Are you not entertained by Steve Borthwick's exciting England? - Six Nations
Round two of the Guinness Six Nations sparked controversy and debate, from Scotland’s non-try in a bonkers Murrayfield finale to the robbery of the ball from George Ford’s kicking tee.
In this article, we’ll be taking a breath, making a coffee, and letting the cold, rational stats guide us through the big stories of the weekend.
Exciting England
England won three of their first nine games under Steve Borthwick; after Saturday’s Twickenham victory they have claimed eight of the next nine. Borthwick has turned them into a clinical side capable of going toe-to-toe with any opponent, if not getting fans on their feet in the process.
This campaign marks the start of the second phase of the plan. Felix Jones has brought his revolutionary defence and there are some signs of attacking life. But are England more exciting now than during the World Cup?
Excitement is in the eye of the beholder, but it’s fair to assume ball-in-hand attack gets the blood pumping for most fans. Let’s look at three measures of attacking excitement; carry metres as a percentage of total metres, carries per kick, and the percentage of total carries by centres, wingers, or full-backs. For balance, we include only games against Argentina, Fiji, and South Africa at the World Cup.
Metric | Rugby World Cup | % change Six Nations |
Carry metres % total metres | 21% | +14% |
Carries per kick | 2.8 | +12% |
% total carries by outside backs | 28% | +21% |
Starting from a low base, England have made steps to becoming a more dynamic side. Nobody represents this new style more than Ben Earl. The number eight has shored up a position of possible weakness and his carrying has been exceptional. He has made the most carries of any player and beaten the most defenders of any forward.
There were fears as to how England would adapt without Manu Tuilagi or Billy Vunipola. In reality, neither have shown enough form or fitness in recent years to justify building a team around them. The question was whether England could make their attack work without at least two powerful carriers. So far, their big carrier is a 6ft, 16st 8lb back-row. Earl’s punch comes from dynamism and guile rather than mass and head-down power.
Borthwick’s game plan is built on a very simple rule: don’t play in our half. England spent just 22% of their possession time in their own half against Italy and 31% against Wales, the two lowest such figures in the tournament so far. More exciting? Yes. But don’t expect England to move away from what’s worked.
Ireland’s total rugby
The Dutch team of the 1970s created total football, a style in which players could rotate into any position. Five decades later, have Ireland created total rugby? The Irish attack is probably the most aesthetically beautiful in the world. But we are assessing statistical beauty.
Thanks to Sage smart ball technology, we can see 185 of Ireland’s 407 passes have travelled 5m or less. That is 37 more than the next highest (belonging to Wales). Ireland’s attack is built on a relentless barrage of short passes right across the pitch. Those aren’t just the preserve of their enormously talented backs. In fact, Ireland’s front-row make more passes than any other front-row, their second-row likewise and their back-row just the same. The 52 passes made by Ireland’s forwards is greater than the total number of passes made by the backs (excluding scrum-half and fly-half) of any other nation.
You might read that and think we are looking at some kind of wide-wide Fijian blueprint, but we’re not. Ireland play beyond the second receiver (essentially stringing together more than two passes) on 15.2% of their phases. Only England and Italy also reach double figures and nobody tops Ireland’s tally. Yet, they play wider than 10m on just 50.6% of their phases which is fewer than both those teams. Ireland get their passing done in a far narrower channel than any other nation.
Ireland’s game plan is based on carving out soft shoulders for their powerful runners to carry towards, before their speedy backs finish the job. It’s beautiful to watch but it requires extraordinary passing skills from their heavies up front. If they are to claim back-to-back Grand Slams, their total rugby attack will be key.
Scotland’s parked bus
Amid the controversy of the try/no-try affair, the stats suggested another factor – rather than the TMO – was to blame. During round one Scotland led Wales 27-0 then almost conspired to throw it all away. In the 26 minutes between Duhan van der Merwe’s second try and Wales’ final score, Scotland carried just ten times to the hosts’ 79.
That warning of what might happen if you deviate from your natural game wasn’t heeded on Saturday. Scotland once again took a lead and once again moved away from what had been successful. When they were losing, or winning by fewer than four points, Scotland carried 4.7 times per kick. That powerful carrying game and expansive attack had given them a shot at a home victory against France. But, once ahead by more than four points, they then kicked more than they carried.
Scotland have now lost their second halves by a combined 36-10. It’s incredible, given those figures, they have one win in two. Gregor Townsend won’t need reminding if only his charges had kept their foot on the gas, they would be joining Ireland and England as the only undefeated sides.
Sage is the Official Insights Partner of the Guinness Six Nations, enhancing the fan, player and coach experience through innovative new technology and enhanced insights to the game. Find out how Sage can support your business at sage.com and discover more rugby insights at sage.com/rugby.
Comments on RugbyPass
RugbyPass writers are useless! you guys should get a real job because you all suck at writing about rugby!!!
8 Go to commentslooking forward to RWC2027 …. Boks on mission impossible for the Three-in-a-row, ABs to prove they being on par, France wishing to crown the “DuPont-era”, Ireland knocking on the Semi-Door ….. until then we’ll probably have to deal with Weird Ben’s fantasy-RWC23 (fun fact is, the drivel always creates a flooding of comments) …..
