson makes have merit but here I’m going to disagree, respectfully, with a man who has an MBE and 32 Test caps.
Please believe me I’m not being contrarian just for the bants when I say I quite like how imbalanced the World Cup looks. Please be sure to remind me of this when the Springboks have to run through a gauntlet of Ireland, Scotland, New Zealand and France just to reach the final, only to be beaten by an England team that’s cantered to the championship game in second gear. Maybe then I’ll eat my words, but for now, hear me out.
One of my main bugbears of top male tennis over the last decade or so is how predictable it all is. Since 2008, when Novak Djokovic won his first grand slam, any fool who didn’t know his forehand from his forehead could confidently predict that one of the ‘Big Three’ would reach the final. The safe money was on two of them contesting the final. If we’re using tennis as an example of a sport that serves up unpredictable winners then we’re stretching the meaning of that term.
The comparison with Qatar and last year’s World Cup also doesn’t stand up to scrutiny. FIFA could have announced the draw on the day of the first match and it wouldn’t have made a difference to the travel and accommodation plans for fans arriving in the tiny country.
It’s a little different in France. As any of you who’ve already started booking flights and hotels will know, France 2023 has already proved to be a logistical conundrum. That is not a criticism of the local organising team, the French rugby federation or World Rugby. It’s just a consequence of the size of France and the economic times we’re living in.
The tournament – rightly, for player welfare – is stretched across seven weeks. England fans will have to zig-zag from London to Marseille to Nice to Lille and then to Marseille and Paris if they reach the semi-finals.
Advanced warning allows fans to make adequate preparations. Two years might be a long time in rugby but that time can pass very quickly when you’ve got a life beyond being a sports fan. Especially when you’re trying to save up for what promises to be a brilliant, but drawn out, party.
Besides, who doesn’t love a bit of the unexpected? Eddie Jones has a real shot of taking Australia to a final. Imagine that! Could Warren Gatland take advantage of a favourable draw and steer Wales, a casserole of a rugby team made up of green vegetables and old meat, to within 80 minutes of a first ever title? He might just. And what of the heavyweights over in pools A and B? If any of them emerge from that meat grinder and lift the trophy in the French capital they would have a strong claim to have conquered the toughest obstacle course in rugby. Would that make them the best ever champions in World Cup history?
Sport thrives on its narratives. We don’t need our tournaments to crown the objectively best team in the world. This is not a seasonal league table. The Springboks were far from the best team in Japan four years ago. They had a relatively easy run to victory in 2007. Only the most diehard fan would argue that they were a better rugby side than the All Blacks in 1995. Does any of that matter? Go ask a Springboks fan and you’ll get a resounding response.
This will be the last World Cup that throws up such an uneven affair. And though I expect most of you will be glad to read that sentence, I’ll miss this crooked structure for all its idiosyncrasies and quirks.
Comments on RugbyPass
I don't know how the locals feel about that? I guess if you call yourselves the Worcester Wasps that might be appease. But really we need more teams in the Premiership in my view so they are not padding it out as they are at the moment. It might curtail so many players going abroad as well
4 Go to commentsNZ 😭😭😭is certainly rivaling England for best whingers cup!😭😭😭 !!!
24 Go to commentsYup. New Zealand won 3 out of 10 world cups played. SA 4 out of 8 attempts 30 Vs 50 per cent.🤔🤔
24 Go to commentsShould've done this years ago. Change Saturday kick off times to around 11am. Up and off and back home before 3pm, limit travel time too. Allows players to actually do something else with their Saturday that's family oriented or being rugby fans they could ‘watch’ pro rugby. Increases crowds etc. How can anyone that enjoys grassroots and pro rugby have to choose between the two on Saturdays?
