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Tournoi des Six Nations féminin : quelle incidence sur le classement mondial ?

Les capitaines du Tournoi des Six Nations féminin 2025 réunies à Londres lors du lancement officiel de la compétition, le 7 mars, au Tobacco Dock. De droite à gauche : Elisa Giordano (Italie), Neve Jones (Irlande), Zoe Aldcroft (Angleterre), Hannah Jones (Pays de Galles), Manae Feleu (France) et Helen Nelson (Écosse).

 

Le Tournoi des Six Nations Féminin 2025 débute ce week-end, et avec lui, plusieurs scénarios possibles au classement mondial World Rugby. Mais toutes les équipes ne sont pas logées à la même enseigne : certaines peuvent grimper, d’autres risquent de chuter, et pour quelques-unes… rien ne bougera, quoi qu’il arrive.

L’Angleterre, indétrônable

C’est le cas de l’Angleterre (1re). Les Red Roses, championnes en titre, ne peuvent pas améliorer leur note en cas de victoire contre l’Italie (8e). L’écart de 22,81 points entre les deux nations est trop important. Mais attention, une contre-performance pourrait coûter cher : en cas de défaite de plus de 15 points face aux Italiennes, leur avance actuelle de 8,25 points sur le Canada pourrait se réduire jusqu’à trois unités.

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Pour l’Italie, l’équation est un peu plus complexe. Une victoire historique contre l’Angleterre ne garantirait pas forcément une progression au classement. Tout dépendra du match entre l’Écosse (7e) et le Pays de Galles (10e), joué la veille à Édimbourg.

Si ce match se termine par un nul ou une victoire galloise, l’Italie grimperait à la 7e place mondiale. En revanche, si l’Écosse l’emporte, les Italiennes devront battre les Anglaises avec plus de 15 points d’écart pour espérer grappiller une place.

Du côté écossais, un succès contre le Pays de Galles pourrait permettre de dépasser la 7e place actuelle, mais à une condition bien précise : gagner avec plus de 15 points d’avance et espérer une lourde défaite de l’Irlande à domicile face à la France.

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Le Pays de Galles, lui, a une belle opportunité : une simple victoire en Écosse leur permettrait de dépasser les États-Unis pour se hisser à la 9e place. Mieux encore, un succès de plus de 15 points leur offrirait un bond de trois rangs, jusqu’à la 7e place, et ferait d’elles la nation celtique la mieux classée.

La France qui stagne

La France, troisième nation européenne au classement, n’a pas grand-chose à gagner cette semaine en termes de points. Même une victoire à Dublin ne lui rapporterait que 0,89 point, insuffisant pour rattraper la Nouvelle-Zélande au troisième rang mondial.

En revanche, l’Irlande (6e) pourrait tirer son épingle du jeu. Un simple match nul contre les Bleues leur permettrait de dépasser l’Australie et de grimper à la cinquième place, un niveau qu’elles n’ont plus atteint depuis la Coupe du monde 2017. Une victoire, même large, ne leur permettrait toutefois pas d’aller plus haut pour l’instant, l’écart avec la France restant trop important.

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