221 Go to commentsBen Smith you really make some good points in this article, the Springboks were not close to perfect and good still beat the All Blacks, imagine if they were as good as they were against France what a hiding the All Blacks would have gotten… maybe another Twickenham drubbing
221 Go to commentsIt is a good argument to keep the Rebels for one more year but also isnt this just opening the door as well for keeping them beyond 2025. If they can create some sort of financial stability in the next year and if their performances lift as they have this season then how would RA even cull them after that? It might be the most cost effective decision at this stage and perhaps many people are guilty of keeping relationships going because of the cost to decouple but then again when does that ever work out well?
17 Go to commentsDear Ben Smith you are a genius! God please become the next all blacks coach that can take on the mighty BOKS. Your rugby acumen is second to none - imagine your dads sperm bounced as unfortunately as that oval ball did….we would not be blessed with your presence. Just as the all blacks were missing a man you too are missing a chromosome for 80% of your life, so your insights are not only profound but ring true from your own experiences. Just as the TMO interfered with citing an illegal pass I am sure your local authorities interfere with your illegal passes you make on women - How dare they!!! God forbid that rugby be officiated fairly. You are the right man for the job. Next all blacks coach is here ladies and gentlemen Miss Ben Smith (He/She/They/IT)
221 Go to commentsHuge engine this guy and great to see him back ..The amount of clean outs he does at the ruck are ridiculous !!
3 Go to commentsThe level of desperation in this article is just embarrassing.
221 Go to commentsSome silly trolling in the comments.
9 Go to commentsEverywhere you turn some irish journo is advocating Ireland as the greatest, reasoning that the wc is a 4 year cycle event so, they say wc doesn’t matter it’s the rugby in between that should account for the accolade. If there was no wc then some substance could be gained, however in my opinion the moment that defined Ireland’s fate against the abs was 37 phases of repeated head bashing against a brick wall. If a change in strategy or a tinker with the game plan was executed then things could've been vastly different. And to point a finger the let down was in the hands of the number 10.
56 Go to commentsI have heard it asked if RA is essentially one of the part owners and I suppose therefor should be on the other side of these two parties. If they purchased the rebels and guaranteed them, and are responsible enough they incur Rebels penalties, where is this line drawn? Seems rough to have to pay a penalty for something were your involvement sees you on the side of the conned party, the creditors. If the Rebels directors themselves have given the club their money, 6mil worth right, why aren’t they also listed as sitting with RA and the Tax office? And the legal threat was either way, new Rebels or defunct, I can’t see how RA assume the threat was less likely enough to warrant comment about it in this article. Surely RA ignore that and only worry about whether they can defend it or not, which they have reported as being comfortable with. So in effect wouldn’t it be more accurate to say there is no further legal threat (or worry) in denying the deal. Unless the directors have reneged on that. > Returns of a Japanese team or even Argentinean side, the Jaguares, were said to be on the cards, as were the ideas of standing up brand new teams in Hawaii or even Los Angeles – crazy ideas that seemingly forgot the time zone issues often cited as a turn-off for viewers when the competition contained teams from South Africa. Those timezones are great for SR and are what will probably be needed to unlock its future (cant see it remaining without _atleast _help from Aus), day games here are night games on the West Coast of america, were potential viewers triple, win win. With one of the best and easiest ways to unlock that being to play games or a host a team there. Less good the further across Aus you get though. Jaguares wouldn’t be the same Jaguares, but I still would think it’s better having them than keeping the Rebels. The other options aren’t really realistic 25’ options, no. From reading this authors last article I think if the new board can get the investment they seem to be confident in, you keeping them simply for the amount of money they’ll be investing in the game. Then ditch them later if they’re not good enough without such a high budget. Use them to get Jaguares reintergration stronger, with more key players on board, and have success drive success.
17 Go to commentsYeah, and ours is waaay bigger than yours. Just as you's get a semi…oh hold on that never happens
56 Go to commentsLove watching
1 Go to commentsThe Melbourne Rebels lineout is a complete disaster so not surprisingly a kiwi coach of the Wallabies hires the worst lineout coach in the country and a foreigner to boot. No surprises whatsoever here…….
6 Go to commentsThank your for wasting 2 minutes of my life Daniel. There is a useful message in there somewhere but your delivery sucks.
8 Go to commentsBen Smith, you are cry baby
221 Go to commentsSux that homophobia is still a thing though. I wonder how many players who could have become legends never kept playing rugby because they felt unwelcome.
8 Go to commentsCrazy he’s only 28, feel like he’s been around forever - don’t mind the move, safe pair of hands and creates depth in a thin position for ABs. Hopefully aides Kemara’s growth also without thrusting too much responsibility on him
1 Go to commentsMen should show strength and be mean, but they should be able to show emotion to those close yo them in certain times, birth of your child, death of family, proud moment. This article is stupid
8 Go to commentsWhat a weak article…absolute drivel and clickbait, well done. Will stick to rugby365 thanks
8 Go to commentsHonest, discipline, humility… Priceless.
2 Go to comments