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Matthieu Jalibert et la théorie des 5% sur un match

Le demi d'ouverture de Bordeaux, Matthieu Jalibert, pendant le match de Top 14 entre l'Union Bordeaux-Begles (UBB) et Bayonne (Aviron Bayonnais) au stade Chaban-Delmas à Bordeaux, dans le sud-ouest de la France, le 5 octobre 2024. (Photo by ROMAIN PERROCHEAU / AFP) (Photo by ROMAIN PERROCHEAU/AFP via Getty Images)

Samedi 5 octobre, pour le compte de la 5e journée de Top 14, les Bordelais ont tremblé jusqu’au coup de sifflet final face à des Bayonnais audacieux. Score final : 30-27 pour l’UBB qui a bien failli laisser échapper la rencontre grâce à un retour en force de l’Aviron.

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Top 14
Bordeaux
30 - 27
Temps complet
Bayonne
Toutes les stats et les données

Tout se déroulait pourtant bien avec le style de jeu offensif propre aux Bordelais qui leur permettait d’inscrire quatre essais.

Lorsque s’approche l’heure de jeu, la machine pourtant s’enraye alors que l’UBB mène 27-10, quatre essais à un. C’est alors que Bayonne en profite pour revenir à fond, son travail de sape portant enfin ses fruits.

Graphique d'évolution des points

Bordeaux gagne +3
Temps passé en tête
52
Minutes passées en tête
13
64%
% du match passés en tête
16%
38%
Possession sur les 10 dernières minutes
62%
3
Points sur les 10 dernières minutes
7

La remontée est constante : 17 points en 16 minutes grâce à des essais de Rodrigo Bruni (56e) et Yohan Orabe (72e) transformés par Joris Segonds qui passera un drop en plus (59e). Bref, à sept minutes du terme, les deux équipes sont à égalité.

« Sur le match on a perdu pas loin de 20 ballons en tout, sur les rucks, les en-avants, les turnovers », décrypte le demi d’ouverture Matthieu Jalibert sur TV7.

« Cet essai à l’heure de jeu (Bruni, 56e) part d’une erreur où on récupère le ballon, on essaie de tenter quelque chose autour du ruck. On fait un en-avant qu’ils récupèrent et ils vont marquer. »

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Jalibert développe alors sa « théorie des 5% » qui peuvent faire basculer un match d’un côté ou de l’autre. 5% de chance en plus ou en moins, 5% de rebond en plus ou en moins, 5% de vista en plus ou en moins … On peut développer à l’envi.

« C’est 5% qui parfois sont pas là et qui font toute la différence sur ce genre de match », affirme-t-il.

« Ils ont joué crânement leur chance, ils ont mis l’intensité pendant 80 minutes, ils ont trouvé des solutions et nous on s’est relâche de 5-10%. Et face à des équipes comme ça, ça ne pardonne pas. »

Grâce à une pénalité de Mateo Garcia à la 76e, l’UBB a réussi à décrocher la victoire. Ce jour-là, Garcia a eu 5% de temps de jeu en plus.

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J
JW 1 hour ago
All Blacks report card: Are Razor's troops heading in the right direction?

perhaps one or two up and coming youngsters who were either capped recently or are uncapped and are targeted for long term eligibility in another nation.

Yes some sort of loyalty needs to be used to stop the Lakai's or Sititi's if they hadn't been signed up in time, from thinking they can leave.


Everyone already thinks that SR is weak because theres no longer anyone to challenge the top 4 kiwi sides, despite them not challenging them for over a decade already, so you might as well take them down to the other 8 teams level?

If the quality of the comp drops then it will lead to slower player development for those who play in this comp. It will lead to lower standards and a lower bar.

I don't really agree with that in and of itself. A competition where more games are contested is going to drive performances up. You just need to ensure there are those with that top level performance experience, like James O'Connor, they don't actually need them do be delivering that performance they're championing.


If the NZ teams were weakened to where all 12 teams were on a comparable level (theres always 4 NZ sides that are still the best in the world) I'd argue that actually increases everyones development. It's just key that players still know what that highest bar is even if theyre not reaching it.


Of course one of the most important aspects is the marketability of the competition as best in world. But as I say until the ABs return to the top noone is going to beleive that of SR so maybe now is a good time to try some changes?

315 Go to comments
J
JW 2 hours ago
All Blacks report card: Are Razor's troops heading in the right direction?

First, thinking automatic success comes with succession. I think a heavily hand made succession can work but they need to be a whole lot more ruthless with their processes.


Then, as pointed out in a recent article, by the same author as this one I think, they went with what Razor would these days call the "quarter back" style 10 rather than a facilitator. This, along with a second playmaker, removed all desire to select alround players who have the skill to keep the ball alive and enable those wonderful team try's we used to see. We became 'strike' team with specific focal points, and a reliance on those players.


Two defend those players, and the idea itself I suppose, the two you name in particular were heavily affected by their concussions and the idea they can break a neck playing like they way they were. Neither were anything like that specifically due to injurys imo, this, combined with the same mentality that causes the team not to want to replace a future coach (Foster) with someone better, means they stuck with their man. There is also a heavy amount of fiscal perspective in things like investment in a player that dictated a lack of desire to move sooner (the delay in selecting someone like Mo'unga and using Scott as a 6 in conjunction with Ardie at 7).


Ah, yes, I see that you see. Yeah it was definitely another one of these pretty ideas like succession of coachs wasn't, naming the new 7 as captain, after McCaw. Combined with the look of your next paragraph, I'm going to suggest that again it is one of these 'AB philosophies' that are to blame of sticking with your investments till ruin or bust. I can't remember what injury Read had but there was also a conscious choice to play him tighter and we were robbed by his wide running and passing game by a loss of pace. But both of them were indicative of a lack of investment (by necessity no doubt) in securing talent behind them Lachlan was better than Cane for multiple years before he finally decided to go, guys you knew would deliver to a certain standard like Elliot Dixon, Squire, Robinson, Tuafua, even Messam, were constantly overlooked to play certain All Blacks into the ground and have them needing to be excluded from the start of SR seasons as a result. It's so indicative of now with players like Kirifi stonewalled to give Cane a farewell but more glaring grinding blood our of Ardie for one more performance. Not to mention passing up on players like Sotutu.


I see you have great names as well, fully agree, especially about how that Foster teams run ended. While I don't think you understand the dynamics of what selecting from overseas is likely involve, I'm on board, because I don't really care too much about SR. I'd prefer it if NZR had to do what you suggest and invest in the grass roots and NPC and everyone can turn up to a NPC game without paying a cent because the people involved are there for the love of the game.


Realistically though, and thinking with that All Black mindset of perfection, nothing should change until these problems weve highlighted with the setup, and this current coaches failings, have been fixed. Make the change to opening up when you don't need to open it up, that is the 7 point play to make.

315 Go to comments
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