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All Blacks back-ups dropping like flies in Mitre 10 Cup

By Tom Vinicombe
Nathan Harris' World Cup chances have taken a big hit. (Photo by Hannah Peters/Getty Images)

When the World Cup rolls around in a few weeks there will inevitably be injuries.

Already players such as Damian McKenzie, Gareth Anscombe and Marcel Coetzee have been invalided from the competition, but once the stakes get higher and the hits get harder there’ll be other internationals who find their tournament cut short.

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As such, coaches worldwide have been quick to tell the players close to selection that even if they don’t make their nation’s World Cup squad, it’s imperative that they stay fit and match-ready – just in case they get the call-up later in the tournament.

For New Zealand players, the Mitre 10 Cup is well underway and will continue to run until halfway through the World Cup. That means the potential back-ups won’t struggle for match fitness if they suddenly get the call from Steve Hansen – but it also means that injuries could curtail some player’s chances.

Vaea Fifita’s World Cup is already in jeopardy after a knee injury sustained at training in the lead up to Wellington’s match against Canterbury. Fifita is on the edge of the All Blacks‘ World Cup squad and will still be holding out hope that his name is read out on Wednesday but this latest injury could stymy his chances.

Karl Tu’inukuafe also suffered a leg injury in recent weeks, during North Harbour’s match against Counties Manukau. The affable prop was recently cut from the All Blacks squad, ostensibly because his work around the field wasn’t quite up to standard. If history is anything to go by, then there’s still a good chance that Tu’inukuafe could suit up for the All Blacks. In 2015, both Joe Moody and Pauliasi Manu were whistled up late to the World Cup squad and Moody started in the semi-final and grand final.

Thankfully, Tu’inukuafe will make his return for Harbour today.

The latest New Zealand player to go down is Bay of Plenty hooker Nathan Harris.

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Harris missed out on 2019’s initial 39-man All Blacks squad which included four hookers: Dane Coles, Codie Taylor, Liam Coltman and Asafo Aumua. His omission was arguably the biggest surprise given that he’d been firmly entrenched as the third-in-line for a number of years.

The latest squad saw Aumua culled – but Harris is still likely the fifth cab off the ranks. It’s difficult to know whether New Zealand will take two or three hookers to the World Cup but either way, it would still take a few injuries for Harris to get the call-up. Coltman has a few issues at lineout time and his two most recent matches, for the All Blacks in Argentina and Otago against Hawke’s Bay, wouldn’t have done much alleviate those fears.

Whatever the case, a leg injury could now take Harris out of the selection equation. Harris was pulled early in the second half but there’s no available prognosis for the rake just yet.

Hansen and his fellow All Blacks selectors will be keeping a close eye on the Mitre 10 Cup just in case they need to bring in a few extra players later in the World Cup – but they won’t be happy with various injuries that keep striking down their potential back-ups.

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There’s still seven rounds of New Zealand’s provincial competition to go – plus two rounds of sudden death – which means there’s plenty of time for players to stake a claim for selection, but also plenty of time for players to suffer season-ending injuries. Hansen be hopeful to see a lot of the former and no more of the latter.

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Flankly 11 hours ago
The AI advantage: How the next two Rugby World Cups will be won

If rugby wants to remain interesting in the AI era then it will need to work on changing the rules. AI will reduce the tactical advantage of smart game plans, will neutralize primary attacking weapons, and will move rugby from a being a game of inches to a game of millimetres. It will be about sheer athleticism and technique,about avoiding mistakes, and about referees. Many fans will find that boring. The answer is to add creative degrees of freedom to the game. The 50-22 is an example. But we can have fun inventing others, like the right to add more players for X minutes per game, or the equivalent of the 2-point conversion in American football, the ability to call a 12-player scrum, etc. Not saying these are great ideas, but making the point that the more of these alternatives you allow, the less AI will be able to lock down high-probability strategies. This is not because AI does not have the compute power, but because it has more choices and has less data, or less-specific data. That will take time and debate, but big, positive and immediate impact could be in the area of ref/TMO assistance. The technology is easily good enough today to detect forward passes, not-straight lineouts, offside at breakdown/scrum/lineout, obstruction, early/late tackles, and a lot of other things. WR should be ultra aggressive in doing this, as it will really help in an area in which the game is really struggling. In the long run there needs to be substantial creativity applied to the rules. Without that AI (along with all of the pro innovations) will turn rugby into a bash fest.

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