9 Go to commentsI bet he inspired those supporters just as much.
1 Go to commentsBen Smith Springboks living rent free in his head 😊😂
67 Go to commentsGood to hear he would like to play the game at the highest level, I hadn’t been to sure how much of a motivator that was before now. Sadly he’s probably chosen the rugby club to go to. Try not to worry about all the input about how you should play rugby Joey and just try to emulate what you do on the league field and have fun. You’ll limit your game too much (well not really because he’s a standard athlete like SBW and he’ll still have enough) if you’re trying to make sure you can recycle the ball back etc. On the other hard, you can totally just try and recycle by looking to offload any and everywhere if you’re going to ground 😋
1 Go to commentsThis just proves that theres always a stat and a metric to use to justify your abilities and your success. Ben did it last week by creating an imaginary competition and now you did the same to counter his argument and espouse a new yardstick for success. Why not just use the current one and lets say the Boks have won 4 world cups making them the most successful world cup team. Outside of the world cup the All Blacks are the most successful team winning countless rugby championships and dominating the rankings with high win percentages. Over the last 4 years statistically the Irish are the best having the highest win rate and also having positive records against every tier 1 side. The most successful Northern team in the game has been England with a world cup title and the most six nations titles in history. The AB’s are the most dominant team in history with the highest win rate and 3 world cups. Lets not try to reinvent the wheel. Just be honest about the actual stats and what each team has been good at doing and that will be enough to define their level of success.
24 Go to commentsHow is 7’s played there? I’m surprised 10 or 11 man rugby hasn’t taken off. 7 just doesn’t fit the 15s dynamics (rules n field etc) but these other versions do.
9 Go to commentsPick Swinton at your peril A liability just like JWH from the Roosters Skelton ??? went missing at RWC
14 Go to commentsLike tennis, who have a ranking system, and I believe rugby too, just measure over each period preceding a world cup event who was the longest number one and that would be it. In tennis the number one player frequently is not the grand slam winner. I love and adore the All Blacks since the days of Ian Kirkpatrick when I was a kid in SA. And still do because they are the masters of running rugby and are gentleman on and off the field - in general. And in my opinion they have been the majority of the time the best rugby team in the world.
24 Go to commentsHaving overseas possessions in 2024 is absurd. These Frenchies should have to give the New Caledonians their freedom.
21 Go to commentsBell injured his foot didn’t he? Bring Tupou in he’ll deliver when it counts. Agree mostly but I would switch in the Reds number 8 Harry Wilson for Swinton and move Rob Valentini to 6 instead. Wilson is a clever player who reads the play, you can’t outmuscle the AB’s and Springboks, if you have any chance it’s by playing clever. Same goes for Paisami, he’s a little guy who doesn’t really trouble the likes of De Allende and Jordie Barrett. I’d rather play Carter Gordon at 12 and put Michael Lynagh’s boy at 10. That way you get a BMT type goalkicker at 10 and a playmaker at 12. Anyways, just my two cents as a Bok supporter.
14 Go to commentsThanks Brett, love your articles which are alway pertinent. It’s a difficult topic trying to have a panel adjudicating consistently penalties for red card issues. Many of the mitigating reasons raised are judged subjectively, hence the different outcomes. How to take away subjective opinions?
9 Go to commentsYes Sir! Surprising, just like Fraser would also have escaped sanction if he was a few inches lower, even if it was by accident that he missed! Has there really been talk about those sanctions or is this just sensational journalism? I stopped reading, so might have missed any notations.
9 Go to commentsAI is only as good as the information put in, the nuances of the sport, what you see out the corner of the eye, how you sum up in a split second the situation, yes the AI is a tool but will not help win games, more likely contribute to a loss, Rugby Players are not robots, all AI can do if offer a solution not the solution. AI will effect many sports, help train better golfers etc.
45 Go to commentsIt couldn’t have been Ryan Crotty. He wasn’t selected in either World Cup side - they chose Money Bill instead. And Money Bill only cared about himself, and that manager he had, not the team.
28 Go to commentsYawn 🥱 nobody would give a hoot about this new trophy. End of the day we just have to beat Ireland and NZ this year then they can finally shut up 🤐
24 Go to commentsTalking bout Ryan Crotty? Heard Crotty say in a interview once that SBW doesen't care about the team . He went on to say that whenever they lost a big game, SBW would be happy as if nothing happened, according to him someone who cares would look down.. Personally I think Crotty is in the wrong, not for feeling gutted but for expecting others 2 be like him… I have been a bad loser forever as it matters so much to me but good on you SBW for being able to see the bigger picture….
28 Go to commentsThis sounds like a WWE idea so Americans can also get excited about rugby, RUGBY NEEDS A INTERNATIONAL CALENDER .. The rugby Championship and Six Nations can be held at same time, top 3 of six nations and top 3 of Rugby championship (6 nations should include Georgia AND another qualifying country while Fiji, Japan and Samoa/Tonga qualifier should make out 6 Southern teams).. Scrap June internationals and year end tours. Have a Elite top six Cup and the Bottom 6 in a secondary comp….
24 Go to comments